Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 553
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF GAGE OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF POTEAU OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 549...WW 550...WW
551...WW 552...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX NCENTRAL OK CONTINUES SEWD AND
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS. IN ADDITION SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP VICINITY
SURFACE BOUNDARY SRN AND WRN OK WHERE AIRMASS VERY UNSTABLE.
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 553 SEVERE TSTM OK 162025Z - 170300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45SSW GAG/GAGE OK/ - 40S RKR/POTEAU OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /40SSW GAG - 59SSW FSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 36630008 35389462 33509462 34750008
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 553 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 553
VALID 170235Z - 170300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW GAG TO
25 SE GAG TO 15 S AVK.
WW 553 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 170300Z...BUT LOCAL EXTENTIONS
MAY BE WARRANTED FOR ONGOING HAIL THREAT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1429
..JEWELL..06/17/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 553
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-033-039-043-049-
051-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-081-083-085-087-089-091-
093-095-099-107-109-121-123-125-127-129-133-137-141-149-
170300-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
HUGHES JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LATIMER LINCOLN LOGAN
LOVE MCCLAIN MCCURTAIN
MCINTOSH MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
PUSHMATAHA ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 553
VALID 170135Z - 170240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW GAG TO
25 SE GAG TO 20 SSW AVK.
..JEWELL..06/17/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 553
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-033-039-043-049-
051-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-081-083-085-087-089-091-
093-095-099-107-109-121-123-125-127-129-133-137-141-149-153-
170240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
HUGHES JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LATIMER LINCOLN LOGAN
LOVE MCCLAIN MCCURTAIN
MCINTOSH MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
PUSHMATAHA ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 553
VALID 170040Z - 170140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW GAG TO
30 WSW AVK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1427
..BRIGHT..06/17/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 553
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-033-039-043-049-
051-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-081-083-085-087-089-091-
093-095-099-107-109-121-123-125-127-129-133-137-141-149-153-
170140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
HUGHES JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LATIMER LINCOLN LOGAN
LOVE MCCLAIN MCCURTAIN
MCINTOSH MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
PUSHMATAHA ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 553
VALID 162340Z - 170040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BRIGHT..06/16/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 553
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-033-039-043-045-
049-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-081-083-085-087-089-
091-093-095-099-107-109-121-123-125-127-129-133-137-141-149-153-
170040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON HUGHES JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KINGFISHER
KIOWA LATIMER LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MAJOR
MARSHALL MURRAY OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA ROGER MILLS
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 553
VALID 162250Z - 162340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BRIGHT..06/16/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 553
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-033-039-043-045-
049-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-081-083-085-087-089-
091-093-095-099-107-109-121-123-125-127-129-133-137-141-149-153-
162340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON HUGHES JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KINGFISHER
KIOWA LATIMER LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MAJOR
MARSHALL MURRAY OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA ROGER MILLS
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 553
VALID 162135Z - 162240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BRIGHT..06/16/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 553
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-033-039-043-045-
049-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-081-083-085-087-089-
091-093-095-099-107-109-121-123-125-127-129-133-137-141-149-153-
162240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON HUGHES JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KINGFISHER
KIOWA LATIMER LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MAJOR
MARSHALL MURRAY OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA ROGER MILLS
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.