SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 614
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   330 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF NORTHEAST COLORADO
          PARTS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS
          WESTERN NEBRASKA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST
   NORTHWEST OF VALENTINE NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
   BURLINGTON COLORADO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...AIR MASS WITH STRONG HEATING HAS BECOME MDTLY UNSTABLE
   WITH MLCAPES AOA 2000 J/KG ACROSS THE WATCH.  EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF
   30KT IN NWLY FLOW REGIME WILL SUPPORT ROTATING STORMS. 
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG WESTERN AREA OF GREATEST
   INSTABILITY AND WILL MOVE/PROPAGATE SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH.  VERY
   LARGE HAIL IS PRIMARY THREAT WITH PARTICULARLY ANY SUPERCELL THAT
   DEVELOPS.  DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS WELL AS 
   ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 33025.
   
   
   ...HALES

   SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 614
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   330 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF NORTHEAST COLORADO
          PARTS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS
          WESTERN NEBRASKA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
   ISOLATED HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST
   NORTHWEST OF VALENTINE NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
   BURLINGTON COLORADO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...AIR MASS WITH STRONG HEATING HAS BECOME MDTLY UNSTABLE
   WITH MLCAPES AOA 2000 J/KG ACROSS THE WATCH.  EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF
   30KT IN NWLY FLOW REGIME WILL SUPPORT ROTATING STORMS. 
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG WESTERN AREA OF GREATEST
   INSTABILITY AND WILL MOVE/PROPAGATE SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH.  VERY
   LARGE HAIL IS PRIMARY THREAT WITH PARTICULARLY ANY SUPERCELL THAT
   DEVELOPS.  DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS WELL AS 
   ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 33025.
   
   
   ...HALES

   SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 614
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   330 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF NORTHEAST COLORADO
          PARTS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS
          WESTERN NEBRASKA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST
   NORTHWEST OF VALENTINE NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
   BURLINGTON COLORADO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...AIR MASS WITH STRONG HEATING HAS BECOME MDTLY UNSTABLE
   WITH MLCAPES AOA 2000 J/KG ACROSS THE WATCH.  EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF
   30KT IN NWLY FLOW REGIME WILL SUPPORT ROTATING STORMS. 
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG WESTERN AREA OF GREATEST
   INSTABILITY AND WILL MOVE/PROPAGATE SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH.  VERY
   LARGE HAIL IS PRIMARY THREAT WITH PARTICULARLY ANY SUPERCELL THAT
   DEVELOPS.  DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS WELL AS 
   ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 33025.
   
   
   ...HALES

   WOUS64 KWNS 232026
   WOU4
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 614
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   330 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 614 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   COC017-063-075-095-115-125-240400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0614.090723T2030Z-090724T0400Z/
   
   CO 
   .    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CHEYENNE             KIT CARSON          LOGAN               
   PHILLIPS             SEDGWICK            YUMA                
   
   
   KSC023-109-153-181-193-199-240400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0614.090723T2030Z-090724T0400Z/
   
   KS 
   .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CHEYENNE             LOGAN               RAWLINS             
   SHERMAN              THOMAS              WALLACE             
   
   
   NEC005-009-017-029-031-049-057-063-069-075-085-087-091-101-111-
   113-117-135-161-171-240400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0614.090723T2030Z-090724T0400Z/
   
   NE 
   .    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ARTHUR               BLAINE              BROWN               
   CHASE                CHERRY              DEUEL               
   DUNDY                FRONTIER            GARDEN              
   GRANT                HAYES               HITCHCOCK           
   HOOKER               KEITH               LINCOLN             
   LOGAN                MCPHERSON           PERKINS             
   SHERIDAN             THOMAS              
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF...BOU...
   
   
   

   SAW4 
   WW 614 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 232030Z - 240400Z
   AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   40WNW VTN/VALENTINE NE/ - 40SSE ITR/BURLINGTON CO/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /64WNW ANW - 44SSW GLD/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33025.
   
   LAT...LON 43069998 38700079 38700319 43060256
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU4.
   

Watch 614 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 614

VALID 240255Z - 240340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW HLC
TO 30 S LBF TO 35 NNE MCK.

..SMITH..07/24/09

ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 614 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC039-063-065-137-179-240340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DECATUR 	     GOVE		 GRAHAM 	     
NORTON		     SHERIDAN		 
$$


NEC063-071-089-103-115-145-149-183-240340-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FRONTIER	     GARFIELD		 HOLT		     
KEYA PAHA	     LOUP		 RED WILLOW	     
ROCK		     WHEELER		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 614

VALID 240145Z - 240240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE GLD
TO 35 WNW LBF TO 5 WSW ANW.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1652

..SMITH..07/24/09

ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 614 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC109-153-193-240240-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LOGAN		     RAWLINS		 THOMAS 	     
$$


NEC009-017-029-057-063-071-085-087-089-103-111-113-115-117-135-
149-171-183-240240-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BLAINE		     BROWN		 CHASE		     
DUNDY		     FRONTIER		 GARFIELD	     
HAYES		     HITCHCOCK		 HOLT		     
KEYA PAHA	     LINCOLN		 LOGAN		     
LOUP		     MCPHERSON		 PERKINS	     
ROCK		     THOMAS		 WHEELER	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 614

VALID 240055Z - 240140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE ITR
TO 35 SW MHN TO 5 W ANW.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1652

..SMITH..07/24/09

ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 614 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC023-109-153-181-193-199-240140-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEYENNE	     LOGAN		 RAWLINS	     
SHERMAN 	     THOMAS		 WALLACE	     
$$


NEC005-009-017-029-057-063-085-087-101-111-113-117-135-171-
240140-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARTHUR		     BLAINE		 BROWN		     
CHASE		     DUNDY		 FRONTIER	     
HAYES		     HITCHCOCK		 KEITH		     
LINCOLN 	     LOGAN		 MCPHERSON	     
PERKINS 	     THOMAS		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 614

VALID 232225Z - 232340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..SMITH..07/23/09

ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 614 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC017-063-075-095-115-125-232340-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEYENNE	     KIT CARSON 	 LOGAN		     
PHILLIPS	     SEDGWICK		 YUMA		     
$$


KSC023-109-153-181-193-199-232340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEYENNE	     LOGAN		 RAWLINS	     
SHERMAN 	     THOMAS		 WALLACE	     
$$


NEC005-009-017-029-031-049-057-063-069-075-085-087-091-101-111-
113-117-135-161-171-232340-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARTHUR		     BLAINE		 BROWN		     
CHASE		     CHERRY		 DEUEL		     
DUNDY		     FRONTIER		 GARDEN 	     
GRANT		     HAYES		 HITCHCOCK	     
HOOKER		     KEITH		 LINCOLN	     
LOGAN		     MCPHERSON		 PERKINS	     
SHERIDAN	     THOMAS		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.