Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 603
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF DALLAS TEXAS TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF HUNTSVILLE TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING VICINITY FTW/DAL METROPLEX IN
AREA OF MDT INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. STORMS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER/INTENSITY AS COLD POOL DEVELOPS.
THIS PROCESS SHOULD ACCELERATE THE STORMS SWD THRU THE WATCH WITH
POSSIBLE INTERACTION WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING NWD FROM SERN TX
GULF COAST.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 33025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 603 SEVERE TSTM TX 191940Z - 200200Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NNE DAL/DALLAS TX/ - 40S UTS/HUNTSVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /30NE DFW - 13NNW IAH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33025.
LAT...LON 33249526 30139412 30139680 33249804
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 603 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 603
VALID 200125Z - 200200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W CLL TO
40 NW LFK TO 25 SE LFK.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 603 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
20/02Z.
..KERR..07/20/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 603
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC041-051-185-199-225-291-313-339-373-407-455-457-471-477-
200200-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZOS BURLESON GRIMES
HARDIN HOUSTON LIBERTY
MADISON MONTGOMERY POLK
SAN JACINTO TRINITY TYLER
WALKER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 603
VALID 200025Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W CLL TO
40 NW LFK TO 25 SE LFK.
..KERR..07/20/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 603
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC041-051-185-199-225-291-313-339-373-407-455-457-471-477-
200140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZOS BURLESON GRIMES
HARDIN HOUSTON LIBERTY
MADISON MONTGOMERY POLK
SAN JACINTO TRINITY TYLER
WALKER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 603
VALID 192330Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1620.
..KERR..07/19/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 603
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-041-051-073-085-113-121-139-145-161-185-199-213-
217-225-251-257-289-291-293-309-313-331-339-347-349-373-395-397-
401-407-423-439-455-457-467-471-477-200040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE
COLLIN DALLAS DENTON
ELLIS FALLS FREESTONE
GRIMES HARDIN HENDERSON
HILL HOUSTON JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LEON LIBERTY
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON
MILAM MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO POLK ROBERTSON
ROCKWALL RUSK SAN JACINTO
SMITH TARRANT TRINITY
TYLER VAN ZANDT WALKER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 603
VALID 192235Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/19/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 603
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-041-051-073-085-113-121-139-145-161-185-199-213-
217-225-251-257-289-291-293-309-313-331-339-347-349-373-395-397-
401-407-423-439-455-457-467-471-477-192340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE
COLLIN DALLAS DENTON
ELLIS FALLS FREESTONE
GRIMES HARDIN HENDERSON
HILL HOUSTON JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LEON LIBERTY
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON
MILAM MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO POLK ROBERTSON
ROCKWALL RUSK SAN JACINTO
SMITH TARRANT TRINITY
TYLER VAN ZANDT WALKER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 603
VALID 192130Z - 192240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/19/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 603
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-041-051-073-085-113-121-139-145-161-185-199-213-
217-225-251-257-289-291-293-309-313-331-339-347-349-373-395-397-
401-407-423-439-455-457-467-471-477-192240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE
COLLIN DALLAS DENTON
ELLIS FALLS FREESTONE
GRIMES HARDIN HENDERSON
HILL HOUSTON JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LEON LIBERTY
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON
MILAM MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO POLK ROBERTSON
ROCKWALL RUSK SAN JACINTO
SMITH TARRANT TRINITY
TYLER VAN ZANDT WALKER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.