Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 671
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
915 PM CDT THU AUG 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA
SOUTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 915 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH OF
VALENTINE NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF IMPERIAL
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 669. WATCH NUMBER 669 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT
AFTER 915 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 667...WW 668...WW 670...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TONIGHT
WHILE PROGRESSING EWD INTO A MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS WHERE INFLOW
WILL BE ENHANCED BY 40-50 KT SLY LLJ. THE COMBINATION OF THE
MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J PER KG/ AND AROUND 40 KT
OF DEEP WLY SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF EMBEDDED BOWING STRUCTURES
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...MEAD/HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 671 SEVERE TSTM NE SD 070215Z - 071000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60N VTN/VALENTINE NE/ - 45ESE IML/IMPERIAL NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /44SSW PIR - 12WNW MCK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
REPLACES WW 669..NE SD
LAT...LON 43709925 40259959 40250205 43700184
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 671 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 671
VALID 070725Z - 070840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW GRI
TO 30 SSE BUB TO 25 E BUB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1809.
..EDWARDS..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GID...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 671
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC017-163-175-070840-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN SHERMAN VALLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 671
VALID 070635Z - 070740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W MCK TO
30 NNE IML TO 10 NNW LBF TO 10 ENE BBW TO 30 ESE ANW TO 10 NNW
ANW TO 45 NE ANW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1809.
..EDWARDS..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GID...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 671
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC009-017-019-041-047-063-073-085-099-103-111-115-137-149-163-
175-070740-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE BROWN BUFFALO
CUSTER DAWSON FRONTIER
GOSPER HAYES KEARNEY
KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOUP
PHELPS ROCK SHERMAN
VALLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 671
VALID 070555Z - 070640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE IML
TO 35 WNW LBF TO 10 WNW BBW TO 15 SE VTN TO 45 NE ANW.
..EDWARDS..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GID...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 671
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC009-017-019-031-041-047-063-073-085-099-103-111-115-137-149-
163-175-070640-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE BROWN BUFFALO
CHERRY CUSTER DAWSON
FRONTIER GOSPER HAYES
KEARNEY KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOUP PHELPS ROCK
SHERMAN VALLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 671
VALID 070435Z - 070540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE AIA
TO 35 NNW MHN TO 30 WNW VTN TO 45 NE ANW.
..MEAD..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GID...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 671
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-019-029-031-041-047-063-073-075-085-091-099-101-
103-111-113-115-117-135-137-149-163-171-175-070540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
BUFFALO CHASE CHERRY
CUSTER DAWSON FRONTIER
GOSPER GRANT HAYES
HOOKER KEARNEY KEITH
KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON PERKINS
PHELPS ROCK SHERMAN
THOMAS VALLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 671
VALID 070335Z - 070440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GID...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 671
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-019-029-031-041-047-063-073-075-085-091-099-101-
103-111-113-115-117-135-137-149-163-171-175-070440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
BUFFALO CHASE CHERRY
CUSTER DAWSON FRONTIER
GOSPER GRANT HAYES
HOOKER KEARNEY KEITH
KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON PERKINS
PHELPS ROCK SHERMAN
THOMAS VALLEY
$$
SDC007-071-095-121-123-070440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT JACKSON MELLETTE
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.