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Severe Thunderstorm Watch 515
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WW0515 Radar
Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Low Very Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Very Low
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Moderate Moderate

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
   SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 515
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   800 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
     FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA

   * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 800 AM UNTIL
     300 PM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
       INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
     ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST
   NORTHWEST OF FALLS CITY NEBRASKA TO 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WICHITA
   KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
   WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

   &&

   DISCUSSION...WDLY SCTD ELEVATED TSTMS NOW FORMING ATOP SHALLOW
   SFC-BASED STABLE LAYER MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH LATER
   THIS MORNING AS LEADING EDGE OF ASCENT LOOSELY TIED TO SRN RCKYS
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES EWD ACROSS REGION. 12Z TOP RAOB SHOWING
   DEEP EML...AND AVAILABILITY OF RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE /PW AROUND 1.50
   INCHES/... SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY LOCALLY
   DMGG FROM SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS.

   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 23030.


   ...CORFIDI
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Page last modified: October 02, 2014
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