Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 689
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN IOWA
NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS
FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 545 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CEDAR RAPIDS IOWA TO 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROCKFORD ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 682. WATCH NUMBER 682 WILL NOT
BE IN EFFECT AFTER 545 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 684...WW 685...WW
686...WW 687...WW 688...
DISCUSSION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ACTIVE
MOVING GENERALLY ENEWD ACROSS WW INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS
SSWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS INTO ERN IA THIS EVENING. AIR MASS REMAINS
VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE WITH SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR
ORGANIZATION INTO LINES/CLUSTERS. MOST LIKELY SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
BE FROM DAMAGING WINDS WITH BOW ECHOES PERSISTING ALONG AND JUST
NORTH OF STALLED SURFACE BOUNDARIES. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL BE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 689 SEVERE TSTM IA IL WI 092245Z - 100600Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40SW CID/CEDAR RAPIDS IA/ - 15SE RFD/ROCKFORD IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /30W IOW - 39NW JOT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
REPLACES WW 682..IA IL WI LM
LAT...LON 42349226 42908888 41188888 40599226
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 689 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 689
VALID 100540Z - 100600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE JVL
TO 20 NNW JVL TO 20 NNE JVL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS 1948 AND
1949.
..EDWARDS..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 689
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC055-059-101-105-127-133-100600-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON KENOSHA RACINE
ROCK WALWORTH WAUKESHA
$$
LMZ645-646-673-675-100600-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LMZ645
LMZ646
LMZ673
LMZ675
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 689
VALID 100355Z - 100440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW MMO TO
50 E MLI TO 35 SSE LNR.
..NOAANWS..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 689
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-103-141-177-201-100440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU LEE OGLE
STEPHENSON WINNEBAGO
$$
WIC045-105-100440-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREEN ROCK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 689
VALID 100255Z - 100340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW BRL
TO 15 SW MLI TO 35 N MLI TO 15 N DBQ.
..NOAA..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 689
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-015-071-073-085-095-103-123-141-155-175-177-187-195-201-
100340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CARROLL HENDERSON
HENRY JO DAVIESS KNOX
LEE MARSHALL OGLE
PUTNAM STARK STEPHENSON
WARREN WHITESIDE WINNEBAGO
$$
IAC111-100340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE
$$
WIC045-065-105-100340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREEN LAFAYETTE ROCK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 689
VALID 100205Z - 100340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE OTM
TO 35 SSE CID TO 30 ESE CID TO 25 WNW DBQ.
..NOAA..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 689
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-015-071-073-085-095-103-123-131-141-155-161-175-177-187-
195-201-100340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CARROLL HENDERSON
HENRY JO DAVIESS KNOX
LEE MARSHALL MERCER
OGLE PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND
STARK STEPHENSON WARREN
WHITESIDE WINNEBAGO
$$
IAC045-057-061-087-097-101-105-111-115-163-177-100340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLINTON DES MOINES DUBUQUE
HENRY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JONES LEE LOUISA
SCOTT VAN BUREN
$$
WIC045-065-105-100340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREEN LAFAYETTE ROCK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 689
VALID 100100Z - 100240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..NOAA..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 689
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-015-071-073-085-095-103-123-131-141-155-161-175-177-187-
195-201-100240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CARROLL HENDERSON
HENRY JO DAVIESS KNOX
LEE MARSHALL MERCER
OGLE PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND
STARK STEPHENSON WARREN
WHITESIDE WINNEBAGO
$$
IAC011-019-031-045-055-057-061-087-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-
113-115-139-163-177-183-100240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BUCHANAN CEDAR
CLINTON DELAWARE DES MOINES
DUBUQUE HENRY IOWA
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES KEOKUK LEE
LINN LOUISA MUSCATINE
SCOTT VAN BUREN WASHINGTON
$$
WIC045-065-105-100240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREEN LAFAYETTE ROCK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 689
VALID 100000Z - 100140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..NOAA..08/09/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 689
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-015-071-073-085-095-103-123-131-141-155-161-175-177-187-
195-201-100140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CARROLL HENDERSON
HENRY JO DAVIESS KNOX
LEE MARSHALL MERCER
OGLE PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND
STARK STEPHENSON WARREN
WHITESIDE WINNEBAGO
$$
IAC011-019-031-045-055-057-061-087-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-
113-115-139-163-177-183-100140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BUCHANAN CEDAR
CLINTON DELAWARE DES MOINES
DUBUQUE HENRY IOWA
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES KEOKUK LEE
LINN LOUISA MUSCATINE
SCOTT VAN BUREN WASHINGTON
$$
WIC045-065-105-100140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREEN LAFAYETTE ROCK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.