Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 590
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
EXTREME NORTHERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 435 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES WEST OF CLINTON
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 587...WW 588...WW 589...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ALONG
SEVERAL REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OVER NRN AND SRN OKLAHOMA.
ENVIRONMENT IS VERY WARM ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES
OF 95-100F WHICH IS CONTRIBUTING MLCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG. NWLY
FLOW ALOFT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING WHICH WILL ENHANCE
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND AID IN STORM ORGANIZATION AND CONTINUED
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...WEISS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 590 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 162135Z - 170500Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50NNE DUA/DURANT OK/ - 40W CSM/CLINTON OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /20SW MLC - 60NNE CDS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 33389605 34099991 36569991 35849605
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 590 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 590
VALID 170440Z - 170540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW AVK TO
45 NE CSM TO 20 ESE OKC TO 15 WNW MLC.
GIVEN THE 05Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION OF WW 590...PORTIONS OF
WW 590 WILL BE LOCALLY EXTENDED UNTIL 07Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1593
..GUYER..07/17/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 590
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-013-015-019-029-031-033-039-043-045-049-051-055-057-
065-067-069-075-085-087-095-099-123-129-137-141-149-153-
170540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BRYAN
CADDO CARTER COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KIOWA LOVE MCCLAIN
MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC
ROGER MILLS STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-275-337-485-487-170540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FANNIN FOARD
GRAYSON HARDEMAN KNOX
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 590
VALID 170240Z - 170340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW AVK TO
45 NE CSM TO 25 ESE OKC TO 15 WNW MLC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1590
..GUYER..07/17/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 590
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-013-015-019-029-031-033-039-043-045-049-051-055-057-
065-067-069-075-085-087-095-099-123-129-137-141-149-153-
170340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BRYAN
CADDO CARTER COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KIOWA LOVE MCCLAIN
MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC
ROGER MILLS STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-275-337-485-487-170340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FANNIN FOARD
GRAYSON HARDEMAN KNOX
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 590
VALID 170125Z - 170240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW AVK TO
45 NE CSM TO 25 ESE OKC TO 15 WNW MLC.
..GUYER..07/17/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 590
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-013-015-019-029-031-033-039-043-045-049-051-055-057-
065-067-069-075-085-087-095-099-123-129-137-141-149-153-
170240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BRYAN
CADDO CARTER COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KIOWA LOVE MCCLAIN
MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC
ROGER MILLS STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-275-337-485-487-170240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FANNIN FOARD
GRAYSON HARDEMAN KNOX
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 590
VALID 170025Z - 170140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..07/17/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 590
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-045-049-
051-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-095-099-
109-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-153-170140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
HUGHES JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-275-337-485-487-170140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FANNIN FOARD
GRAYSON HARDEMAN KNOX
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 590
VALID 162235Z - 162340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..07/16/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 590
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-045-049-
051-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-095-099-
109-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-153-162340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
HUGHES JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-275-337-485-487-162340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FANNIN FOARD
GRAYSON HARDEMAN KNOX
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.