SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 631
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   120 PM MDT TUE JUL 28 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO
          EASTERN NEW MEXICO
          WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
          WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL
   900 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   TRINIDAD COLORADO TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROSWELL NEW MEXICO. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 630...
   
   DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NERN
   NM AND SERN CO. THESE STORMS WILL SHIFT SEWD AND INTENSIFY AS THEY
   ENCOUNTER A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. ALSO...A JET MAX MOVING INTO
   THE AREA WILL STRENGTHEN THE ALREADY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE
   ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS. AN ISOLATED
   BRIEF TORNADO IS POSSIBLE ALONG WEAK FRONT NEAR THE CO/NM
   BORDER...BUT WEAKER OVERALL LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTS VERY LARGE HAIL
   AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 33025.
   
   
   ...IMY

   SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 631
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   120 PM MDT TUE JUL 28 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO
          EASTERN NEW MEXICO
          WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
          WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL
   900 PM MDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
   HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   TRINIDAD COLORADO TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROSWELL NEW MEXICO. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 630...
   
   DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NERN
   NM AND SERN CO. THESE STORMS WILL SHIFT SEWD AND INTENSIFY AS THEY
   ENCOUNTER A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. ALSO...A JET MAX MOVING INTO
   THE AREA WILL STRENGTHEN THE ALREADY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE
   ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS. AN ISOLATED
   BRIEF TORNADO IS POSSIBLE ALONG WEAK FRONT NEAR THE CO/NM
   BORDER...BUT WEAKER OVERALL LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTS VERY LARGE HAIL
   AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 33025.
   
   
   ...IMY

   SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 631
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   120 PM MDT TUE JUL 28 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO
          EASTERN NEW MEXICO
          WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
          WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL
   900 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   TRINIDAD COLORADO TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROSWELL NEW MEXICO. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 630...
   
   DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NERN
   NM AND SERN CO. THESE STORMS WILL SHIFT SEWD AND INTENSIFY AS THEY
   ENCOUNTER A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. ALSO...A JET MAX MOVING INTO
   THE AREA WILL STRENGTHEN THE ALREADY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE
   ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS. AN ISOLATED
   BRIEF TORNADO IS POSSIBLE ALONG WEAK FRONT NEAR THE CO/NM
   BORDER...BUT WEAKER OVERALL LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTS VERY LARGE HAIL
   AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 33025.
   
   
   ...IMY

   WOUS64 KWNS 281913
   WOU1
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 631
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   120 PM MDT TUE JUL 28 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 631 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   COC009-023-055-071-101-290300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0631.090728T1920Z-090729T0300Z/
   
   CO 
   .    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BACA                 COSTILLA            HUERFANO            
   LAS ANIMAS           PUEBLO              
   
   
   NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-055-057-059-
   290300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0631.090728T1920Z-090729T0300Z/
   
   NM 
   .    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CHAVES               COLFAX              CURRY               
   DE BACA              GUADALUPE           HARDING             
   LINCOLN              MORA                QUAY                
   ROOSEVELT            SAN MIGUEL          TAOS                
   TORRANCE             UNION               
   
   
   OKC025-290300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0631.090728T1920Z-090729T0300Z/
   
   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CIMARRON             
   
   
   TXC017-111-117-205-359-369-290300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0631.090728T1920Z-090729T0300Z/
   
   TX 
   .    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BAILEY               DALLAM              DEAF SMITH          
   HARTLEY              OLDHAM              PARMER              
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...PUB...LUB...AMA...ABQ...
   
   
   

   SAW1 
   WW 631 SEVERE TSTM CO NM OK TX 281920Z - 290300Z
   AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   40NE TAD/TRINIDAD CO/ - 30SE ROW/ROSWELL NM/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /27NNW TBE - 31SE ROW/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33025.
   
   LAT...LON 37660208 32970252 32970580 37660555
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU1.
   

Watch 631 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 631

VALID 290240Z - 290300Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE SRR
TO 35 W CVS TO 35 WNW TCC TO 35 ENE LVS TO 30 S RTN TO 40 NNE TCC
TO 35 WSW AMA.

WW 631 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 290300Z. MOST OF THE STRONGER 
STORMS WILL BEGIN MOVING SOUTH OF WW 631 AFTER 03Z.

..DIAL..07/29/09

ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 631 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-021-037-041-290300-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 HARDING	     
QUAY		     ROOSEVELT		 
$$


TXC017-117-369-290300-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY		     DEAF SMITH 	 PARMER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 631

VALID 290130Z - 290240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW RTN
TO 25 S RTN TO 40 NNE TCC TO 25 SE DHT TO 25 SW EHA TO 20 SW TAD
TO 30 ENE ALS.

..DIAL..07/29/09

ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 631 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-027-055-071-101-290240-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA		     CUSTER		 HUERFANO	     
LAS ANIMAS	     PUEBLO		 
$$


NMC005-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-057-290240-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 DE BACA	     
GUADALUPE	     HARDING		 LINCOLN	     
MORA		     QUAY		 ROOSEVELT	     
SAN MIGUEL	     TORRANCE		 
$$


TXC017-117-359-369-290240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY		     DEAF SMITH 	 OLDHAM 	     
PARMER		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 631

VALID 290040Z - 290140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..DIAL..07/29/09

ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 631 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-023-055-071-101-290140-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA		     COSTILLA		 HUERFANO	     
LAS ANIMAS	     PUEBLO		 
$$


NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-055-057-059-
290140-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     COLFAX		 CURRY		     
DE BACA 	     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
LINCOLN 	     MORA		 QUAY		     
ROOSEVELT	     SAN MIGUEL 	 TAOS		     
TORRANCE	     UNION		 
$$


OKC025-290140-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CIMARRON	     
$$


TXC017-111-117-205-359-369-290140-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY		     DALLAM		 DEAF SMITH	     
HARTLEY 	     OLDHAM		 PARMER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 631

VALID 282345Z - 290040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..DIAL..07/28/09

ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 631 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-023-055-071-101-290040-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA		     COSTILLA		 HUERFANO	     
LAS ANIMAS	     PUEBLO		 
$$


NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-055-057-059-
290040-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     COLFAX		 CURRY		     
DE BACA 	     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
LINCOLN 	     MORA		 QUAY		     
ROOSEVELT	     SAN MIGUEL 	 TAOS		     
TORRANCE	     UNION		 
$$


OKC025-290040-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CIMARRON	     
$$


TXC017-111-117-205-359-369-290040-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY		     DALLAM		 DEAF SMITH	     
HARTLEY 	     OLDHAM		 PARMER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 631

VALID 282140Z - 282240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..DIAL..07/28/09

ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 631 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-023-055-071-101-282240-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA		     COSTILLA		 HUERFANO	     
LAS ANIMAS	     PUEBLO		 
$$


NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-055-057-059-
282240-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     COLFAX		 CURRY		     
DE BACA 	     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
LINCOLN 	     MORA		 QUAY		     
ROOSEVELT	     SAN MIGUEL 	 TAOS		     
TORRANCE	     UNION		 
$$


OKC025-282240-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CIMARRON	     
$$


TXC017-111-117-205-359-369-282240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY		     DALLAM		 DEAF SMITH	     
HARTLEY 	     OLDHAM		 PARMER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.