Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 555
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
PARTS OF SOUTHERN OHIO
PARTS OF WESTERN VIRGINIA
LARGE PART OF WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 450 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF ELKINS WEST VIRGINIA TO 65 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
LEXINGTON KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 549. WATCH NUMBER 549 WILL NOT
BE IN EFFECT AFTER 450 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 550...WW 551...WW
552...WW 553...WW 554...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG AND
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT NOW MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE UPPER OH RIVER
VALLEY. WITH MDTLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG WITH 40KT OF
SHEAR...POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL PERSIST
WITH STORMS THRU THE EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 555 SEVERE TSTM KY OH VA WV 162050Z - 170300Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20ENE EKN/ELKINS WV/ - 65SW LEX/LEXINGTON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /29E EKN - 45S LOU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
REPLACES WW 549..IN KY OH VA WV
LAT...LON 37757950 36138544 38598544 40227950
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 555 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 555
VALID 170130Z - 170240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE BWG
TO 10 WNW JKL TO 25 SSW HTS TO 25 WNW CRW TO 30 ESE ZZV.
..JEWELL..06/17/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...RNK...MRX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-025-051-071-095-109-119-121-125-127-131-133-147-153-159-
189-193-195-199-203-231-235-170240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CLAY
FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LAWRENCE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE WAYNE
WHITLEY
$$
OHC167-170240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC021-027-051-071-105-121-155-167-169-173-185-191-195-197-520-
720-170240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
GILES LEE MONTGOMERY
PULASKI RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-035-039-041-043-
045-047-049-055-059-061-063-067-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-
089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-170240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
CABELL CALHOUN CLAY
DODDRIDGE FAYETTE GILMER
GREENBRIER HARRISON JACKSON
KANAWHA LEWIS LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MARION
MERCER MINGO MONONGALIA
MONROE NICHOLAS PLEASANTS
POCAHONTAS PRESTON PUTNAM
RALEIGH RANDOLPH RITCHIE
ROANE SUMMERS TAYLOR
TUCKER TYLER UPSHUR
WAYNE WEBSTER WETZEL
WIRT WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 555
VALID 170045Z - 170140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE BWG
TO 25 SE LEX TO 25 SSW HTS TO 30 ENE HTS TO 30 ESE ZZV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1428
..BRIGHT..06/17/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...RNK...MRX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-025-051-065-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-127-129-131-133-
147-153-159-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-231-235-237-170140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CLAY
ESTILL FLOYD HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY
PIKE POWELL PULASKI
ROCKCASTLE WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
OHC167-170140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC021-027-051-071-105-121-155-167-169-173-185-191-195-197-520-
720-170140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
GILES LEE MONTGOMERY
PULASKI RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-035-039-041-043-
045-047-049-055-059-061-063-067-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-
089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-170140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
CABELL CALHOUN CLAY
DODDRIDGE FAYETTE GILMER
GREENBRIER HARRISON JACKSON
KANAWHA LEWIS LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MARION
MERCER MINGO MONONGALIA
MONROE NICHOLAS PLEASANTS
POCAHONTAS PRESTON PUTNAM
RALEIGH RANDOLPH RITCHIE
ROANE SUMMERS TAYLOR
TUCKER TYLER UPSHUR
WAYNE WEBSTER WETZEL
WIRT WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 555
VALID 162345Z - 170040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE SDF
TO 10 SE LEX TO 40 WSW HTS TO 30 N HTS TO 5 SSW UNI TO 25 N UNI.
..BRIGHT..06/16/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...RNK...MRX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-013-019-021-025-043-045-049-051-053-057-063-065-071-079-
087-095-109-113-115-119-121-125-127-129-131-133-137-147-151-153-
155-159-165-167-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-207-217-231-235-
237-170040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BELL BOYD
BOYLE BREATHITT CARTER
CASEY CLARK CLAY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT
ESTILL FLOYD GARRARD
GREEN HARLAN JACKSON
JESSAMINE JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON
MAGOFFIN MARION MARTIN
MENIFEE MERCER MONTGOMERY
MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY
PIKE POWELL PULASKI
ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL TAYLOR
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
OHC009-053-087-105-167-170040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA LAWRENCE
MEIGS WASHINGTON
$$
VAC021-027-051-071-105-121-155-167-169-173-185-191-195-197-520-
720-170040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
GILES LEE MONTGOMERY
PULASKI RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-035-039-041-043-
045-047-049-053-055-059-061-063-067-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-
087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-170040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
CABELL CALHOUN CLAY
DODDRIDGE FAYETTE GILMER
GREENBRIER HARRISON JACKSON
KANAWHA LEWIS LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MARION
MASON MERCER MINGO
MONONGALIA MONROE NICHOLAS
PLEASANTS POCAHONTAS PRESTON
PUTNAM RALEIGH RANDOLPH
RITCHIE ROANE SUMMERS
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WAYNE WEBSTER
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 555
VALID 162255Z - 162340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE SDF
TO 35 WSW LEX TO 20 NE LEX TO 55 SE LUK TO 40 W HTS TO 35 NW HTS.
..BRIGHT..06/16/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...RNK...MRX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-005-011-013-017-019-021-025-043-045-049-051-053-057-063-
065-067-069-071-079-087-089-095-109-113-115-119-121-125-127-129-
131-133-137-147-151-153-155-159-165-167-173-175-181-189-193-195-
197-199-203-205-207-217-229-231-235-237-239-162340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BATH
BELL BOURBON BOYD
BOYLE BREATHITT CARTER
CASEY CLARK CLAY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT
ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING
FLOYD GARRARD GREEN
GREENUP HARLAN JACKSON
JESSAMINE JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON
MAGOFFIN MARION MARTIN
MENIFEE MERCER MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NICHOLAS OWSLEY
PERRY PIKE POWELL
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
RUSSELL TAYLOR WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
WOODFORD
$$
OHC009-053-079-087-105-163-167-162340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON
LAWRENCE MEIGS VINTON
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC021-027-051-071-105-121-155-167-169-173-185-191-195-197-520-
720-162340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
GILES LEE MONTGOMERY
PULASKI RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-035-039-041-043-
045-047-049-053-055-059-061-063-067-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-
087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-162340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
CABELL CALHOUN CLAY
DODDRIDGE FAYETTE GILMER
GREENBRIER HARRISON JACKSON
KANAWHA LEWIS LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MARION
MASON MERCER MINGO
MONONGALIA MONROE NICHOLAS
PLEASANTS POCAHONTAS PRESTON
PUTNAM RALEIGH RANDOLPH
RITCHIE ROANE SUMMERS
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WAYNE WEBSTER
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 555
VALID 162135Z - 162240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE SDF
TO 20 SW LUK.
..BRIGHT..06/16/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...RNK...MRX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-005-011-013-017-019-021-023-025-043-045-049-051-053-057-
063-065-067-069-071-073-079-081-087-089-095-097-109-113-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-135-137-147-151-153-155-159-161-165-167-
173-175-181-187-189-191-193-195-197-199-201-203-205-207-209-217-
229-231-235-237-239-162240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BATH
BELL BOURBON BOYD
BOYLE BRACKEN BREATHITT
CARTER CASEY CLARK
CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND
ELLIOTT ESTILL FAYETTE
FLEMING FLOYD FRANKLIN
GARRARD GRANT GREEN
GREENUP HARLAN HARRISON
JACKSON JESSAMINE JOHNSON
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LAWRENCE LEE LESLIE
LETCHER LEWIS LINCOLN
MCCREARY MADISON MAGOFFIN
MARION MARTIN MASON
MENIFEE MERCER MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NICHOLAS OWEN
OWSLEY PENDLETON PERRY
PIKE POWELL PULASKI
ROBERTSON ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
RUSSELL SCOTT TAYLOR
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE WOODFORD
$$
OHC001-009-015-053-079-087-105-131-145-163-167-162240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BROWN
GALLIA JACKSON LAWRENCE
MEIGS PIKE SCIOTO
VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
VAC021-027-051-071-105-121-155-167-169-173-185-191-195-197-520-
720-162240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
GILES LEE MONTGOMERY
PULASKI RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-035-039-041-043-
045-047-049-053-055-059-061-063-067-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-
087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-162240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
CABELL CALHOUN CLAY
DODDRIDGE FAYETTE GILMER
GREENBRIER HARRISON JACKSON
KANAWHA LEWIS LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MARION
MASON MERCER MINGO
MONONGALIA MONROE NICHOLAS
PLEASANTS POCAHONTAS PRESTON
PUTNAM RALEIGH RANDOLPH
RITCHIE ROANE SUMMERS
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WAYNE WEBSTER
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.