SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 615
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   450 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
          EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 450 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
   HALLOCK MINNESOTA TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JAMESTOWN NORTH
   DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
   WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 614...
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY ALONG A
   PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IN CENTRAL ND WHERE STRONG SURFACE HEATING HAS
   REDUCED CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND CONTRIBUTED TO MODERATE
   INSTABILITY.  ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL FORM DURING THE EVENING INTO NE
   ND AND NW MN AS A PRONOUNCED MID LEVEL TROUGH DIGS SEWD FROM
   MANITOBA.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG DEEP
   LAYER NWLY SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF BOTH SUPERCELLS AND BOWING
   SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THROUGH
   EARLY TONIGHT.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 30030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 615
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   450 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
          EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 450 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
   
   SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
   HALLOCK MINNESOTA TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JAMESTOWN NORTH
   DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
   WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 614...
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY ALONG A
   PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IN CENTRAL ND WHERE STRONG SURFACE HEATING HAS
   REDUCED CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND CONTRIBUTED TO MODERATE
   INSTABILITY.  ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL FORM DURING THE EVENING INTO NE
   ND AND NW MN AS A PRONOUNCED MID LEVEL TROUGH DIGS SEWD FROM
   MANITOBA.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG DEEP
   LAYER NWLY SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF BOTH SUPERCELLS AND BOWING
   SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THROUGH
   EARLY TONIGHT.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 30030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 615
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   450 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
          EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 450 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
   HALLOCK MINNESOTA TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JAMESTOWN NORTH
   DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
   WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 614...
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY ALONG A
   PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IN CENTRAL ND WHERE STRONG SURFACE HEATING HAS
   REDUCED CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND CONTRIBUTED TO MODERATE
   INSTABILITY.  ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL FORM DURING THE EVENING INTO NE
   ND AND NW MN AS A PRONOUNCED MID LEVEL TROUGH DIGS SEWD FROM
   MANITOBA.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG DEEP
   LAYER NWLY SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF BOTH SUPERCELLS AND BOWING
   SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THROUGH
   EARLY TONIGHT.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 30030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   WOUS64 KWNS 232148
   WOU5
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 615
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   450 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 615 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-069-077-087-089-107-111-113-119-125-
   135-159-167-240500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0615.090723T2150Z-090724T0500Z/
   
   MN 
   .    MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BECKER               BELTRAMI            CLAY                
   CLEARWATER           GRANT               HUBBARD             
   KITTSON              LAKE OF THE WOODS   MAHNOMEN            
   MARSHALL             NORMAN              OTTER TAIL          
   PENNINGTON           POLK                RED LAKE            
   ROSEAU               WADENA              WILKIN              
   
   
   NDC003-005-015-017-019-021-027-029-031-035-039-043-045-047-051-
   063-067-071-073-077-081-083-091-093-095-097-099-103-240500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0615.090723T2150Z-090724T0500Z/
   
   ND 
   .    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BARNES               BENSON              BURLEIGH            
   CASS                 CAVALIER            DICKEY              
   EDDY                 EMMONS              FOSTER              
   GRAND FORKS          GRIGGS              KIDDER              
   LAMOURE              LOGAN               MCINTOSH            
   NELSON               PEMBINA             RAMSEY              
   RANSOM               RICHLAND            SARGENT             
   SHERIDAN             STEELE              STUTSMAN            
   TOWNER               TRAILL              WALSH               
   WELLS                
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
   
   
   

   SAW5 
   WW 615 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 232150Z - 240500Z
   AXIS..115 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   15NW HCO/HALLOCK MN/ - 75SSE JMS/JAMESTOWN ND/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 100NM E/W /57N GFK - 33NNE ABR/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30030.
   
   LAT...LON 48889463 45909569 45900047 48889969
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU5.
   

Watch 615 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 615

VALID 240255Z - 240340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW VVV TO
10 E GFK TO 35 ESE RRT.

..SMITH..07/24/09

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 615 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-087-107-111-113-119-125-159-167-
240340-

MN 
.    MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BECKER		     BELTRAMI		 CLAY		     
CLEARWATER	     GRANT		 HUBBARD	     
MAHNOMEN	     NORMAN		 OTTER TAIL	     
PENNINGTON	     POLK		 RED LAKE	     
WADENA		     WILKIN		 
$$


NDC017-077-097-240340-

ND 
.    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CASS		     RICHLAND		 TRAILL 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 615

VALID 240135Z - 240240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE ABR
TO 30 NNE JMS TO 10 NNW HCO.

..SMITH..07/24/09

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 615 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-069-077-087-089-107-111-113-119-125-
135-159-167-240240-

MN 
.    MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BECKER		     BELTRAMI		 CLAY		     
CLEARWATER	     GRANT		 HUBBARD	     
KITTSON 	     LAKE OF THE WOODS	 MAHNOMEN	     
MARSHALL	     NORMAN		 OTTER TAIL	     
PENNINGTON	     POLK		 RED LAKE	     
ROSEAU		     WADENA		 WILKIN 	     
$$


NDC003-017-035-039-073-077-081-091-097-099-240240-

ND 
.    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARNES		     CASS		 GRAND FORKS	     
GRIGGS		     RANSOM		 RICHLAND	     
SARGENT 	     STEELE		 TRAILL 	     
WALSH		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.