Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 607
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND WESTERN KANSAS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 555 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF MCCOOK
NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF WICHITA KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 606...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG AND NE OF NW-SE
STNRY FRONT OVER CNTRL KS AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT PERSISTS/POSSIBLY
INCREASES IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SERIES OF IMPULSES MOVING SEWD
WITHIN AMPLIFYING LARGER SCALE TROUGH. OTHER STORMS/SUPERCELLS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY S OR SSE ALONG AND BEHIND COLD
FRONT NOW OVER WRN NEB.
INCREASINGLY MOIST LOW LVL ENVIRONMENT INVOF STNRY FRONT...AND
STRENGTHENING LLJ SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...GIVEN DISCRETE
STORMS. OTHERWISE...COMBINATION OF INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT...
MOISTURE INFLOW...AND MDT SSWLY LLJ SHOULD SUPPORT EVENTUAL
EVOLUTION INTO A LARGE...FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS. EMBEDDED BOWING
SEGMENTS/SUPERCELLS MAY POSE A THREAT FOR SVR WIND/HAIL AND PERHAPS
ISOLD TORNADOES INTO LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 607 TORNADO KS NE 202255Z - 210700Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25N MCK/MCCOOK NE/ - 45SSE ICT/WICHITA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /22N MCK - 48SSE ICT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33030.
LAT...LON 40549876 37049540 37049883 40540238
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 607 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 607
VALID 210430Z - 210540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE P28
TO 30 SE RSL TO 30 SW MHK.
..KERR..07/21/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GLD...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 607
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-015-017-019-035-049-053-073-077-079-095-113-115-125-155-
159-169-173-191-205-207-210540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BUTLER CHASE
CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY ELK
ELLSWORTH GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN MCPHERSON
MARION MONTGOMERY RENO
RICE SALINE SEDGWICK
SUMNER WILSON WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 607
VALID 210325Z - 210440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE GCK TO
30 NE SLN.
..KERR..07/21/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GLD...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 607
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-015-017-019-035-041-047-049-053-073-077-079-095-097-
113-115-125-127-135-145-151-155-159-165-169-173-185-191-205-207-
210440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
DICKINSON EDWARDS ELK
ELLSWORTH GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN KIOWA
MCPHERSON MARION MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RENO RICE
RUSH SALINE SEDGWICK
STAFFORD SUMNER WILSON
WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 607
VALID 210230Z - 210340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/21/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GLD...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 607
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-015-017-019-023-029-035-039-041-047-049-051-053-065-
073-077-079-089-095-097-105-113-115-123-125-127-135-137-141-143-
145-147-151-153-155-159-163-165-167-169-173-179-181-183-185-191-
193-195-205-207-210340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEYENNE
CLOUD COWLEY DECATUR
DICKINSON EDWARDS ELK
ELLIS ELLSWORTH GRAHAM
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
JEWELL KINGMAN KIOWA
LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY MORRIS
NESS NORTON OSBORNE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PHILLIPS
PRATT RAWLINS RENO
RICE ROOKS RUSH
RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK
SHERIDAN SHERMAN SMITH
STAFFORD SUMNER THOMAS
TREGO WILSON WOODSON
$$
NEC057-087-145-210340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 607
VALID 210130Z - 210240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/21/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GLD...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 607
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-015-017-019-023-029-035-039-041-047-049-051-053-065-
073-077-079-089-095-097-105-113-115-123-125-127-135-137-141-143-
145-147-151-153-155-159-163-165-167-169-173-179-181-183-185-191-
193-195-205-207-210240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEYENNE
CLOUD COWLEY DECATUR
DICKINSON EDWARDS ELK
ELLIS ELLSWORTH GRAHAM
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
JEWELL KINGMAN KIOWA
LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY MORRIS
NESS NORTON OSBORNE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PHILLIPS
PRATT RAWLINS RENO
RICE ROOKS RUSH
RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK
SHERIDAN SHERMAN SMITH
STAFFORD SUMNER THOMAS
TREGO WILSON WOODSON
$$
NEC057-087-145-210240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 607
VALID 210035Z - 210140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/21/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GLD...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 607
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-015-017-019-023-029-035-039-041-047-049-051-053-065-
073-077-079-089-095-097-105-113-115-123-125-127-135-137-141-143-
145-147-151-153-155-159-163-165-167-169-173-179-181-183-185-191-
193-195-205-207-210140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEYENNE
CLOUD COWLEY DECATUR
DICKINSON EDWARDS ELK
ELLIS ELLSWORTH GRAHAM
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
JEWELL KINGMAN KIOWA
LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY MORRIS
NESS NORTON OSBORNE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PHILLIPS
PRATT RAWLINS RENO
RICE ROOKS RUSH
RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK
SHERIDAN SHERMAN SMITH
STAFFORD SUMNER THOMAS
TREGO WILSON WOODSON
$$
NEC057-087-145-210140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.