Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 729
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
420 PM EDT FRI AUG 21 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN CONNECTICUT
MASSACHUSETTS
WESTERN MAINE
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 420 PM UNTIL 900
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WESTFIELD
MASSACHUSETTS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PORTLAND MAINE. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 726...WW 727...WW 728...
DISCUSSION...SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A MESOLOW WAS LOCATED NEAR
THE NY/CT BORDER...AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NEWD ALONG STRONG
SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING NEWD FROM THE LOW INTO WRN MAINE. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
LOW. GIVEN THE VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...STRONG LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AND ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE LOW...
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...IMY
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 729 TORNADO CT MA ME NH 212020Z - 220100Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
15SW BAF/WESTFIELD MA/ - 20NNE PWM/PORTLAND ME/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM EITHER SIDE /11WNW BDL - 35NE ENE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 42407331 44337055 43506976 41587254
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 729 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 729
VALID 212340Z - 220040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE BDL
TO 20 E EEN TO 20 W LCI.
..BROYLES..08/21/09
ATTN...WFO...BOX...GYX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 729
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC013-015-220040-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
TOLLAND WINDHAM
$$
MEC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-023-025-027-031-220040-
ME
. MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDROSCOGGIN CUMBERLAND FRANKLIN
KENNEBEC KNOX LINCOLN
OXFORD SAGADAHOC SOMERSET
WALDO YORK
$$
MAC017-027-220040-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MIDDLESEX WORCESTER
$$
NHC001-003-011-013-015-017-220040-
NH
. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELKNAP CARROLL HILLSBOROUGH
MERRIMACK ROCKINGHAM STRAFFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.