Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 560
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST IOWA
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF CHAMBERLAIN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SPENCER IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 559...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY IN THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS OVER EASTERN SD...SPREADING INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWEST
MN AND NORTHWEST IA DURING EVENING. STRONG INSTABILITY...SUFFICIENT
DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR...AND PRESENCE OF SEVERAL WEAK BOUNDARIES
WILL HELP TO PROMOTE A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WITH STRONGER
CELLS THROUGH 03Z.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 560 SEVERE TSTM IA MN NE SD 071915Z - 080300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15NNW 9V9/CHAMBERLAIN SD/ - 20NE SPW/SPENCER IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /41SE PIR - 52NNW FOD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 45139944 44529487 42229487 42819944
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 560 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 560
VALID 080225Z - 080300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW ONL
TO 35 ESE 9V9 TO 5 ESE HON TO 20 SW BKX TO 15 ENE FSD TO 30 SW
OTG TO 15 ENE SPW.
PARTS OF WW 560 WILL LIKELY BE INCLUDED IN A NEW WATCH TO THE
WEST OF WW 561.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1481.
..PETERS..07/08/09
ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 560
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-093-119-141-149-167-193-080300-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
IDA LYON O'BRIEN
PLYMOUTH SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC133-080300-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ROCK
$$
NEC043-051-080300-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DIXON
$$
SDC003-005-009-023-027-035-043-061-067-073-077-079-083-087-097-
099-101-111-125-127-135-080300-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME
CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON
DOUGLAS HANSON HUTCHINSON
JERAULD KINGSBURY LAKE
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 560
VALID 080140Z - 080240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW 9V9
TO 30 NW HON TO 35 NE BKX TO 40 NW OTG TO 5 SSE OTG TO 25 WSW FRM.
..PETERS..07/08/09
ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 560
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-080240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC043-081-091-101-105-117-133-080240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FARIBAULT LINCOLN MARTIN
MURRAY NOBLES PIPESTONE
ROCK
$$
NEC043-051-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DIXON
$$
SDC003-005-009-011-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079-
083-087-097-099-101-111-125-127-135-080240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME
BROOKINGS BRULE CHARLES MIX
CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS
GREGORY HANSON HUTCHINSON
JERAULD KINGSBURY LAKE
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 560
VALID 080045Z - 080140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW 9V9
TO 30 NW HON TO 30 NE BKX TO 35 W RWF.
..PETERS..07/08/09
ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 560
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-080140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC013-015-033-043-063-081-083-091-101-105-117-127-133-165-
080140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN COTTONWOOD
FARIBAULT JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MARTIN MURRAY
NOBLES PIPESTONE REDWOOD
ROCK WATONWAN
$$
NEC043-051-080140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DIXON
$$
SDC003-005-009-011-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079-
083-087-097-099-101-111-125-127-135-080140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME
BROOKINGS BRULE CHARLES MIX
CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS
GREGORY HANSON HUTCHINSON
JERAULD KINGSBURY LAKE
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 560
VALID 072340Z - 080040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW 9V9
TO 30 NW HON TO 30 NE BKX TO 35 NE BKX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1479 /THREAT
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL RATES/ AND 1480 /SEVERE WEATHER THREAT/.
..PETERS..07/07/09
ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 560
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-080040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC015-033-063-073-081-083-091-101-105-117-127-133-165-173-
080040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN COTTONWOOD JACKSON
LAC QUI PARLE LINCOLN LYON
MARTIN MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE REDWOOD ROCK
WATONWAN YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
NEC043-051-080040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DIXON
$$
SDC003-005-009-011-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079-
083-087-097-099-101-111-125-127-135-080040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME
BROOKINGS BRULE CHARLES MIX
CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS
GREGORY HANSON HUTCHINSON
JERAULD KINGSBURY LAKE
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 560
VALID 072235Z - 072340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..07/07/09
ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 560
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-072340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC015-033-063-073-081-083-091-101-105-117-127-133-165-173-
072340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN COTTONWOOD JACKSON
LAC QUI PARLE LINCOLN LYON
MARTIN MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE REDWOOD ROCK
WATONWAN YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
NEC043-051-072340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DIXON
$$
SDC003-005-009-011-015-017-023-025-027-029-035-039-043-051-053-
057-059-061-067-069-073-077-079-083-087-097-099-101-111-115-125-
127-135-072340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME
BROOKINGS BRULE BUFFALO
CHARLES MIX CLARK CLAY
CODINGTON DAVISON DEUEL
DOUGLAS GRANT GREGORY
HAMLIN HAND HANSON
HUTCHINSON HYDE JERAULD
KINGSBURY LAKE LINCOLN
MCCOOK MINER MINNEHAHA
MOODY SANBORN SPINK
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 560
VALID 072140Z - 072240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1476.
..PETERS..07/07/09
ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 560
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-072240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC015-033-063-073-081-083-091-101-105-117-127-133-165-173-
072240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN COTTONWOOD JACKSON
LAC QUI PARLE LINCOLN LYON
MARTIN MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE REDWOOD ROCK
WATONWAN YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
NEC043-051-072240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DIXON
$$
SDC003-005-009-011-015-017-023-025-027-029-035-039-043-051-053-
057-059-061-067-069-073-077-079-083-087-097-099-101-111-115-125-
127-135-072240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME
BROOKINGS BRULE BUFFALO
CHARLES MIX CLARK CLAY
CODINGTON DAVISON DEUEL
DOUGLAS GRANT GREGORY
HAMLIN HAND HANSON
HUTCHINSON HYDE JERAULD
KINGSBURY LAKE LINCOLN
MCCOOK MINER MINNEHAHA
MOODY SANBORN SPINK
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 560
VALID 072025Z - 072140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..07/07/09
ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 560
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-072140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC015-033-063-073-081-083-091-101-105-117-127-133-165-173-
072140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN COTTONWOOD JACKSON
LAC QUI PARLE LINCOLN LYON
MARTIN MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE REDWOOD ROCK
WATONWAN YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
NEC043-051-072140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DIXON
$$
SDC003-005-009-011-015-017-023-025-027-029-035-039-043-051-053-
057-059-061-067-069-073-077-079-083-087-097-099-101-111-115-125-
127-135-072140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME
BROOKINGS BRULE BUFFALO
CHARLES MIX CLARK CLAY
CODINGTON DAVISON DEUEL
DOUGLAS GRANT GREGORY
HAMLIN HAND HANSON
HUTCHINSON HYDE JERAULD
KINGSBURY LAKE LINCOLN
MCCOOK MINER MINNEHAHA
MOODY SANBORN SPINK
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.