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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 693
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
920 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 920 AM UNTIL 400
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF RUSSELL KANSAS TO 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF TOPEKA
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 692...
DISCUSSION...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO CENTRAL KS HAVE
INTENSIFIED DURING THE LAST HOUR. THE ACTIVITY IS LOCATED AHEAD OF
A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING ENEWD ACROSS NERN CO...AND
DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL PROMOTE A FAVORABLE SYNOPTIC SCALE
ENVIRONMENT FOR CONTINUED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. STEEP LAPSE RATES
ABOVE THE PBL WILL ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL WITH THE STORMS
THAT ARE CURRENTLY ELEVATED...BUT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY
INCREASE BY AFTERNOON AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS AND UPDRAFTS
GRADUALLY BECOME ROOTED NEAR THE SURFACE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...WEISS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 693 SEVERE TSTM KS 101420Z - 102100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35WNW RSL/RUSSELL KS/ - 5ESE TOP/TOPEKA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /40ESE HLC - 46WSW MKC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 39919941 39909552 38169552 38189941
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 693 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 693
VALID 101955Z - 102040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S EMP TO
20 SSW TOP TO 20 SE TOP.
..GARNER..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-031-045-059-087-139-102040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON COFFEY DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JEFFERSON OSAGE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 693
VALID 101830Z - 101940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE ICT
TO 35 NE MHK TO 30 WSW STJ.
..GARNER..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-017-031-045-059-085-087-111-139-177-197-101940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON CHASE COFFEY
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON LYON OSAGE
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 693
VALID 101755Z - 101840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE HUT
TO 20 S BIE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1853
..GARNER..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-013-017-031-041-045-059-061-085-087-111-115-117-127-131-
139-149-161-177-197-101840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BROWN CHASE
COFFEY DICKINSON DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON LYON MARION
MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA
OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 693
VALID 101635Z - 101740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW HUT
TO 30 NNE CNK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1853
..GUYER..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-013-017-027-029-031-041-045-059-061-085-087-111-113-115-
117-127-131-139-143-149-157-159-161-169-177-197-201-101740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BROWN CHASE
CLAY CLOUD COFFEY
DICKINSON DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
GEARY JACKSON JEFFERSON
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 693
VALID 101530Z - 101640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..08/10/09
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-009-013-017-027-029-031-041-045-053-059-061-085-087-089-
105-111-113-115-117-123-127-131-139-141-143-149-157-159-161-167-
169-177-183-197-201-101640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BARTON BROWN
CHASE CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY DICKINSON DOUGLAS
ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN GEARY
JACKSON JEFFERSON JEWELL
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MITCHELL
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OSBORNE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
RUSSELL SALINE SHAWNEE
SMITH WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
