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Tornado Watch 537
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WW0537 Radar
Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood High Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Low Very Low

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
   SEL7

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 537
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1255 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     EASTERN ARKANSAS
     NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
     THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
     MISSISSIPPI
     WEST TENNESSEE

   * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1255 PM UNTIL
     900 PM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES
       POSSIBLE
     SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
       MPH POSSIBLE
     ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF NATCHEZ
   MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 534...WW 535...WW 536...

   DISCUSSION...EXTENSIVE...BROKEN SSW-NNE SQLN NOW EXTENDING FROM NE
   LA TO SE MO SHOULD CONTINUE SLOWLY EWD...ROUGHLY WITH THE SPEED OF
   SUPPORTING SRN PLNS SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE LINE LIKELY WILL CONTAIN
   ADDITIONAL LONG-LIVED LEWPS/SUB-SYNOPTIC LOWS AS INFLUENCE OF UPR
   TROUGH INCREASES...YIELDING STRENGTHENING SSWLY DEEP SHEAR OVER WW
   REGION. COUPLED WITH FURTHER HEATING OF VERY
   MOIST...WEAKLY-CAPPED...CONFLUENT LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT E/SE OF THE
   LINE...SETUP COULD SUPPORT A FEW LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELLS WITH
   TORNADOES...BOTH WITHIN AND AHEAD OF THE LINE. DESPITE MODEST
   MID-LVL LAPSE RATES...A COUPLE OF THE TORNADOES COULD BE STRONG
   GIVEN LOW LCLS...SIZABLE LOW-LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND 60+ KT 700 MB
   FLOW.

   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.


   ...CORFIDI
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Page last modified: October 14, 2014
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