Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 667
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM MDT THU AUG 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO
WESTERN MONTANA
NORTHEAST NEVADA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
900 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
OWYHEE NEVADA TO 5 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF GREAT FALLS MONTANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 666...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED THIS
MORNING FROM NERN NV INTO CENTRAL ID...AND ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS
ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND SPREAD NEWD
WITH TIME IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING DYNAMIC FORCING IN ADVANCE OF
THE NRN CA UPPER LOW. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES CLEAR SKIES FROM
NERN NV ACROSS SWRN MT IMMEDIATELY EAST OF THE FRONTAL BAND...AND
STRONG HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON. STRONG SWLY FLOW ALOFT AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 40-50 KT
IN THE LOWEST 6 KM AGL WILL ENHANCE STORM ORGANIZATION AND
INTENSITY...WITH POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS
TO DEVELOP. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREATS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...WEISS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 667 SEVERE TSTM ID MT NV 061835Z - 070300Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65SE OWY/OWYHEE NV/ - 5NNE GTF/GREAT FALLS MT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /77WNW BVL - 7NNE GTF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 41271693 47521315 47520951 41271366
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 667 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 667
VALID 070230Z - 070340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W WEY TO
20 S DLN TO 30 WNW DLN TO 10 S BTM TO 25 SSW HLN TO 30 NW HLN TO
50 W GTF.
..MEAD..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BOI...PIH...MSO...TFX...LKN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 667
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC007-013-027-031-043-045-049-057-059-070340-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROADWATER CASCADE FERGUS
GALLATIN JEFFERSON JUDITH BASIN
LEWIS AND CLARK MADISON MEAGHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 667
VALID 070140Z - 070240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W WEY TO
10 WNW MQM TO 30 E SMN TO 25 SW BTM TO 20 N BTM TO 35 NE 3DU TO
55 W GTF.
..MEAD..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BOI...PIH...MSO...TFX...LKN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 667
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC001-007-013-027-031-043-045-049-057-059-070240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BROADWATER CASCADE
FERGUS GALLATIN JEFFERSON
JUDITH BASIN LEWIS AND CLARK MADISON
MEAGHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 667
VALID 070035Z - 070140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW ENV TO
60 SE MYL.
..MEAD..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BOI...PIH...MSO...TFX...LKN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 667
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC005-011-013-019-023-025-029-031-033-037-043-047-051-053-059-
063-065-067-071-077-081-083-070140-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNOCK BINGHAM BLAINE
BONNEVILLE BUTTE CAMAS
CARIBOU CASSIA CLARK
CUSTER FREMONT GOODING
JEFFERSON JEROME LEMHI
LINCOLN MADISON MINIDOKA
ONEIDA POWER TETON
TWIN FALLS
$$
MTC001-007-013-023-027-031-039-043-045-049-057-059-077-081-093-
070140-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BROADWATER CASCADE
DEER LODGE FERGUS GALLATIN
GRANITE JEFFERSON JUDITH BASIN
LEWIS AND CLARK MADISON MEAGHER
POWELL RAVALLI SILVER BOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 667
VALID 062345Z - 070040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW TWF TO
60 NE BOI.
..MEAD..08/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BOI...PIH...MSO...TFX...LKN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 667
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC005-011-013-019-023-025-029-031-033-037-043-047-051-053-059-
063-065-067-071-077-081-083-070040-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNOCK BINGHAM BLAINE
BONNEVILLE BUTTE CAMAS
CARIBOU CASSIA CLARK
CUSTER FREMONT GOODING
JEFFERSON JEROME LEMHI
LINCOLN MADISON MINIDOKA
ONEIDA POWER TETON
TWIN FALLS
$$
MTC001-007-013-023-027-031-039-043-045-049-057-059-077-081-093-
070040-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BROADWATER CASCADE
DEER LODGE FERGUS GALLATIN
GRANITE JEFFERSON JUDITH BASIN
LEWIS AND CLARK MADISON MEAGHER
POWELL RAVALLI SILVER BOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 667
VALID 062225Z - 062340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..08/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BOI...PIH...MSO...TFX...LKN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 667
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC001-005-011-013-015-019-023-025-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-
047-051-053-059-063-065-067-071-073-077-081-083-062340-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADA BANNOCK BINGHAM
BLAINE BOISE BONNEVILLE
BUTTE CAMAS CANYON
CARIBOU CASSIA CLARK
CUSTER ELMORE FREMONT
GOODING JEFFERSON JEROME
LEMHI LINCOLN MADISON
MINIDOKA ONEIDA OWYHEE
POWER TETON TWIN FALLS
$$
MTC001-007-013-023-031-039-043-045-049-057-059-077-081-093-
062340-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BROADWATER CASCADE
DEER LODGE GALLATIN GRANITE
JEFFERSON JUDITH BASIN LEWIS AND CLARK
MADISON MEAGHER POWELL
RAVALLI SILVER BOW
$$
NVC007-062340-
NV
. NEVADA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELKO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 667
VALID 062135Z - 062240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BOI...PIH...MSO...TFX...LKN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 667
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC001-005-011-013-015-019-023-025-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-
047-051-053-059-063-065-067-071-073-077-081-083-062240-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADA BANNOCK BINGHAM
BLAINE BOISE BONNEVILLE
BUTTE CAMAS CANYON
CARIBOU CASSIA CLARK
CUSTER ELMORE FREMONT
GOODING JEFFERSON JEROME
LEMHI LINCOLN MADISON
MINIDOKA ONEIDA OWYHEE
POWER TETON TWIN FALLS
$$
MTC001-007-013-023-031-039-043-045-049-057-059-077-081-093-
062240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BROADWATER CASCADE
DEER LODGE GALLATIN GRANITE
JEFFERSON JUDITH BASIN LEWIS AND CLARK
MADISON MEAGHER POWELL
RAVALLI SILVER BOW
$$
NVC007-062240-
NV
. NEVADA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELKO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 667
VALID 062030Z - 062140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..08/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BOI...PIH...MSO...TFX...LKN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 667
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC001-005-011-013-015-019-023-025-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-
047-051-053-059-063-065-067-071-073-077-081-083-062140-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADA BANNOCK BINGHAM
BLAINE BOISE BONNEVILLE
BUTTE CAMAS CANYON
CARIBOU CASSIA CLARK
CUSTER ELMORE FREMONT
GOODING JEFFERSON JEROME
LEMHI LINCOLN MADISON
MINIDOKA ONEIDA OWYHEE
POWER TETON TWIN FALLS
$$
MTC001-007-013-023-031-039-043-045-049-057-059-077-081-093-
062140-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BROADWATER CASCADE
DEER LODGE GALLATIN GRANITE
JEFFERSON JUDITH BASIN LEWIS AND CLARK
MADISON MEAGHER POWELL
RAVALLI SILVER BOW
$$
NVC007-062140-
NV
. NEVADA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELKO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.