SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 702
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   205 PM MDT FRI AUG 14 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MONTANA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL 800
   PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
   LIVINGSTON MONTANA TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF LEWISTOWN
   MONTANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...STRONG FORCING...ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH ENTERING
   THE NRN ROCKIES...WAS SPREADING EWD INTO CENTRAL MT. AS THIS FEATURE
   SHIFTS EWD...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND INCREASE IN
   COVERAGE AS THEY ENCOUNTER A WARMING/DESTABILIZING AIR MASS AND DEEP
   LAYER SHEAR AT 50 KT. THE ENVIRONMENT INITIALLY WILL SUPPORT
   SUPERCELLS WITH PRIMARILY A HAIL THREAT. HOWEVER...STRONG LINEAR
   FORCING ALOFT AND DEVELOPING SURFACE FRONT SHOULD ENHANCE THE
   POTENTIAL FOR THE STORMS TO EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE...AND AN
   INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25030.
   
   
   ...IMY

   SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 702
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   205 PM MDT FRI AUG 14 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MONTANA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL 800
   PM MDT.
   
   SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
   ISOLATED HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
   LIVINGSTON MONTANA TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF LEWISTOWN
   MONTANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...STRONG FORCING...ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH ENTERING
   THE NRN ROCKIES...WAS SPREADING EWD INTO CENTRAL MT. AS THIS FEATURE
   SHIFTS EWD...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND INCREASE IN
   COVERAGE AS THEY ENCOUNTER A WARMING/DESTABILIZING AIR MASS AND DEEP
   LAYER SHEAR AT 50 KT. THE ENVIRONMENT INITIALLY WILL SUPPORT
   SUPERCELLS WITH PRIMARILY A HAIL THREAT. HOWEVER...STRONG LINEAR
   FORCING ALOFT AND DEVELOPING SURFACE FRONT SHOULD ENHANCE THE
   POTENTIAL FOR THE STORMS TO EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE...AND AN
   INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25030.
   
   
   ...IMY

   SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 702
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   205 PM MDT FRI AUG 14 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MONTANA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL 800
   PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
   LIVINGSTON MONTANA TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF LEWISTOWN
   MONTANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...STRONG FORCING...ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH ENTERING
   THE NRN ROCKIES...WAS SPREADING EWD INTO CENTRAL MT. AS THIS FEATURE
   SHIFTS EWD...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND INCREASE IN
   COVERAGE AS THEY ENCOUNTER A WARMING/DESTABILIZING AIR MASS AND DEEP
   LAYER SHEAR AT 50 KT. THE ENVIRONMENT INITIALLY WILL SUPPORT
   SUPERCELLS WITH PRIMARILY A HAIL THREAT. HOWEVER...STRONG LINEAR
   FORCING ALOFT AND DEVELOPING SURFACE FRONT SHOULD ENHANCE THE
   POTENTIAL FOR THE STORMS TO EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE...AND AN
   INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25030.
   
   
   ...IMY

   WOUS64 KWNS 141959
   WOU2
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 702
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   205 PM MDT FRI AUG 14 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 702 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MTC003-007-009-013-015-027-031-037-045-057-059-065-067-069-095-
   097-103-107-111-150200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0702.090814T2005Z-090815T0200Z/
   
   MT 
   .    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BIG HORN             BROADWATER          CARBON              
   CASCADE              CHOUTEAU            FERGUS              
   GALLATIN             GOLDEN VALLEY       JUDITH BASIN        
   MADISON              MEAGHER             MUSSELSHELL         
   PARK                 PETROLEUM           STILLWATER          
   SWEET GRASS          TREASURE            WHEATLAND           
   YELLOWSTONE          
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...
   
   
   

   SAW2 
   WW 702 SEVERE TSTM MT 142005Z - 150200Z
   AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   65SE LVM/LIVINGSTON MT/ - 50NNW LWT/LEWISTOWN MT/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /60SW BIL - 42NNW LWT/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
   
   LAT...LON 45021125 47701170 47700805 45020776
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU2.
   

Watch 702 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 702

VALID 150140Z - 150240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW COD TO
75 ENE LWT.

..GRAMS..08/15/09

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 702 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC003-009-065-103-111-150240-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BIG HORN	     CARBON		 MUSSELSHELL	     
TREASURE	     YELLOWSTONE	 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 702

VALID 142340Z - 150040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1886.

..GRAMS..08/14/09

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 702 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC003-007-009-013-015-027-031-037-045-057-059-065-067-069-095-
097-103-107-111-150040-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BIG HORN	     BROADWATER 	 CARBON 	     
CASCADE 	     CHOUTEAU		 FERGUS 	     
GALLATIN	     GOLDEN VALLEY	 JUDITH BASIN	     
MADISON 	     MEAGHER		 MUSSELSHELL	     
PARK		     PETROLEUM		 STILLWATER	     
SWEET GRASS	     TREASURE		 WHEATLAND	     
YELLOWSTONE	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 702

VALID 142235Z - 142340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GRAMS..08/14/09

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 702 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC003-007-009-013-015-027-031-037-045-057-059-065-067-069-095-
097-103-107-111-142340-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BIG HORN	     BROADWATER 	 CARBON 	     
CASCADE 	     CHOUTEAU		 FERGUS 	     
GALLATIN	     GOLDEN VALLEY	 JUDITH BASIN	     
MADISON 	     MEAGHER		 MUSSELSHELL	     
PARK		     PETROLEUM		 STILLWATER	     
SWEET GRASS	     TREASURE		 WHEATLAND	     
YELLOWSTONE	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 702

VALID 142140Z - 142240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GRAMS..08/14/09

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 702 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC003-007-009-013-015-027-031-037-045-057-059-065-067-069-095-
097-103-107-111-142240-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BIG HORN	     BROADWATER 	 CARBON 	     
CASCADE 	     CHOUTEAU		 FERGUS 	     
GALLATIN	     GOLDEN VALLEY	 JUDITH BASIN	     
MADISON 	     MEAGHER		 MUSSELSHELL	     
PARK		     PETROLEUM		 STILLWATER	     
SWEET GRASS	     TREASURE		 WHEATLAND	     
YELLOWSTONE	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.