Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 617
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 320 AM UNTIL 800 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 20 MILES NORTH OF GROVE OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 615...WW 616...
DISCUSSION...BOWING CLUSTER OF SEVERE STORMS NEAR ICT WILL TRACK
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD INTO MODERATELY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL
BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 617 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 270820Z - 271300Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
5NW PNC/PONCA CITY OK/ - 20N GMJ/GROVE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /44NE END - 27SE OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31035.
LAT...LON 37419716 37549473 36259473 36119716
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 617 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 617
VALID 271225Z - 271340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..06/27/08
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 617
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-049-099-125-133-205-207-271340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA ELK
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC035-041-097-105-113-115-117-131-143-147-271340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OSAGE OTTAWA
PAWNEE ROGERS TULSA
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 617
VALID 271045Z - 271140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..06/27/08
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 617
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-049-099-125-133-205-207-271140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA ELK
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC035-041-097-105-113-115-117-131-143-147-271140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OSAGE OTTAWA
PAWNEE ROGERS TULSA
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 617
VALID 270955Z - 271040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..06/27/08
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 617
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-049-099-125-133-205-207-271040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA ELK
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC035-041-097-105-113-115-117-131-143-147-271040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OSAGE OTTAWA
PAWNEE ROGERS TULSA
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.