Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 610
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THE NORTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1030 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF GAGE OKLAHOMA TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 607...WW 608...WW 609...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SUPERCELLS NOW IN SW KS...AND ALONG CNTRL PARTS
OF THE KS/OK BORDER...SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP GENERALLY SSE THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY AS MID LVL NWLY FLOW STRENGTHENS AND DEEPENS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AMPLIFYING LARGER SCALE TROUGH. GIVEN EXISTING
THERMODYNAMIC SETUP AND EXPECTED VEERING/STRENGHTENING OF LLJ...A
THREAT FOR ISOLD SVR HAIL/WIND SHOULD SPREAD FARTHER SSE AS ACTIVITY
EVOLVES INTO A FORWARD-PROPAGATING CLUSTER. INCREASING CIN SHOULD
ULTIMATELY WEAKEN STORMS LATER TUESDAY MORNING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 35030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 610 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 210330Z - 211100Z
AXIS..115 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NNW GAG/GAGE OK/ - 20SW OKC/OKLAHOMA CITY OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 100NM E/W /39E LBL - 15SW OKC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 35030.
LAT...LON 37009806 35189580 35189988 37000223
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 610 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 610
VALID 211045Z - 211100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE OKC
TO 35 NNW MLC.
WW 610 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 211100Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1638
..CARBIN..07/21/09
ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 610
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC063-125-133-211100-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HUGHES POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 610
VALID 210945Z - 211040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW OKC
TO 20 E CQB.
..CARBIN..07/21/09
ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 610
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC027-063-087-125-133-211040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEVELAND HUGHES MCCLAIN
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 610
VALID 210835Z - 210940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S CSM TO
30 SE GAG TO 20 N CQB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1637
..CARBIN..07/21/09
ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 610
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC017-027-039-063-073-081-083-087-109-125-133-210940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CANADIAN CLEVELAND CUSTER
HUGHES KINGFISHER LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN OKLAHOMA
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 610
VALID 210435Z - 210540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/21/09
ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 610
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-011-017-027-039-043-045-059-063-073-081-083-087-093-109-
125-129-133-139-151-153-210540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BLAINE CANADIAN
CLEVELAND CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS HARPER HUGHES
KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR OKLAHOMA
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
TEXAS WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC195-211-233-295-357-393-210540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON
LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE ROBERTS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.