Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 509
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN IOWA
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
EXTREME SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF
DUBUQUE IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTH OF PEORIA ILLINOIS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 508...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY GIVEN VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AS AREA IS
SKIRTED BY LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH GREAT LAKES UPPER
TROUGH. LOW LEVEL SHEAR/FLOW IS WEAK...THOUGH UPPER LEVEL NWLY
WINDS SHOULD ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE
STORMS...INCLUDING ORGANIZATION INTO CLUSTERS/LINES. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS AS STORMS PERSIST INTO
THE EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 32015.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 509 SEVERE TSTM IA IL WI 251750Z - 260000Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NW DBQ/DUBUQUE IA/ - 25S PIA/PEORIA IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /31NW DBQ - 51NW DEC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32015.
LAT...LON 42758983 40298834 40299101 42759258
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 509 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 509
VALID 252240Z - 252340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1324.
..MEAD..06/25/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-015-057-067-071-073-085-095-099-103-105-109-113-123-131-
141-143-155-161-175-177-179-187-195-203-252340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CARROLL FULTON
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS KNOX LA SALLE
LEE LIVINGSTON MCDONOUGH
MCLEAN MARSHALL MERCER
OGLE PEORIA PUTNAM
ROCK ISLAND STARK STEPHENSON
TAZEWELL WARREN WHITESIDE
WOODFORD
$$
IAC011-019-031-043-045-055-057-061-065-087-095-097-101-103-105-
107-111-113-115-139-163-177-183-252340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BUCHANAN CEDAR
CLAYTON CLINTON DELAWARE
DES MOINES DUBUQUE FAYETTE
HENRY IOWA JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
KEOKUK LEE LINN
LOUISA MUSCATINE SCOTT
VAN BUREN WASHINGTON
$$
WIC043-252340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRANT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 509
VALID 252140Z - 252240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/25/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-015-057-067-071-073-085-095-099-103-105-109-113-123-131-
141-143-155-161-175-177-179-187-195-203-252240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CARROLL FULTON
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS KNOX LA SALLE
LEE LIVINGSTON MCDONOUGH
MCLEAN MARSHALL MERCER
OGLE PEORIA PUTNAM
ROCK ISLAND STARK STEPHENSON
TAZEWELL WARREN WHITESIDE
WOODFORD
$$
IAC011-019-031-043-045-055-057-061-065-087-095-097-101-103-105-
107-111-113-115-139-163-177-183-252240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BUCHANAN CEDAR
CLAYTON CLINTON DELAWARE
DES MOINES DUBUQUE FAYETTE
HENRY IOWA JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
KEOKUK LEE LINN
LOUISA MUSCATINE SCOTT
VAN BUREN WASHINGTON
$$
WIC043-252240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRANT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 509
VALID 251930Z - 252040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..06/25/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-015-057-067-071-073-085-095-099-103-105-109-113-123-131-
141-143-155-161-175-177-179-187-195-203-252040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CARROLL FULTON
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS KNOX LA SALLE
LEE LIVINGSTON MCDONOUGH
MCLEAN MARSHALL MERCER
OGLE PEORIA PUTNAM
ROCK ISLAND STARK STEPHENSON
TAZEWELL WARREN WHITESIDE
WOODFORD
$$
IAC011-019-031-043-045-055-057-061-065-087-095-097-101-103-105-
107-111-113-115-139-163-177-183-252040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BUCHANAN CEDAR
CLAYTON CLINTON DELAWARE
DES MOINES DUBUQUE FAYETTE
HENRY IOWA JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
KEOKUK LEE LINN
LOUISA MUSCATINE SCOTT
VAN BUREN WASHINGTON
$$
WIC043-252040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRANT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.