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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 722
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
EXTREME NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF
WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 721...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY N OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
NEAR THE RED RIVER...AS THE SRN PORTION OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ROTATING ESEWD OVER KS/OK BRUSHES THIS AREA. STRONG INSTABILITY IS
FOCUSED ALONG THE BOUNDARY...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR
FOR SUPERCELLS IN THE ELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW N OF THE BOUNDARY. LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE STORM
THREAT...THOUGH AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH
SUPERCELLS TRACKING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29020.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 722 SEVERE TSTM AR LA OK TX 202010Z - 210300Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
5S SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/ - 25SE TXK/TEXARKANA AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /7SE SPS - 26NNE EIC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020.
LAT...LON 34619850 33919369 32479369 33169850
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 722 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 722
VALID 210040Z - 210140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/21/09
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 722
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC073-081-091-210140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER
$$
LAC015-017-210140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-067-069-085-089-095-099-127-210140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MCCURTAIN MARSHALL
MURRAY PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC009-037-063-067-077-085-097-119-121-147-159-181-203-223-231-
237-277-315-337-343-379-387-449-459-497-499-503-210140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BOWIE CAMP
CASS CLAY COLLIN
COOKE DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
HARRISON HOPKINS HUNT
JACK LAMAR MARION
MONTAGUE MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
WISE WOOD YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 722
VALID 202340Z - 210040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/20/09
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 722
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC073-081-091-210040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER
$$
LAC015-017-210040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-067-069-085-089-095-099-127-210040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MCCURTAIN MARSHALL
MURRAY PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC009-037-063-067-077-085-097-119-121-147-159-181-203-223-231-
237-277-315-337-343-379-387-449-459-497-499-503-210040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BOWIE CAMP
CASS CLAY COLLIN
COOKE DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
HARRISON HOPKINS HUNT
JACK LAMAR MARION
MONTAGUE MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
WISE WOOD YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 722
VALID 202235Z - 202340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/20/09
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 722
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC073-081-091-202340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER
$$
LAC015-017-202340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-067-069-085-089-095-099-127-202340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MCCURTAIN MARSHALL
MURRAY PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC009-037-063-067-077-085-097-119-121-147-159-181-203-223-231-
237-277-315-337-343-379-387-449-459-497-499-503-202340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BOWIE CAMP
CASS CLAY COLLIN
COOKE DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
HARRISON HOPKINS HUNT
JACK LAMAR MARION
MONTAGUE MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
WISE WOOD YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 722
VALID 202130Z - 202240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/20/09
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 722
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC073-081-091-202240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER
$$
LAC015-017-202240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-067-069-085-089-095-099-127-202240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MCCURTAIN MARSHALL
MURRAY PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC009-037-063-067-077-085-097-119-121-147-159-181-203-223-231-
237-277-315-337-343-379-387-449-459-497-499-503-202240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BOWIE CAMP
CASS CLAY COLLIN
COOKE DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
HARRISON HOPKINS HUNT
JACK LAMAR MARION
MONTAGUE MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
WISE WOOD YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.