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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 672
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM MDT FRI AUG 7 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MONTANA
NORTHERN WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BILLINGS MONTANA TO 70 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BROADUS
MONTANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY ACROSS SRN MT/NRN WY
AS THEY CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG A WEAK COLD FRONT IN NRN WY AND
OTHER BOUNDARIES IN SRN MT. ALTHOUGH SURFACE WINDS ARE FROM THE
NORTH ACROSS THE REGION...DEEP SLY/SWLY WINDS ALOFT WERE RESULTING
IN 40-50 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THIS SHEAR COMBINED WITH THE MOIST
AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS.
THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT APPEARS MOST FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL
...THOUGH THE STRONG DOWNDRAFTS MAY ALSO RESULT IN SPORADIC WIND
DAMAGE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23025.
...IMY
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 672 SEVERE TSTM MT WY 072040Z - 080400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45SW BIL/BILLINGS MT/ - 70ESE 4BQ/BROADUS MT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /37SW BIL - 78NW RAP/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.
LAT...LON 46500919 46180408 43880408 44180919
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 672 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 672
VALID 080330Z - 080400Z
AN ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50
SSW 2WX TO 35 SSW 4BQ TO 20 WSW MLS.
WW 672 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 080400Z.
..MEAD..08/08/09
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 672
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC011-017-025-075-080400-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CUSTER FALLON
POWDER RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 672
VALID 080235Z - 080340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW GCC
TO 35 NNW GCC TO 20 NE SHR TO 50 ESE BIL TO 30 NE BIL TO 55 NE
BIL.
..MEAD..08/08/09
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 672
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-011-017-025-075-087-103-111-080340-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARTER CUSTER
FALLON POWDER RIVER ROSEBUD
TREASURE YELLOWSTONE
$$
WYC005-011-045-080340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CROOK WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 672
VALID 080135Z - 080240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW GCC TO
30 NW GCC TO 10 S SHR TO 55 SE BIL TO 5 SSE BIL TO 50 N BIL.
..MEAD..08/08/09
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 672
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-011-017-025-065-075-087-103-111-080240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARTER CUSTER
FALLON MUSSELSHELL POWDER RIVER
ROSEBUD TREASURE YELLOWSTONE
$$
WYC005-011-033-045-080240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CROOK SHERIDAN
WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 672
VALID 080035Z - 080140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/08/09
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 672
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-009-011-017-025-037-065-075-087-095-097-103-107-111-
080140-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARBON CARTER
CUSTER FALLON GOLDEN VALLEY
MUSSELSHELL POWDER RIVER ROSEBUD
STILLWATER SWEET GRASS TREASURE
WHEATLAND YELLOWSTONE
$$
WYC003-005-011-017-019-033-043-045-080140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CAMPBELL CROOK
HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON SHERIDAN
WASHAKIE WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 672
VALID 072335Z - 080040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 672
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-009-011-017-025-037-065-075-087-095-097-103-107-111-
080040-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARBON CARTER
CUSTER FALLON GOLDEN VALLEY
MUSSELSHELL POWDER RIVER ROSEBUD
STILLWATER SWEET GRASS TREASURE
WHEATLAND YELLOWSTONE
$$
WYC003-005-011-017-019-033-043-045-080040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CAMPBELL CROOK
HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON SHERIDAN
WASHAKIE WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 672
VALID 072240Z - 072340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 672
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-009-011-017-025-037-065-075-087-095-097-103-107-111-
072340-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARBON CARTER
CUSTER FALLON GOLDEN VALLEY
MUSSELSHELL POWDER RIVER ROSEBUD
STILLWATER SWEET GRASS TREASURE
WHEATLAND YELLOWSTONE
$$
WYC003-005-011-017-019-033-043-045-072340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CAMPBELL CROOK
HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON SHERIDAN
WASHAKIE WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 672
VALID 072130Z - 072240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 672
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-009-011-017-025-037-065-075-087-095-097-103-107-111-
072240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARBON CARTER
CUSTER FALLON GOLDEN VALLEY
MUSSELSHELL POWDER RIVER ROSEBUD
STILLWATER SWEET GRASS TREASURE
WHEATLAND YELLOWSTONE
$$
WYC003-005-011-017-019-033-043-045-072240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CAMPBELL CROOK
HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON SHERIDAN
WASHAKIE WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.