Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 660
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST MONTANA
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL 900
PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF
CODY WYOMING TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF BUFFALO SOUTH DAKOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
THROUGH THE EVENING AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. AIR MASS WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH
SHEAR STRENGTHENING AND SUPPORTING BOTH SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED
LINES/CLUSTERS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE LIKELY WITH
THE MORE INTENSE STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...EVANS
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 660
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST MONTANA
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL 900
PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF
CODY WYOMING TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF BUFFALO SOUTH DAKOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
THROUGH THE EVENING AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. AIR MASS WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH
SHEAR STRENGTHENING AND SUPPORTING BOTH SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED
LINES/CLUSTERS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE LIKELY WITH
THE MORE INTENSE STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 660 SEVERE TSTM MT SD WY 061935Z - 070300Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25S COD/CODY WY/ - 25SSE 2WX/BUFFALO SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /52NW BOY - 69W DPR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
LAT...LON 45520901 46610331 43860331 42770901
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 660 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 660
VALID 070145Z - 070240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW BIL
TO 50 WNW SHR TO 20 WSW SHR TO 30 SSE SHR TO 30 SSW GCC TO 65 NE
DGW.
..HURLBUT..07/07/08
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...UNR...RIW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-011-017-025-075-087-103-070240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARTER CUSTER
FALLON POWDER RIVER ROSEBUD
TREASURE
$$
SDC019-033-063-081-093-103-105-070240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTTE CUSTER HARDING
LAWRENCE MEADE PENNINGTON
PERKINS
$$
WYC011-033-045-070240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROOK SHERIDAN WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 660
VALID 070035Z - 070140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N DGW TO
15 ESE BIL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1705
..SMITH..07/07/08
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...UNR...RIW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-011-017-025-075-087-103-070140-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARTER CUSTER
FALLON POWDER RIVER ROSEBUD
TREASURE
$$
SDC019-033-063-081-093-103-070140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTTE CUSTER HARDING
LAWRENCE MEADE PENNINGTON
$$
WYC005-011-033-045-070140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CROOK SHERIDAN
WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 660
VALID 062335Z - 070040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..07/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...UNR...RIW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-011-017-025-075-087-103-070040-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARTER CUSTER
FALLON POWDER RIVER ROSEBUD
TREASURE
$$
SDC019-033-063-081-093-103-070040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTTE CUSTER HARDING
LAWRENCE MEADE PENNINGTON
$$
WYC003-005-011-013-017-019-025-029-033-043-045-070040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CAMPBELL CROOK
FREMONT HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON
NATRONA PARK SHERIDAN
WASHAKIE WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 660
VALID 062240Z - 062340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..07/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...UNR...RIW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-009-011-017-025-075-087-103-111-062340-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARBON CARTER
CUSTER FALLON POWDER RIVER
ROSEBUD TREASURE YELLOWSTONE
$$
SDC019-033-063-081-093-103-062340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTTE CUSTER HARDING
LAWRENCE MEADE PENNINGTON
$$
WYC003-005-011-013-017-019-025-029-033-043-045-062340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CAMPBELL CROOK
FREMONT HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON
NATRONA PARK SHERIDAN
WASHAKIE WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 660
VALID 062145Z - 062240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..07/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...UNR...RIW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-009-011-017-025-075-087-103-111-062240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARBON CARTER
CUSTER FALLON POWDER RIVER
ROSEBUD TREASURE YELLOWSTONE
$$
SDC019-033-063-081-093-103-062240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTTE CUSTER HARDING
LAWRENCE MEADE PENNINGTON
$$
WYC003-005-011-013-017-019-025-029-033-043-045-062240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CAMPBELL CROOK
FREMONT HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON
NATRONA PARK SHERIDAN
WASHAKIE WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 660
VALID 062040Z - 062140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..07/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...UNR...RIW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-009-011-017-025-075-087-103-111-062140-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARBON CARTER
CUSTER FALLON POWDER RIVER
ROSEBUD TREASURE YELLOWSTONE
$$
SDC019-033-063-081-093-103-062140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTTE CUSTER HARDING
LAWRENCE MEADE PENNINGTON
$$
WYC003-005-011-013-017-019-025-029-033-043-045-062140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CAMPBELL CROOK
FREMONT HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON
NATRONA PARK SHERIDAN
WASHAKIE WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.