Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 709
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN CONNECTICUT
MUCH OF MASSACHUSETTS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
LARGE PART OF EASTERN NEW YORK
SMALL PART OF NORTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND
PARTS OF SOUTHERN VERMONT
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 800
PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF ITHACA NEW YORK TO 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
WORCESTER MASSACHUSETTS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 708...
DISCUSSION...AIR MASS HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND UNCAPPED
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA AS TEMPS WARM INTO THE LOW 90S. WITH 30KT OF
DEEP LAYER SHEAR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
WITH DAMAGING WINDS BECOMING THE PRIMARY SEVERE CONCERN.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 709 SEVERE TSTM CT MA NH NY PA RI VT CW 201810Z - 210000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30SSW ITH/ITHACA NY/ - 45ENE ORH/WORCESTER MA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /60W HNK - 10NNW BOS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 43027666 43457105 41587105 41137666
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 709 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 709
VALID 202330Z - 210000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE AVP
TO 20 SW RUT.
PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED AN
HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 00Z. OTHERWISE...WW 709 MAY BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1831.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...BOX...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC003-005-013-015-210000-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARTFORD LITCHFIELD TOLLAND
WINDHAM
$$
MAC003-009-011-013-015-017-021-025-027-210000-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE ESSEX FRANKLIN
HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE MIDDLESEX
NORFOLK SUFFOLK WORCESTER
$$
NHC005-011-210000-
NH
. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH
$$
NYC001-021-027-039-083-105-111-210000-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY COLUMBIA DUTCHESS
GREENE RENSSELAER SULLIVAN
ULSTER
$$
PAC103-210000-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIKE
$$
RIC007-210000-
RI
. RHODE ISLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PROVIDENCE
$$
VTC003-025-210000-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNINGTON WINDHAM
$$
ANZ230-210000-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BOSTON HARBOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 709
VALID 202240Z - 202340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...BOX...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC003-005-013-015-202340-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARTFORD LITCHFIELD TOLLAND
WINDHAM
$$
MAC003-009-011-013-015-017-021-025-027-202340-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE ESSEX FRANKLIN
HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE MIDDLESEX
NORFOLK SUFFOLK WORCESTER
$$
NHC005-011-202340-
NH
. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH
$$
NYC001-007-011-017-021-023-025-027-035-039-043-053-057-065-077-
083-091-093-095-105-107-109-111-115-202340-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA
CHENANGO COLUMBIA CORTLAND
DELAWARE DUTCHESS FULTON
GREENE HERKIMER MADISON
MONTGOMERY ONEIDA OTSEGO
RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN TIOGA
TOMPKINS ULSTER WASHINGTON
$$
PAC069-079-103-115-127-131-202340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LACKAWANNA LUZERNE PIKE
SUSQUEHANNA WAYNE WYOMING
$$
RIC007-202340-
RI
. RHODE ISLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PROVIDENCE
$$
VTC003-025-202340-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNINGTON WINDHAM
$$
ANZ230-202340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BOSTON HARBOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 709
VALID 202130Z - 202240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...BOX...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC003-005-013-015-202240-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARTFORD LITCHFIELD TOLLAND
WINDHAM
$$
MAC003-009-011-013-015-017-021-025-027-202240-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE ESSEX FRANKLIN
HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE MIDDLESEX
NORFOLK SUFFOLK WORCESTER
$$
NHC005-011-202240-
NH
. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH
$$
NYC001-007-011-017-021-023-025-027-035-039-043-053-057-065-077-
083-091-093-095-105-107-109-111-115-202240-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA
CHENANGO COLUMBIA CORTLAND
DELAWARE DUTCHESS FULTON
GREENE HERKIMER MADISON
MONTGOMERY ONEIDA OTSEGO
RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN TIOGA
TOMPKINS ULSTER WASHINGTON
$$
PAC069-079-103-115-127-131-202240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LACKAWANNA LUZERNE PIKE
SUSQUEHANNA WAYNE WYOMING
$$
RIC007-202240-
RI
. RHODE ISLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PROVIDENCE
$$
VTC003-025-202240-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNINGTON WINDHAM
$$
ANZ230-202240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BOSTON HARBOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 709
VALID 202040Z - 202140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N ITH TO
20 S SYR TO 20 SE SYR TO 10 WNW UCA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1828.
..EDWARDS..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...BOX...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC003-005-013-015-202140-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARTFORD LITCHFIELD TOLLAND
WINDHAM
$$
MAC003-009-011-013-015-017-021-025-027-202140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE ESSEX FRANKLIN
HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE MIDDLESEX
NORFOLK SUFFOLK WORCESTER
$$
NHC005-011-202140-
NH
. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH
$$
NYC001-007-011-017-021-023-025-027-035-039-043-053-057-065-077-
083-091-093-095-105-107-109-111-115-202140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA
CHENANGO COLUMBIA CORTLAND
DELAWARE DUTCHESS FULTON
GREENE HERKIMER MADISON
MONTGOMERY ONEIDA OTSEGO
RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN TIOGA
TOMPKINS ULSTER WASHINGTON
$$
PAC069-079-103-115-127-131-202140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LACKAWANNA LUZERNE PIKE
SUSQUEHANNA WAYNE WYOMING
$$
RIC007-202140-
RI
. RHODE ISLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PROVIDENCE
$$
VTC003-025-202140-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNINGTON WINDHAM
$$
ANZ230-202140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BOSTON HARBOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 709
VALID 201940Z - 202040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...BOX...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC003-005-013-015-202040-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARTFORD LITCHFIELD TOLLAND
WINDHAM
$$
MAC003-009-011-013-015-017-021-025-027-202040-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE ESSEX FRANKLIN
HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE MIDDLESEX
NORFOLK SUFFOLK WORCESTER
$$
NHC005-011-202040-
NH
. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH
$$
NYC001-007-011-017-021-023-025-027-035-039-043-053-057-065-067-
077-083-091-093-095-105-107-109-111-115-202040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA
CHENANGO COLUMBIA CORTLAND
DELAWARE DUTCHESS FULTON
GREENE HERKIMER MADISON
MONTGOMERY ONEIDA ONONDAGA
OTSEGO RENSSELAER SARATOGA
SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN
TIOGA TOMPKINS ULSTER
WASHINGTON
$$
PAC069-079-103-115-127-131-202040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LACKAWANNA LUZERNE PIKE
SUSQUEHANNA WAYNE WYOMING
$$
RIC007-202040-
RI
. RHODE ISLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PROVIDENCE
$$
VTC003-025-202040-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNINGTON WINDHAM
$$
ANZ230-202040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BOSTON HARBOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.