Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 675
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1015 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL INTO NORTHERN IOWA
SOUTHERN INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1015 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
FORT DODGE IOWA TO 35 MILES NORTH OF REDWOOD FALLS MINNESOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 672...WW 673...WW 674...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
ALONG NOSE OF STRENGTHENING LLJ OVERNIGHT...AS ELEVATED INSTABILITY
REMAINS QUITE STRONG. THE MAJORITY OF THESE STORMS WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED... ALTHOUGH SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE
FOR SUPERCELLS AND INCREASE THE RISK OF LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED WIND
DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE ORGANIZED STORMS THROUGH MUCH
OF THE NIGHT. ACTIVITY MAY CONSOLIDATE INTO A LARGER MCS AND SPREAD
TOWARDS THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 675 SEVERE TSTM IA MN 080315Z - 081000Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50SE FOD/FORT DODGE IA/ - 35N RWF/REDWOOD FALLS MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /36N DSM - 35N RWF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 42029497 45049662 45049354 42029205
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 675 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 675
VALID 080650Z - 080740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1820.
..EDWARDS..08/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 675
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC013-015-017-021-023-025-027-033-037-041-047-059-063-067-069-
073-075-079-081-083-091-109-127-131-147-151-161-169-171-187-189-
195-197-080740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLACK HAWK BOONE BREMER
BUENA VISTA BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAY CRAWFORD DICKINSON
EMMET FLOYD FRANKLIN
GREENE GRUNDY HAMILTON
HANCOCK HARDIN HUMBOLDT
KOSSUTH MARSHALL MITCHELL
PALO ALTO POCAHONTAS SAC
STORY TAMA WEBSTER
WINNEBAGO WORTH WRIGHT
$$
MNC013-015-019-023-033-039-043-047-063-067-073-079-085-091-093-
099-103-127-129-131-139-143-147-161-165-173-080740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER
CHIPPEWA COTTONWOOD DODGE
FARIBAULT FREEBORN JACKSON
KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MOWER NICOLLET REDWOOD
RENVILLE RICE SCOTT
SIBLEY STEELE WASECA
WATONWAN YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 675
VALID 080535Z - 080640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..08/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 675
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC013-015-017-021-023-025-027-033-037-041-047-059-063-067-069-
073-075-079-081-083-091-109-127-131-147-151-161-169-171-187-189-
195-197-080640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLACK HAWK BOONE BREMER
BUENA VISTA BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAY CRAWFORD DICKINSON
EMMET FLOYD FRANKLIN
GREENE GRUNDY HAMILTON
HANCOCK HARDIN HUMBOLDT
KOSSUTH MARSHALL MITCHELL
PALO ALTO POCAHONTAS SAC
STORY TAMA WEBSTER
WINNEBAGO WORTH WRIGHT
$$
MNC013-015-019-023-033-039-043-047-063-067-073-079-085-091-093-
099-103-127-129-131-139-143-147-161-165-173-080640-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER
CHIPPEWA COTTONWOOD DODGE
FARIBAULT FREEBORN JACKSON
KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MOWER NICOLLET REDWOOD
RENVILLE RICE SCOTT
SIBLEY STEELE WASECA
WATONWAN YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 675
VALID 080435Z - 080540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 675
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC013-015-017-021-023-025-027-033-037-041-047-059-063-067-069-
073-075-079-081-083-091-109-127-131-147-151-161-169-171-187-189-
195-197-080540-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLACK HAWK BOONE BREMER
BUENA VISTA BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAY CRAWFORD DICKINSON
EMMET FLOYD FRANKLIN
GREENE GRUNDY HAMILTON
HANCOCK HARDIN HUMBOLDT
KOSSUTH MARSHALL MITCHELL
PALO ALTO POCAHONTAS SAC
STORY TAMA WEBSTER
WINNEBAGO WORTH WRIGHT
$$
MNC013-015-019-023-033-039-043-047-063-067-073-079-085-091-093-
099-103-127-129-131-139-143-147-161-165-173-080540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER
CHIPPEWA COTTONWOOD DODGE
FARIBAULT FREEBORN JACKSON
KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MOWER NICOLLET REDWOOD
RENVILLE RICE SCOTT
SIBLEY STEELE WASECA
WATONWAN YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 675
VALID 080335Z - 080440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 675
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC013-015-017-021-023-025-027-033-037-041-047-059-063-067-069-
073-075-079-081-083-091-109-127-131-147-151-161-169-171-187-189-
195-197-080440-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLACK HAWK BOONE BREMER
BUENA VISTA BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAY CRAWFORD DICKINSON
EMMET FLOYD FRANKLIN
GREENE GRUNDY HAMILTON
HANCOCK HARDIN HUMBOLDT
KOSSUTH MARSHALL MITCHELL
PALO ALTO POCAHONTAS SAC
STORY TAMA WEBSTER
WINNEBAGO WORTH WRIGHT
$$
MNC013-015-019-023-033-039-043-047-063-067-073-079-085-091-093-
099-103-127-129-131-139-143-147-161-165-173-080440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER
CHIPPEWA COTTONWOOD DODGE
FARIBAULT FREEBORN JACKSON
KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MOWER NICOLLET REDWOOD
RENVILLE RICE SCOTT
SIBLEY STEELE WASECA
WATONWAN YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.