Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 703
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM MDT FRI AUG 14 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN NEBRASKA
CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF PIERRE SOUTH DAKOTA TO 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
IMPERIAL NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 702...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING AHEAD OF A WEAK UPPER
TROUGH MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. THESE STORMS WILL BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH VERTICAL SHEAR
STRENGTHENING IN REGION OF MODERATE CAPE. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 703 SEVERE TSTM NE SD 142130Z - 150500Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNE PIR/PIERRE SD/ - 15SSE IML/IMPERIAL NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /28NNE PIR - 43W MCK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 44849898 40310055 40310245 44840102
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 703 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 703
VALID 150235Z - 150340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW BBW TO
55 SW MHN TO 30 N MHN TO 45 NNE VTN TO 40 NNE PIR.
..GRAMS..08/15/09
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC017-031-091-103-171-150340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CHERRY HOOKER
KEYA PAHA THOMAS
$$
SDC017-059-065-069-085-123-150340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO HAND HUGHES
HYDE LYMAN TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 703
VALID 150145Z - 150240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE SNY
TO 15 WNW MHN TO 40 N PIR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1887.
..GRAMS..08/15/09
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-029-031-063-085-091-101-103-111-113-117-135-171-
150240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHASE CHERRY FRONTIER
HAYES HOOKER KEITH
KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON PERKINS THOMAS
$$
SDC017-059-065-069-085-095-119-121-123-150240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO HAND HUGHES
HYDE LYMAN MELLETTE
SULLY TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 703
VALID 142340Z - 150040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..08/14/09
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-029-031-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-103-111-113-
117-135-161-171-150040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHASE CHERRY DEUEL
FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT
HAYES HOOKER KEITH
KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON PERKINS SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC007-017-059-065-069-071-075-085-095-113-117-119-121-123-
150040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT BUFFALO HAND
HUGHES HYDE JACKSON
JONES LYMAN MELLETTE
SHANNON STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 703
VALID 142235Z - 142340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..08/14/09
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-029-031-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-103-111-113-
117-135-161-171-142340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHASE CHERRY DEUEL
FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT
HAYES HOOKER KEITH
KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON PERKINS SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC007-017-059-065-069-071-075-085-095-113-117-119-121-123-
142340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT BUFFALO HAND
HUGHES HYDE JACKSON
JONES LYMAN MELLETTE
SHANNON STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.