Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 710
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF EASTERN ILLINOIS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
SMALL PART OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 800
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF DECATUR ILLINOIS TO 90 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF INDIANAPOLIS
INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 708...WW 709...
DISCUSSION...A VERY WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS NOW IN PLACE ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA. WITH 30-35KT OF SHEAR AND MLCAPES TO 3000
J/KG...STORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY. WIND
DAMAGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT AS STORMS DEVELOP INTO LINE
SEGMENTS AND MULTICELL CLUSTERS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 710 SEVERE TSTM IL IN KY 201910Z - 210100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15SW DEC/DECATUR IL/ - 90ESE IND/INDIANAPOLIS IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /10WSW DEC - 12N CVG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 40548906 40088473 38348473 38818906
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 710 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 710
VALID 210025Z - 210100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW BMG
TO 20 SW BMG TO 35 SSW LUK.
PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 710 COULD BE EXTENDED AN
HOUR OR SO BEYOND 21/01Z. OTHERWISE...WW MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
AS SCHEDULED.
..KERR..07/21/08
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 710
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-029-077-115-117-137-143-155-175-210100-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DEARBORN JEFFERSON
OHIO ORANGE RIPLEY
SCOTT SWITZERLAND WASHINGTON
$$
KYC041-077-103-185-187-223-210100-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GALLATIN HENRY
OLDHAM OWEN TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 710
VALID 202335Z - 210040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW BMG
TO 25 NNW BMG TO 15 WNW LUK.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 710
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-013-019-029-031-071-077-079-093-101-105-115-117-137-143-
155-175-210040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
DEARBORN DECATUR JACKSON
JEFFERSON JENNINGS LAWRENCE
MARTIN MONROE OHIO
ORANGE RIPLEY SCOTT
SWITZERLAND WASHINGTON
$$
KYC041-077-103-185-187-223-210040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GALLATIN HENRY
OLDHAM OWEN TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 710
VALID 202240Z - 202340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW BMG
TO 30 W IND TO 35 SW DAY.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 710
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-013-019-027-029-031-041-047-055-071-077-079-081-093-101-
105-109-115-117-119-137-139-143-145-155-161-175-202340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
DAVIESS DEARBORN DECATUR
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS
JOHNSON LAWRENCE MARTIN
MONROE MORGAN OHIO
ORANGE OWEN RIPLEY
RUSH SCOTT SHELBY
SWITZERLAND UNION WASHINGTON
$$
KYC041-077-103-185-187-223-202340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GALLATIN HENRY
OLDHAM OWEN TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 710
VALID 202130Z - 202240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 710
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-039-041-045-049-079-101-115-139-147-
159-173-183-202240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR
EFFINGHAM JASPER LAWRENCE
MACON MOULTRIE PIATT
RICHLAND SHELBY VERMILION
$$
INC005-011-013-019-021-027-029-031-041-045-047-055-057-059-063-
065-071-077-079-081-083-093-097-101-105-107-109-115-117-119-121-
133-137-139-143-145-153-155-157-161-165-167-171-175-177-
202240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CLARK CLAY DAVIESS
DEARBORN DECATUR FAYETTE
FOUNTAIN FRANKLIN GREENE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HENDRICKS
HENRY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
LAWRENCE MARION MARTIN
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OHIO ORANGE OWEN
PARKE PUTNAM RIPLEY
RUSH SCOTT SHELBY
SULLIVAN SWITZERLAND TIPPECANOE
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
KYC041-077-103-185-187-223-202240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GALLATIN HENRY
OLDHAM OWEN TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 710
VALID 202045Z - 202140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..07/20/08
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 710
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-039-041-045-049-079-101-115-139-147-
159-173-183-202140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR
EFFINGHAM JASPER LAWRENCE
MACON MOULTRIE PIATT
RICHLAND SHELBY VERMILION
$$
INC005-011-013-019-021-027-029-031-041-045-047-055-057-059-063-
065-071-077-079-081-083-093-097-101-105-107-109-115-117-119-121-
133-137-139-143-145-153-155-157-161-165-167-171-175-177-
202140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CLARK CLAY DAVIESS
DEARBORN DECATUR FAYETTE
FOUNTAIN FRANKLIN GREENE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HENDRICKS
HENRY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
LAWRENCE MARION MARTIN
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OHIO ORANGE OWEN
PARKE PUTNAM RIPLEY
RUSH SCOTT SHELBY
SULLIVAN SWITZERLAND TIPPECANOE
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
KYC041-077-103-185-187-223-202140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GALLATIN HENRY
OLDHAM OWEN TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.