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Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528
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WW0528 Radar
Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Very Low Very Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Low
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Low Low

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
   SEL8

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 528
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   350 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2014

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     SOUTHERN KANSAS
     WESTERN OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWEST TEXAS

   * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
     1100 PM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
     ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTHWEST OF
   ALVA OKLAHOMA TO 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHILDRESS TEXAS.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

   &&

   DISCUSSION...HIGH-BASED STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG FORCED ASCENT
   WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS A
   STRONG MID/UPPER TROUGH EMERGES OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ALTHOUGH
   INSTABILITY IS MEAGER...DRY SUB-CLOUD AIRMASS AND STEEPENING
   MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIFT WILL LEAD TO RELATIVELY LOW-TOPPED
   STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL.
   STORMS MAY BECOME BETTER FOCUSED ALONG ADVANCING/SURGING COLD FRONT
   WITH TIME AND EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE ACROSS PARTS OF WEST-CENTRAL
   OK AND NORTHWEST TX THROUGH LATE EVENING.

   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28040.


   ...CARBIN
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Page last modified: October 13, 2014
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