Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 681
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
655 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL IOWA
A SMALL PART OF NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 655 AM UNTIL 200
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF SIOUX CITY IOWA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF WATERLOO IOWA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 680...
DISCUSSION...SLIGHTLY ELEVATED TSTMS/SUPERCELLS NOW IN E CNTRL NEB
MAY CONTINUE E AND POSSIBLY INTENSIFY AS THEY ENCOUNTER INCREASINGLY
SHALLOW LAYER OF POST-FRONTAL AIR E OF THE MO RVR /REF MCD 1835/.
35-40 KT ESELY CLOUD LAYER SHEAR AND DEGREE OF INSTABILITY ABOVE
SHALLOW NEAR-SFC LAYER SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND...WITH
TIME... FORWARD-PROPAGATING BOWING SEGMENTS WITH HIGH WIND. DEEP
UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW WITH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY FEED IN THE UPWIND
DIRECTION FURTHER SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR BACK-BUILDING/REGENERATIVE
STORMS AFTER LEAD ACTIVITY HAS MOVED THROUGH.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 681 SEVERE TSTM IA NE 091155Z - 091900Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SSW SUX/SIOUX CITY IA/ - 30S ALO/WATERLOO IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /68NNW OVR - 50NW IOW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 43069652 43069240 41189240 41189652
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 681 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 681
VALID 091740Z - 091840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE SDA
TO 35 SW FOD TO 5 SW FOD TO 10 WSW MCW.
..SCHNEIDER..08/09/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 681
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-009-013-015-017-023-029-033-049-069-073-075-077-079-083-
099-121-123-125-127-153-157-169-171-181-187-197-091840-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR AUDUBON BLACK HAWK
BOONE BREMER BUTLER
CASS CERRO GORDO DALLAS
FRANKLIN GREENE GRUNDY
GUTHRIE HAMILTON HARDIN
JASPER MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL POLK
POWESHIEK STORY TAMA
WARREN WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 681
VALID 091635Z - 091740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE SDA
TO 25 SSE SLB TO 10 W FOD TO 35 N FOD.
..PETERS..08/09/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 681
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-009-013-015-017-023-025-027-029-033-049-069-073-075-077-
079-081-083-091-099-109-121-123-125-127-153-157-169-171-181-187-
189-195-197-091740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR AUDUBON BLACK HAWK
BOONE BREMER BUTLER
CALHOUN CARROLL CASS
CERRO GORDO DALLAS FRANKLIN
GREENE GRUNDY GUTHRIE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HARDIN
HUMBOLDT JASPER KOSSUTH
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL POLK POWESHIEK
STORY TAMA WARREN
WEBSTER WINNEBAGO WORTH
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 681
VALID 091530Z - 091640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W TQE TO
20 NW DNS TO 15 WNW FOD TO 35 N FOD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1836.
..PETERS..08/09/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 681
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-009-013-015-017-023-025-027-029-033-047-049-069-073-075-
077-079-081-083-091-099-109-121-123-125-127-153-157-161-169-171-
181-187-189-195-197-091640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR AUDUBON BLACK HAWK
BOONE BREMER BUTLER
CALHOUN CARROLL CASS
CERRO GORDO CRAWFORD DALLAS
FRANKLIN GREENE GRUNDY
GUTHRIE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HARDIN HUMBOLDT JASPER
KOSSUTH MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL POLK
POWESHIEK SAC STORY
TAMA WARREN WEBSTER
WINNEBAGO WORTH WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.