Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 618
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM EDT FRI JUN 27 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
DELAWARE
EASTERN MARYLAND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
A LARGE PART OF VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF ROANOKE VIRGINIA TO 10 MILES NORTH OF PHILADELPHIA
PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
OVER AND E OF HIGHER TERRAIN AS AIR MASS IS NOW MDTLY UNSTABLE WITH
MLCAPES AOA 2000 J/KG. WITH 20-30 KT OF MID LEVEL FLOW PRIMARY
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT LINE SEGMENTS
ALONG WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP EWD ACROSS
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS THRU THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...HALES
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 618
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM EDT FRI JUN 27 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
DELAWARE
EASTERN MARYLAND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
A LARGE PART OF VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF ROANOKE VIRGINIA TO 10 MILES NORTH OF PHILADELPHIA
PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
OVER AND E OF HIGHER TERRAIN AS AIR MASS IS NOW MDTLY UNSTABLE WITH
MLCAPES AOA 2000 J/KG. WITH 20-30 KT OF MID LEVEL FLOW PRIMARY
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT LINE SEGMENTS
ALONG WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP EWD ACROSS
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS THRU THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 618 SEVERE TSTM DC DE MD NJ PA VA CW 271640Z - 280000Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55SSE ROA/ROANOKE VA/ - 10N PHL/PHILADELPHIA PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /37NNE GSO - 39WNW CYN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
LAT...LON 36568140 39997713 39997336 36567780
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 618 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 618
VALID 272325Z - 280000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW MRB TO
15 N DCA TO 25 WSW ILG TO 40 SW ABE.
WW 618 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 280000Z.
..HURLBUT..06/27/08
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 618
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-280000-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-280000-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-009-011-015-017-019-029-033-035-037-039-041-045-280000-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CAROLINE
CECIL CHARLES DORCHESTER
KENT PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S
ST. MARYS SOMERSET TALBOT
WICOMICO
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-033-280000-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
SALEM
$$
PAC029-045-091-101-280000-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DELAWARE MONTGOMERY
PHILADELPHIA
$$
VAC003-007-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-033-035-036-037-
041-045-047-049-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-073-075-077-079-
083-085-087-089-095-097-099-101-103-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-
125-127-133-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-153-155-157-159-161-163-
173-177-179-185-193-197-199-510-515-530-540-570-590-600-610-630-
640-670-678-680-683-685-690-730-750-760-770-775-830-280000-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE AMELIA AMHERST
APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON BEDFORD
BLAND BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE
CARROLL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CRAIG CULPEPER
CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX
FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FLOYD
FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GILES
GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND GRAYSON
GREENE HALIFAX HANOVER
HENRICO HENRY JAMES CITY
KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUISA LUNENBURG
MADISON MATHEWS MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX MONTGOMERY NELSON
NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY
ORANGE PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA
POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE
PRINCE WILLIAM PULASKI RAPPAHANNOCK
RICHMOND ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE
SMYTH SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
TAZEWELL WESTMORELAND WYTHE
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA BEDFORD BUENA VISTA
CHARLOTTESVILLE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG
GALAX HOPEWELL LEXINGTON
LYNCHBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
MARTINSVILLE PETERSBURG RADFORD
RICHMOND ROANOKE SALEM
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ430-431-532-533-534-535-536-537-630-631-280000-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 618
VALID 272230Z - 272340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE SHD
TO 25 WNW BWI TO 25 NNE BWI TO 25 ENE CXY.
..HURLBUT..06/27/08
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 618
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-272340-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-272340-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-015-017-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-037-039-
041-045-510-272340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CECIL CHARLES
DORCHESTER HARFORD HOWARD
KENT MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES
QUEEN ANNE'S ST. MARYS SOMERSET
TALBOT WICOMICO
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-033-272340-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
SALEM
$$
PAC029-045-071-091-101-272340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DELAWARE LANCASTER
MONTGOMERY PHILADELPHIA
$$
VAC003-007-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-033-035-036-037-
041-045-047-049-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-073-075-077-079-
083-085-087-089-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-
121-125-127-133-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-153-155-157-159-161-
163-173-177-179-185-193-197-199-510-515-530-540-570-590-600-610-
630-640-670-678-680-683-685-690-730-750-760-770-775-830-
272340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE AMELIA AMHERST
APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON BEDFORD
BLAND BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE
CARROLL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CRAIG CULPEPER
CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX
FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FLOYD
FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GILES
GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND GRAYSON
GREENE HALIFAX HANOVER
HENRICO HENRY JAMES CITY
KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUDOUN LOUISA
LUNENBURG MADISON MATHEWS
MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX MONTGOMERY
NELSON NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND
NOTTOWAY ORANGE PATRICK
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE PRINCE WILLIAM PULASKI
RAPPAHANNOCK RICHMOND ROANOKE
ROCKBRIDGE SMYTH SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD TAZEWELL WESTMORELAND
WYTHE YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA BEDFORD BUENA VISTA
CHARLOTTESVILLE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG
GALAX HOPEWELL LEXINGTON
LYNCHBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
MARTINSVILLE PETERSBURG RADFORD
RICHMOND ROANOKE SALEM
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ430-431-530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-630-631-272340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 618
VALID 272125Z - 272240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..06/27/08
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 618
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-272240-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-272240-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-
037-039-041-045-510-272240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES DORCHESTER FREDERICK
HARFORD HOWARD KENT
MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S
ST. MARYS SOMERSET TALBOT
WICOMICO
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-033-272240-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
SALEM
$$
PAC001-029-041-045-071-091-101-133-272240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CHESTER CUMBERLAND
DELAWARE LANCASTER MONTGOMERY
PHILADELPHIA YORK
$$
VAC003-007-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-033-035-036-037-
041-045-047-049-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-073-075-077-079-
083-085-087-089-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-
121-125-127-133-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-153-155-157-159-161-
163-173-177-179-185-193-197-199-510-515-530-540-570-590-600-610-
630-640-670-678-680-683-685-690-730-750-760-770-775-830-
272240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE AMELIA AMHERST
APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON BEDFORD
BLAND BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE
CARROLL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CRAIG CULPEPER
CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX
FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FLOYD
FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GILES
GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND GRAYSON
GREENE HALIFAX HANOVER
HENRICO HENRY JAMES CITY
KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUDOUN LOUISA
LUNENBURG MADISON MATHEWS
MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX MONTGOMERY
NELSON NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND
NOTTOWAY ORANGE PATRICK
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE PRINCE WILLIAM PULASKI
RAPPAHANNOCK RICHMOND ROANOKE
ROCKBRIDGE SMYTH SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD TAZEWELL WESTMORELAND
WYTHE YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA BEDFORD BUENA VISTA
CHARLOTTESVILLE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG
GALAX HOPEWELL LEXINGTON
LYNCHBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
MARTINSVILLE PETERSBURG RADFORD
RICHMOND ROANOKE SALEM
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ430-431-530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-630-631-272240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 618
VALID 272015Z - 272140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1595
..HURLBUT..06/27/08
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 618
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-272140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-272140-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-
037-039-041-045-510-272140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES DORCHESTER FREDERICK
HARFORD HOWARD KENT
MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S
ST. MARYS SOMERSET TALBOT
WICOMICO
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-033-272140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
SALEM
$$
PAC001-029-041-045-071-091-101-133-272140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CHESTER CUMBERLAND
DELAWARE LANCASTER MONTGOMERY
PHILADELPHIA YORK
$$
VAC003-007-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-033-035-036-037-
041-045-047-049-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-073-075-077-079-
083-085-087-089-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-
121-125-127-133-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-153-155-157-159-161-
163-173-177-179-185-193-197-510-515-530-540-570-590-600-610-630-
640-670-678-680-683-685-690-730-750-760-770-775-830-272140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE AMELIA AMHERST
APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON BEDFORD
BLAND BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE
CARROLL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CRAIG CULPEPER
CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX
FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FLOYD
FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GILES
GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND GRAYSON
GREENE HALIFAX HANOVER
HENRICO HENRY JAMES CITY
KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUDOUN LOUISA
LUNENBURG MADISON MATHEWS
MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX MONTGOMERY
NELSON NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND
NOTTOWAY ORANGE PATRICK
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE PRINCE WILLIAM PULASKI
RAPPAHANNOCK RICHMOND ROANOKE
ROCKBRIDGE SMYTH SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD TAZEWELL WESTMORELAND
WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA BEDFORD BUENA VISTA
CHARLOTTESVILLE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG
GALAX HOPEWELL LEXINGTON
LYNCHBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
MARTINSVILLE PETERSBURG RADFORD
RICHMOND ROANOKE SALEM
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ430-431-530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-630-631-272140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.