Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 705
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN IOWA
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
CENTRAL AND WESTERN WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 525 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WAUSAU WISCONSIN TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF FORT DODGE IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 702...WW 703...WW 704...
DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ESEWD
ACROSS WW THIS EVENING...INTO MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY. LATE
AFTERNOON STORMS HAVE BEEN LOOSELY ORGANIZED IN THE FORM OF CLUSTERS
AND A FEW SUPERCELLS...WITH SHEAR REMAINING SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS
AND POSSIBLE EVOLUTION INTO BOW SEGMENTS THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...ARE EXPECTED OVER
MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN
POSSIBLE AS STORMS INTERACT WITH SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL WI
AND INGEST VERY UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS NRN IA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 705 TORNADO IA MN WI 192225Z - 200300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NNE AUW/WAUSAU WI/ - 40S FOD/FORT DODGE IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /19S RHI - 39S FOD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 45318794 41959283 41959555 45319083
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 705 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 705
VALID 200230Z - 200300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW DNS
TO 20 SW ALO TO 20 SSE RHI.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 705 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
20/03Z.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-013-015-017-027-043-047-065-073-127-169-171-200300-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE BLACK HAWK BOONE
BREMER CARROLL CLAYTON
CRAWFORD FAYETTE GREENE
MARSHALL STORY TAMA
$$
WIC001-023-057-073-081-097-115-123-135-137-141-200300-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CRAWFORD JUNEAU
MARATHON MONROE PORTAGE
SHAWANO VERNON WAUPACA
WAUSHARA WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 705
VALID 200125Z - 200240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-013-015-017-023-025-027-033-037-043-047-065-067-069-073-
075-079-081-083-089-091-127-131-161-169-171-187-191-195-197-
200240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE BLACK HAWK BOONE
BREMER BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAYTON CRAWFORD FAYETTE
FLOYD FRANKLIN GREENE
GRUNDY HAMILTON HANCOCK
HARDIN HOWARD HUMBOLDT
MARSHALL MITCHELL SAC
STORY TAMA WEBSTER
WINNESHIEK WORTH WRIGHT
$$
MNC045-055-169-200240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON WINONA
$$
WIC001-011-019-023-053-057-063-073-081-097-115-121-123-135-137-
141-200240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CLARK
CRAWFORD JACKSON JUNEAU
LA CROSSE MARATHON MONROE
PORTAGE SHAWANO TREMPEALEAU
VERNON WAUPACA WAUSHARA
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 705
VALID 200030Z - 200140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-013-015-017-023-025-027-033-037-043-047-065-067-069-073-
075-079-081-083-089-091-127-131-151-161-169-171-187-191-195-197-
200140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE BLACK HAWK BOONE
BREMER BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAYTON CRAWFORD FAYETTE
FLOYD FRANKLIN GREENE
GRUNDY HAMILTON HANCOCK
HARDIN HOWARD HUMBOLDT
MARSHALL MITCHELL POCAHONTAS
SAC STORY TAMA
WEBSTER WINNESHIEK WORTH
WRIGHT
$$
MNC045-055-169-200140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON WINONA
$$
WIC001-011-019-023-053-057-063-073-081-097-115-119-121-123-135-
137-141-200140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CLARK
CRAWFORD JACKSON JUNEAU
LA CROSSE MARATHON MONROE
PORTAGE SHAWANO TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU VERNON WAUPACA
WAUSHARA WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 705
VALID 200005Z - 200140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-013-015-017-023-025-027-033-037-043-047-065-067-069-073-
075-079-081-083-089-091-127-131-151-161-169-171-187-191-195-197-
200140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE BLACK HAWK BOONE
BREMER BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAYTON CRAWFORD FAYETTE
FLOYD FRANKLIN GREENE
GRUNDY HAMILTON HANCOCK
HARDIN HOWARD HUMBOLDT
MARSHALL MITCHELL POCAHONTAS
SAC STORY TAMA
WEBSTER WINNESHIEK WORTH
WRIGHT
$$
MNC045-055-169-200140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON WINONA
$$
WIC001-011-019-023-053-057-063-073-081-097-115-119-121-123-135-
137-141-200140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CLARK
CRAWFORD JACKSON JUNEAU
LA CROSSE MARATHON MONROE
PORTAGE SHAWANO TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU VERNON WAUPACA
WAUSHARA WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.