Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 679
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST COLORADO
NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
SOUTHEAST WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT FROM 730 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF CHADRON NEBRASKA TO 75 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SIDNEY
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 678...
DISCUSSION...WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING NEWD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE EVENING. AIR MASS
REMAINS QUITE MOIST INTO WRN NEB/NERN CO AND WILL SUSTAIN MARGINAL
INSTABILITY. SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS...ENHANCING THE
RISK OF LARGE HAIL GIVEN VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 679 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 090130Z - 090600Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15NNE CDR/CHADRON NE/ - 75SW SNY/SIDNEY NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /57S RAP - 38WNW AKO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 43020190 40310294 40310502 43020408
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 679 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 679
VALID 090545Z - 090600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW FCL TO
45 E CYS TO 35 SE AIA.
WW 679 MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN SPACE AND TIME TO COVER COUNTIES
UNDER AND AHEAD OF ONGOING SVR TSTMS.
..EDWARDS..08/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 679
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-123-090600-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN WELD
$$
NEC033-049-069-105-090600-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DEUEL GARDEN
KIMBALL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 679
VALID 090440Z - 090540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E FCL TO
30 SSW BFF TO 30 E AIA.
..MEAD..08/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 679
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-123-090540-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN WELD
$$
NEC007-033-049-069-105-123-090540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER CHEYENNE DEUEL
GARDEN KIMBALL MORRILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 679
VALID 090325Z - 090440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NNE FCL TO
35 ENE FCL TO 45 ESE CYS TO 15 SE TOR TO 20 NNW TOR.
..MEAD..08/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 679
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-123-090440-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN WELD
$$
NEC007-013-033-045-049-069-105-123-157-161-165-090440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL GARDEN
KIMBALL MORRILL SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
WYC015-090440-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 679
VALID 090230Z - 090340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 679
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-123-090340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN WELD
$$
NEC007-013-033-045-049-069-105-123-157-161-165-090340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL GARDEN
KIMBALL MORRILL SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
WYC015-021-090340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN LARAMIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.