Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 708
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF AMARILLO TEXAS TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF ENID OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED NEAR AMA ALONG A
SURFACE TROUGH...AND ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM FARTHER TO THE ENE
ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN THE NE TX PANHANDLE AS SURFACE HEATING
CONTINUES. OTHER STORMS COULD ALSO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A
STALLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS NW OK. VERTICAL SHEAR IS AT LEAST
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS ON THE IMMEDIATE COOL SIDE OF
THE BOUNDARY...ALONG THE N EDGE OF THE STRONGER SURFACE-BASED
INSTABILITY. CONVECTION SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN
SEVERE THREATS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29015.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 708 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 172020Z - 180300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25NNW AMA/AMARILLO TX/ - 10S END/ENID OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /20NW AMA - 9S END/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29015.
LAT...LON 36340188 37009791 35409791 34750188
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 708 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 708
VALID 180015Z - 180140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..08/18/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 708
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-017-039-043-045-047-053-059-073-093-129-151-153-
180140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CANADIAN CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
HARPER KINGFISHER MAJOR
ROGER MILLS WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-129-179-211-233-295-357-375-381-393-483-180140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DONLEY GRAY HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 708
VALID 172220Z - 172340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..08/17/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 708
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-017-039-043-045-047-053-059-073-093-129-151-153-
172340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CANADIAN CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
HARPER KINGFISHER MAJOR
ROGER MILLS WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-129-179-211-233-295-357-375-381-393-483-172340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DONLEY GRAY HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.