SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 709
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM MDT TUE AUG 18 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN COLORADO
          NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
   900 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF AKRON COLORADO TO 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
   TUCUMCARI NEW MEXICO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN
   COVERAGE/INTENSITY FROM THE FRONT RANGE EWD THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON...AS SURFACE HEATING COINCIDES WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A MID
   LEVEL TROUGH FROM WRN/CENTRAL CO.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE
   INSTABILITY AND 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
   SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  AN
   ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS SE CO/NE NM WHERE
   LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS GREATER AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW TO BACK TO MORE ELY/SELY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28020.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 709
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM MDT TUE AUG 18 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN COLORADO
          NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
   900 PM MDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
   ISOLATED HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF AKRON COLORADO TO 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
   TUCUMCARI NEW MEXICO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN
   COVERAGE/INTENSITY FROM THE FRONT RANGE EWD THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON...AS SURFACE HEATING COINCIDES WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A MID
   LEVEL TROUGH FROM WRN/CENTRAL CO.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE
   INSTABILITY AND 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
   SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  AN
   ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS SE CO/NE NM WHERE
   LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS GREATER AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW TO BACK TO MORE ELY/SELY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28020.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 709
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM MDT TUE AUG 18 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN COLORADO
          NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
   900 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF AKRON COLORADO TO 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
   TUCUMCARI NEW MEXICO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN
   COVERAGE/INTENSITY FROM THE FRONT RANGE EWD THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON...AS SURFACE HEATING COINCIDES WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A MID
   LEVEL TROUGH FROM WRN/CENTRAL CO.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE
   INSTABILITY AND 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
   SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  AN
   ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS SE CO/NE NM WHERE
   LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS GREATER AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW TO BACK TO MORE ELY/SELY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28020.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   WOUS64 KWNS 181826
   WOU9
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 709
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM MDT TUE AUG 18 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 709 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   COC001-005-009-011-025-027-031-035-039-041-043-055-061-071-073-
   075-087-089-099-101-119-121-123-190300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0709.090818T1830Z-090819T0300Z/
   
   CO 
   .    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADAMS                ARAPAHOE            BACA                
   BENT                 CROWLEY             CUSTER              
   DENVER               DOUGLAS             ELBERT              
   EL PASO              FREMONT             HUERFANO            
   KIOWA                LAS ANIMAS          LINCOLN             
   LOGAN                MORGAN              OTERO               
   PROWERS              PUEBLO              TELLER              
   WASHINGTON           WELD                
   
   
   NMC007-019-021-033-037-047-059-190300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0709.090818T1830Z-090819T0300Z/
   
   NM 
   .    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   COLFAX               GUADALUPE           HARDING             
   MORA                 QUAY                SAN MIGUEL          
   UNION                
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BOU...ABQ...PUB...
   
   
   

   SAW9 
   WW 709 SEVERE TSTM CO NM 181830Z - 190300Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   60NNW AKO/AKRON CO/ - 40WSW TCC/TUCUMCARI NM/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /32WSW SNY - 35WSW TCC/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
   
   LAT...LON 40970251 34950319 34950530 40970480
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.
   

Watch 709 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 709

VALID 190135Z - 190240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW SPD TO
25 SE TAD TO 10 NW LAA.

..GRAMS..08/19/09

ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-011-071-099-190240-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA		     BENT		 LAS ANIMAS	     
PROWERS 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 709

VALID 190040Z - 190140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW SPD TO
20 N RTN TO 25 N TAD TO 35 N LAA.

..GRAMS..08/19/09

ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-011-061-071-089-099-190140-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA		     BENT		 KIOWA		     
LAS ANIMAS	     OTERO		 PROWERS	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 709

VALID 182335Z - 190040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW TCC
TO 45 SE RTN TO 40 WNW TAD TO 25 WNW ITR.

..GRAMS..08/18/09

ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-011-025-061-071-089-099-101-190040-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA		     BENT		 CROWLEY	     
KIOWA		     LAS ANIMAS 	 OTERO		     
PROWERS 	     PUEBLO		 
$$


NMC007-021-037-059-190040-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLFAX		     HARDING		 QUAY		     
UNION		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 709

VALID 182245Z - 182340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW PUB TO
25 S AKO TO 35 ESE CYS.

..GRAMS..08/18/09

ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-011-025-041-055-061-071-073-075-089-099-101-121-182340-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA		     BENT		 CROWLEY	     
EL PASO 	     HUERFANO		 KIOWA		     
LAS ANIMAS	     LINCOLN		 LOGAN		     
OTERO		     PROWERS		 PUEBLO 	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


NMC007-019-021-033-037-047-059-182340-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLFAX		     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
MORA		     QUAY		 SAN MIGUEL	     
UNION		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 709

VALID 182130Z - 182240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE FORTHCOMING MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
1912. 
..GRAMS..08/18/09

ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC001-005-009-011-025-027-031-035-039-041-043-055-061-071-073-
075-087-089-099-101-119-121-123-182240-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     ARAPAHOE		 BACA		     
BENT		     CROWLEY		 CUSTER 	     
DENVER		     DOUGLAS		 ELBERT 	     
EL PASO 	     FREMONT		 HUERFANO	     
KIOWA		     LAS ANIMAS 	 LINCOLN	     
LOGAN		     MORGAN		 OTERO		     
PROWERS 	     PUEBLO		 TELLER 	     
WASHINGTON	     WELD		 
$$


NMC007-019-021-033-037-047-059-182240-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLFAX		     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
MORA		     QUAY		 SAN MIGUEL	     
UNION		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 709

VALID 182035Z - 182140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GOSS..08/18/09

ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...ABQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC001-005-009-011-025-027-031-035-039-041-043-055-061-071-073-
075-087-089-099-101-119-121-123-182140-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     ARAPAHOE		 BACA		     
BENT		     CROWLEY		 CUSTER 	     
DENVER		     DOUGLAS		 ELBERT 	     
EL PASO 	     FREMONT		 HUERFANO	     
KIOWA		     LAS ANIMAS 	 LINCOLN	     
LOGAN		     MORGAN		 OTERO		     
PROWERS 	     PUEBLO		 TELLER 	     
WASHINGTON	     WELD		 
$$


NMC007-019-021-033-037-047-059-182140-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLFAX		     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
MORA		     QUAY		 SAN MIGUEL	     
UNION		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.