Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 703
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST IOWA
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MINNESOTA
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
PARTS OF NORTHWEST WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
NORFOLK NEBRASKA TO 75 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MINNEAPOLIS
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 702...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS INTENSIFYING ACROSS SRN MN INTO SERN SD
WHERE AIR MASS HAS BECOME MDTLY UNSTABLE. FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES
FOR SUPERCELLS ALONG AND AHEAD OF BOUNDARY FROM N OF MSP TO W OF
FSD. TORNADOS ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
SUPERCELL. STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND DEVELOP
E/SEWD THRU THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 703 TORNADO IA MN NE SD WI 191930Z - 200300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50WNW OFK/NORFOLK NE/ - 75ENE MSP/MINNEAPOLIS MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /20SE ONL - 27NNW EAU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 43189833 46229179 44349179 41319833
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 703 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 703
VALID 200215Z - 200300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE OFK
TO 20 NNE OFK TO 15 NNW SUX TO 15 W SLB.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 703 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
20/03Z.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC085-133-165-200300-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON MONONA SHELBY
$$
NEC021-039-167-173-179-200300-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT CUMING STANTON
THURSTON WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 703
VALID 200125Z - 200240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E BUB TO
15 NNW SUX TO 20 W SLB.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-093-133-193-200240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA IDA MONONA
WOODBURY
$$
NEC011-021-039-043-119-167-173-179-200240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BURT CUMING
DAKOTA MADISON STANTON
THURSTON WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 703
VALID 200030Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE ONL TO
35 SSE FSD TO 10 SW SPW TO 35 SE MKT TO 15 S MSP TO 30 NNW EAU.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-063-093-109-133-141-147-149-167-189-193-200140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
EMMET IDA KOSSUTH
MONONA O'BRIEN PALO ALTO
PLYMOUTH SIOUX WINNEBAGO
WOODBURY
$$
MNC037-039-049-099-109-131-157-200140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DODGE GOODHUE
MOWER OLMSTED RICE
WABASHA
$$
NEC003-011-021-027-039-043-051-107-119-139-167-173-179-200140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BURT
CEDAR CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON KNOX MADISON
PIERCE STANTON THURSTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC027-127-200140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY UNION
$$
WIC017-033-035-091-093-200140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHIPPEWA DUNN EAU CLAIRE
PEPIN PIERCE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 703
VALID 200000Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE ONL TO
35 SSE FSD TO 10 SW SPW TO 35 SE MKT TO 15 S MSP TO 30 NNW EAU.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-063-093-109-133-141-147-149-167-189-193-200140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
EMMET IDA KOSSUTH
MONONA O'BRIEN PALO ALTO
PLYMOUTH SIOUX WINNEBAGO
WOODBURY
$$
MNC037-039-049-099-109-131-157-200140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DODGE GOODHUE
MOWER OLMSTED RICE
WABASHA
$$
NEC003-011-021-027-039-043-051-107-119-139-167-173-179-200140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BURT
CEDAR CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON KNOX MADISON
PIERCE STANTON THURSTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC027-127-200140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY UNION
$$
WIC017-033-035-091-093-200140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHIPPEWA DUNN EAU CLAIRE
PEPIN PIERCE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 703
VALID 192240Z - 192340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE ONL TO
30 W FRM TO 30 SSW STC.
..KERR..07/19/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-063-093-109-133-141-147-149-167-189-193-192340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
EMMET IDA KOSSUTH
MONONA O'BRIEN PALO ALTO
PLYMOUTH SIOUX WINNEBAGO
WOODBURY
$$
MNC003-013-015-019-025-037-039-043-047-049-053-059-079-085-091-
099-103-109-123-131-139-141-143-147-157-161-163-165-171-
192340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHISAGO DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FREEBORN
GOODHUE HENNEPIN ISANTI
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN
MOWER NICOLLET OLMSTED
RAMSEY RICE SCOTT
SHERBURNE SIBLEY STEELE
WABASHA WASECA WASHINGTON
WATONWAN WRIGHT
$$
NEC003-011-021-027-039-043-051-107-119-139-167-173-179-192340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BURT
CEDAR CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON KNOX MADISON
PIERCE STANTON THURSTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC027-127-192340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY UNION
$$
WIC005-017-033-035-091-093-095-107-109-192340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON CHIPPEWA DUNN
EAU CLAIRE PEPIN PIERCE
POLK RUSK ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 703
VALID 192130Z - 192240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/19/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-063-093-109-119-133-141-143-147-149-167-189-
193-192240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON EMMET IDA
KOSSUTH LYON MONONA
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PALO ALTO
PLYMOUTH SIOUX WINNEBAGO
WOODBURY
$$
MNC003-013-015-019-025-033-037-039-043-047-049-053-059-063-079-
085-091-099-103-105-109-123-131-133-139-141-143-147-157-161-163-
165-171-192240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHISAGO COTTONWOOD
DAKOTA DODGE FARIBAULT
FREEBORN GOODHUE HENNEPIN
ISANTI JACKSON LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MOWER
NICOLLET NOBLES OLMSTED
RAMSEY RICE ROCK
SCOTT SHERBURNE SIBLEY
STEELE WABASHA WASECA
WASHINGTON WATONWAN WRIGHT
$$
NEC003-011-021-027-039-043-051-107-119-139-167-173-179-192240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BURT
CEDAR CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON KNOX MADISON
PIERCE STANTON THURSTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC009-027-067-083-087-099-125-127-135-192240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CLAY HUTCHINSON
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINNEHAHA
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
WIC005-033-091-093-095-109-192240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON DUNN PEPIN
PIERCE POLK ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.