Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 716
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
615 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
MUCH OF INDIANA
FAR NORTHERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
WESTERN OHIO
LAKE MICHIGAN
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 615 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
DANVILLE ILLINOIS TO 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF DAYTON OHIO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 713...WW 714...WW 715...
DISCUSSION...ISOLD TSTMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FORMING INVOF DIFFUSE
W-E WARM FRONT NEAR I-70 IN CNTRL IL/IND/OH...WHILE BAND OF
STORMS/SUPERCELLS ASSOCIATED WITH CNTRL IL MCS CONTINUES ENEWD.
AMPLE DEEP SHEAR EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR ADDITIONAL ROTATING
STORMS...WITH WIND FIELD POSSIBLY INCREASING SLIGHTLY AS REGION IS
GLANCED BY BAND OF STRONGER FLOW SWEEPING NEWD AROUND BASE OF LARGER
SCALE UPR TROUGH IN MN. MOIST LOW LVL ENVIRONMENT AND S-SELY LOW
LVL FLOW MAY SUFFICIENTLY ENHANCE LOW LVL STORM ROTATION TO POSE A
THREAT FOR TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 716 TORNADO IL IN KY MI OH LM 192215Z - 200500Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40SW DNV/DANVILLE IL/ - 60NNE DAY/DAYTON OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /34E DEC - 27NNE ROD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
LAT...LON 41098812 42008377 39408377 38498812
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 716 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 716
VALID 200240Z - 200340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W LUK TO
5 SW FWA TO 25 SSE JXN.
..BROYLES..08/20/09
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 716
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-009-041-047-075-161-177-179-200340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLACKFORD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN JAY UNION
WAYNE WELLS
$$
OHC003-011-017-021-023-027-037-039-051-057-065-069-091-107-109-
113-125-135-137-149-161-165-171-200340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE BUTLER
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLINTON
DARKE DEFIANCE FULTON
GREENE HARDIN HENRY
LOGAN MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY PAULDING PREBLE
PUTNAM SHELBY VAN WERT
WARREN WILLIAMS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 716
VALID 200150Z - 200240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W LUK TO
5 E MIE TO 35 NW MIE TO 20 N LAF TO 5 ESE VPZ.
..BROYLES..08/20/09
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 716
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-009-017-033-039-041-047-049-053-069-075-085-087-091-
099-103-113-131-141-149-151-161-169-177-179-181-183-200240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD
CASS DE KALB ELKHART
FAYETTE FRANKLIN FULTON
GRANT HUNTINGTON JAY
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
MARSHALL MIAMI NOBLE
PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE
STEUBEN UNION WABASH
WAYNE WELLS WHITE
WHITLEY
$$
MIC021-023-027-059-149-200240-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BRANCH CASS
HILLSDALE ST. JOSEPH
$$
OHC003-011-017-021-023-027-037-039-051-057-065-069-091-107-109-
113-125-135-137-149-161-165-171-200240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE BUTLER
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLINTON
DARKE DEFIANCE FULTON
GREENE HARDIN HENRY
LOGAN MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY PAULDING PREBLE
PUTNAM SHELBY VAN WERT
WARREN WILLIAMS
$$
LMZ046-200240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 716
VALID 192330Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/19/09
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 716
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC023-025-033-035-049-079-101-159-200040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND EFFINGHAM JASPER
LAWRENCE RICHLAND
$$
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-033-035-
039-041-045-047-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-
081-083-085-087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-115-
119-121-131-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-151-153-155-157-159-161-
165-167-169-171-177-179-181-183-200040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DEARBORN
DECATUR DE KALB DELAWARE
ELKHART FAYETTE FOUNTAIN
FRANKLIN FULTON GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MARTIN MIAMI
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NOBLE OHIO OWEN
PARKE PULASKI PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH
ST. JOSEPH SHELBY STARKE
STEUBEN SULLIVAN SWITZERLAND
TIPPECANOE TIPTON UNION
VERMILLION VIGO WABASH
WARREN WAYNE WELLS
WHITE WHITLEY
$$
KYC015-037-117-200040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CAMPBELL KENTON
$$
MIC021-023-027-059-149-200040-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BRANCH CASS
HILLSDALE ST. JOSEPH
$$
OHC003-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-039-051-057-061-065-069-
091-107-109-113-125-135-137-149-161-165-171-200040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE BROWN
BUTLER CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLERMONT CLINTON DARKE
DEFIANCE FULTON GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN HENRY
LOGAN MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY PAULDING PREBLE
PUTNAM SHELBY VAN WERT
WARREN WILLIAMS
$$
LMZ046-200040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 716
VALID 192230Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/19/09
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 716
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC023-025-033-035-049-079-101-159-192340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND EFFINGHAM JASPER
LAWRENCE RICHLAND
$$
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-033-035-
039-041-045-047-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-
081-083-085-087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-115-
119-121-131-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-151-153-155-157-159-161-
165-167-169-171-177-179-181-183-192340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DEARBORN
DECATUR DE KALB DELAWARE
ELKHART FAYETTE FOUNTAIN
FRANKLIN FULTON GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MARTIN MIAMI
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NOBLE OHIO OWEN
PARKE PULASKI PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH
ST. JOSEPH SHELBY STARKE
STEUBEN SULLIVAN SWITZERLAND
TIPPECANOE TIPTON UNION
VERMILLION VIGO WABASH
WARREN WAYNE WELLS
WHITE WHITLEY
$$
KYC015-037-117-192340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CAMPBELL KENTON
$$
MIC021-023-027-059-149-192340-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BRANCH CASS
HILLSDALE ST. JOSEPH
$$
OHC003-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-039-051-057-061-065-069-
091-107-109-113-125-135-137-149-161-165-171-192340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE BROWN
BUTLER CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLERMONT CLINTON DARKE
DEFIANCE FULTON GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN HENRY
LOGAN MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY PAULDING PREBLE
PUTNAM SHELBY VAN WERT
WARREN WILLIAMS
$$
LMZ046-192340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.