Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 491
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF MACON GEORGIA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF VALDOSTA
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 490...
DISCUSSION...COMPLEX OF TSTMS AT ISSUANCE TIME OVER CENTRAL GA MAY
CONTINUE TO EXPAND/INTENSIFY AS IT SHIFTS STEADILY SSEWD LATE
TODAY/THIS EVENING. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR RECORD LEVELS
IN ADVANCE OF THIS COMPLEX...WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
FOSTERING STRONG/SEVERE DOWNDRAFTS. ALONG WITH DAMAGING
WINDS...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 34035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 491 SEVERE TSTM GA 221945Z - 230200Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10NNE MCN/MACON GA/ - 30ESE VLD/VALDOSTA GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /9NNE MCN - 58SSW AMG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 34035.
LAT...LON 32838229 30618155 30618408 32838487
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 491 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 491
VALID 230045Z - 230140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE VLD
TO 35 NW AYS TO 15 WSW SSI.
..SMITH..06/23/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 491
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC025-039-049-065-069-101-127-299-230140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH COFFEE ECHOLS
GLYNN WARE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 491
VALID 222340Z - 230040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE LGC TO
40 SW MCN TO 25 NW VDI TO 50 NNW VDI.
..SMITH..06/22/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 491
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-039-043-049-053-065-069-071-075-
081-091-093-095-101-107-109-127-145-155-161-167-173-177-183-185-
193-197-209-215-229-235-249-259-261-267-271-273-275-277-279-283-
287-299-305-307-309-315-321-230040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BEN HILL BERRIEN BRANTLEY
BROOKS CAMDEN CANDLER
CHARLTON CHATTAHOOCHEE CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DODGE DOOLY
DOUGHERTY ECHOLS EMANUEL
EVANS GLYNN HARRIS
IRWIN JEFF DAVIS JOHNSON
LANIER LEE LONG
LOWNDES MACON MARION
MONTGOMERY MUSCOGEE PIERCE
PULASKI SCHLEY STEWART
SUMTER TATTNALL TELFAIR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
WARE WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 491
VALID 222025Z - 222140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/22/09
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 491
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC001-003-005-017-019-021-023-025-027-043-049-053-065-069-071-
075-079-081-091-093-095-101-107-109-145-153-155-161-167-173-175-
177-183-185-193-197-209-215-225-229-235-249-259-261-263-267-269-
271-273-275-277-279-283-287-289-299-305-307-309-315-319-321-
222140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BEN HILL BERRIEN BIBB
BLECKLEY BRANTLEY BROOKS
CANDLER CHARLTON CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLINCH COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK CRAWFORD CRISP
DODGE DOOLY DOUGHERTY
ECHOLS EMANUEL EVANS
HARRIS HOUSTON IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS JOHNSON LANIER
LAURENS LEE LONG
LOWNDES MACON MARION
MONTGOMERY MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIERCE PULASKI SCHLEY
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TATTNALL TAYLOR TELFAIR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
TWIGGS WARE WAYNE
WEBSTER WHEELER WILCOX
WILKINSON WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.