SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 551
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   145 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST COLORADO
          NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL 800
   PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
   NORTHWEST OF LIMON COLORADO TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LAS
   VEGAS NEW MEXICO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 550...
   
   DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
   AND ADJACENT PLAINS WILL TAP RELATIVELY RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
   AND WARMING AIRMASS TO RESULT IN STOUT STORM UPDRAFTS WITH HEAVY
   RAIN AND HAIL THIS AFTERNOON. BELT OF SLIGHTLY STRONGER WLY
   MID-LEVEL FLOW /AROUND 30 KT/ COUPLED WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL SELY FLOW
   WILL RESULT IN ADEQUATE SR SHEAR FOR A FEW PERSISTENT ROTATING
   STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL PRODUCTION. AS STRONGER CELLS
   MOVE/DEVELOPS OVER WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...A
   COUPLE OF DAMAGING WIND EVENTS ALSO APPEAR POSSIBLE.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 32015.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

   SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 551
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   145 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST COLORADO
          NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL 800
   PM MDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
   ISOLATED HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
   NORTHWEST OF LIMON COLORADO TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LAS
   VEGAS NEW MEXICO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 550...
   
   DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
   AND ADJACENT PLAINS WILL TAP RELATIVELY RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
   AND WARMING AIRMASS TO RESULT IN STOUT STORM UPDRAFTS WITH HEAVY
   RAIN AND HAIL THIS AFTERNOON. BELT OF SLIGHTLY STRONGER WLY
   MID-LEVEL FLOW /AROUND 30 KT/ COUPLED WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL SELY FLOW
   WILL RESULT IN ADEQUATE SR SHEAR FOR A FEW PERSISTENT ROTATING
   STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL PRODUCTION. AS STRONGER CELLS
   MOVE/DEVELOPS OVER WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...A
   COUPLE OF DAMAGING WIND EVENTS ALSO APPEAR POSSIBLE.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 32015.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

   SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 551
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   145 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST COLORADO
          NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL 800
   PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
   NORTHWEST OF LIMON COLORADO TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LAS
   VEGAS NEW MEXICO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 550...
   
   DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
   AND ADJACENT PLAINS WILL TAP RELATIVELY RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
   AND WARMING AIRMASS TO RESULT IN STOUT STORM UPDRAFTS WITH HEAVY
   RAIN AND HAIL THIS AFTERNOON. BELT OF SLIGHTLY STRONGER WLY
   MID-LEVEL FLOW /AROUND 30 KT/ COUPLED WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL SELY FLOW
   WILL RESULT IN ADEQUATE SR SHEAR FOR A FEW PERSISTENT ROTATING
   STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL PRODUCTION. AS STRONGER CELLS
   MOVE/DEVELOPS OVER WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...A
   COUPLE OF DAMAGING WIND EVENTS ALSO APPEAR POSSIBLE.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 32015.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

   WOUS64 KWNS 051942
   WOU1
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 551
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   145 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 551 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   COC025-027-035-039-041-043-055-071-073-089-101-119-060200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0551.090705T1945Z-090706T0200Z/
   
   CO 
   .    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CROWLEY              CUSTER              DOUGLAS             
   ELBERT               EL PASO             FREMONT             
   HUERFANO             LAS ANIMAS          LINCOLN             
   OTERO                PUEBLO              TELLER              
   
   
   NMC007-021-033-047-059-060200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0551.090705T1945Z-090706T0200Z/
   
   NM 
   .    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   COLFAX               HARDING             MORA                
   SAN MIGUEL           UNION               
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...BOU...
   
   
   

   SAW1 
   WW 551 SEVERE TSTM CO NM 051945Z - 060200Z
   AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   45WNW LIC/LIMON CO/ - 60ESE LVS/LAS VEGAS NM/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /20SSE DEN - 29WNW TCC/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32015.
   
   LAT...LON 39500341 35310319 35310513 39500548
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU1.
   

Watch 551 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 551

VALID 060140Z - 060200Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N LVS TO
45 ENE LVS TO 30 WNW CAO TO 30 NNW LHX TO 30 NW LIC.

WW 551 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 060200Z.

A FEW SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE UNTIL 03Z...BUT DIMINISHING
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THE OVERALL
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TO WANE FURTHER.

..PETERS..07/06/09

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 551 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC001-005-025-039-071-073-087-089-060200-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     ARAPAHOE		 CROWLEY	     
ELBERT		     LAS ANIMAS 	 LINCOLN	     
MORGAN		     OTERO		 
$$


NMC019-021-037-047-059-060200-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GUADALUPE	     HARDING		 QUAY		     
SAN MIGUEL	     UNION		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 551

VALID 060045Z - 060140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N LVS TO
40 SSE RTN TO 15 NE TAD TO 35 NW LIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1451.

..PETERS..07/06/09

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 551 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC001-005-025-039-041-071-073-087-089-101-123-060140-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     ARAPAHOE		 CROWLEY	     
ELBERT		     EL PASO		 LAS ANIMAS	     
LINCOLN 	     MORGAN		 OTERO		     
PUEBLO		     WELD		 
$$


NMC019-021-037-047-059-060140-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GUADALUPE	     HARDING		 QUAY		     
SAN MIGUEL	     UNION		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 551

VALID 052340Z - 060040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..PETERS..07/05/09

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 551 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC001-005-025-027-035-039-041-043-055-071-073-087-089-101-119-
123-060040-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     ARAPAHOE		 CROWLEY	     
CUSTER		     DOUGLAS		 ELBERT 	     
EL PASO 	     FREMONT		 HUERFANO	     
LAS ANIMAS	     LINCOLN		 MORGAN 	     
OTERO		     PUEBLO		 TELLER 	     
WELD		     
$$


NMC007-021-033-047-059-060040-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLFAX		     HARDING		 MORA		     
SAN MIGUEL	     UNION		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 551

VALID 052235Z - 052340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..PETERS..07/05/09

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 551 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC001-005-025-027-035-039-041-043-055-071-073-087-089-101-119-
123-052340-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     ARAPAHOE		 CROWLEY	     
CUSTER		     DOUGLAS		 ELBERT 	     
EL PASO 	     FREMONT		 HUERFANO	     
LAS ANIMAS	     LINCOLN		 MORGAN 	     
OTERO		     PUEBLO		 TELLER 	     
WELD		     
$$


NMC007-021-033-047-059-052340-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLFAX		     HARDING		 MORA		     
SAN MIGUEL	     UNION		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.