SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 573
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   550 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHEAST KANSAS
          NORTHWEST MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 550 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
   STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST
   OF MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF KANSAS CITY
   MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...WELL ORGANIZED LINEAR MCS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
   MOVING AT 40-50 MPH ACROSS WW THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING ALONG AXIS
   OF STRONG INSTABILITY.  ACTIVITY SHOULD TEND TO SHIFT A BIT MORE
   SEWD WITH TIME.  STRONGER CORES WITHIN THE LINE MAY BE CAPABLE OF
   LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...ALTHOUGH A GREATER THREAT
   COULD EVOLVE WITH MORE ORGANIZED STRONG-SEVERE OUTFLOW WINDS GIVEN
   THE VERY ORGANIZED NATURE AND FAST MOTION OF THE LINE.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28040.
   
   
   ...EVANS

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 573
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   550 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHEAST KANSAS
          NORTHWEST MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 550 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.
   
   SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
   STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST
   OF MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF KANSAS CITY
   MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...WELL ORGANIZED LINEAR MCS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
   MOVING AT 40-50 MPH ACROSS WW THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING ALONG AXIS
   OF STRONG INSTABILITY.  ACTIVITY SHOULD TEND TO SHIFT A BIT MORE
   SEWD WITH TIME.  STRONGER CORES WITHIN THE LINE MAY BE CAPABLE OF
   LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...ALTHOUGH A GREATER THREAT
   COULD EVOLVE WITH MORE ORGANIZED STRONG-SEVERE OUTFLOW WINDS GIVEN
   THE VERY ORGANIZED NATURE AND FAST MOTION OF THE LINE.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28040.
   
   
   ...EVANS

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 573
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   550 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHEAST KANSAS
          NORTHWEST MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 550 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
   STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST
   OF MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF KANSAS CITY
   MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...WELL ORGANIZED LINEAR MCS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
   MOVING AT 40-50 MPH ACROSS WW THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING ALONG AXIS
   OF STRONG INSTABILITY.  ACTIVITY SHOULD TEND TO SHIFT A BIT MORE
   SEWD WITH TIME.  STRONGER CORES WITHIN THE LINE MAY BE CAPABLE OF
   LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...ALTHOUGH A GREATER THREAT
   COULD EVOLVE WITH MORE ORGANIZED STRONG-SEVERE OUTFLOW WINDS GIVEN
   THE VERY ORGANIZED NATURE AND FAST MOTION OF THE LINE.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28040.
   
   
   ...EVANS

   WOUS64 KWNS 121044
   WOU3
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 573
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   550 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 573 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   KSC003-005-031-045-059-061-085-087-091-103-107-111-121-127-139-
   149-161-177-197-209-121500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0573.090712T1050Z-090712T1500Z/
   
   KS 
   .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ANDERSON             ATCHISON            COFFEY              
   DOUGLAS              FRANKLIN            GEARY               
   JACKSON              JEFFERSON           JOHNSON             
   LEAVENWORTH          LINN                LYON                
   MIAMI                MORRIS              OSAGE               
   POTTAWATOMIE         RILEY               SHAWNEE             
   WABAUNSEE            WYANDOTTE           
   
   
   MOC013-037-047-083-095-101-107-165-121500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0573.090712T1050Z-090712T1500Z/
   
   MO 
   .    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BATES                CASS                CLAY                
   HENRY                JACKSON             JOHNSON             
   LAFAYETTE            PLATTE              
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TOP...EAX...
   
   
   

   SAW3 
   WW 573 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 121050Z - 121500Z
   AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
   15WSW MHK/MANHATTAN KS/ - 60ESE MKC/KANSAS CITY MO/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM EITHER SIDE /33ENE SLN - 53NE BUM/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28040.
   
   LAT...LON 39779683 39499347 38049366 38339702
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU3.
   

Watch 573 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 573

VALID 121440Z - 121500Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE OJC
TO 25 NNW SZL TO 15 N SZL.

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 573 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
12/15Z. 
..KERR..07/12/09

ATTN...WFO...TOP...EAX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 573 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MOC013-083-101-107-121500-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BATES		     HENRY		 JOHNSON	     
LAFAYETTE	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 573

VALID 121340Z - 121440Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE CNU
TO 15 SW STJ.

..KERR..07/12/09

ATTN...WFO...TOP...EAX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 573 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC005-091-103-107-121-209-121440-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATCHISON	     JOHNSON		 LEAVENWORTH	     
LINN		     MIAMI		 WYANDOTTE	     
$$


MOC013-037-047-083-095-101-107-165-121440-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BATES		     CASS		 CLAY		     
HENRY		     JACKSON		 JOHNSON	     
LAFAYETTE	     PLATTE		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 573

VALID 121235Z - 121340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW MHK TO
25 SW TOP TO 15 NNE TOP TO 30 SSW FNB.

..PETERS..07/12/09

ATTN...WFO...TOP...EAX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 573 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC003-005-031-045-059-087-091-103-107-111-121-127-139-177-197-
209-121340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDERSON	     ATCHISON		 COFFEY 	     
DOUGLAS 	     FRANKLIN		 JEFFERSON	     
JOHNSON 	     LEAVENWORTH	 LINN		     
LYON		     MIAMI		 MORRIS 	     
OSAGE		     SHAWNEE		 WABAUNSEE	     
WYANDOTTE	     
$$


MOC013-037-047-083-095-101-107-165-121340-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BATES		     CASS		 CLAY		     
HENRY		     JACKSON		 JOHNSON	     
LAFAYETTE	     PLATTE		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.