Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 735
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1050 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF LAKE
CHARLES LOUISIANA TO 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF ANGLETON TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...TSTMS DEVELOPING WITHIN MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIR MASS /MLCAPE APPROACHING 1500-2500 J PER KG/ ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TODAY WITH ACTIVITY
MOVING/PROPAGATING SWD/SWWD TOWARD THE GULF COAST. THE PRESENCE OF
MODERATELY STRONG MID AND HIGH-LEVEL FLOW ON WRN PERIPHERY OF LOWER
MS VALLEY VORTICITY MAXIMUM WILL SUPPORT THE EVOLUTION OF
FORWARD-PROPAGATING STORM CLUSTERS AND PERHAPS SOME MARGINAL
SUPERCELLS WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 02030.
...MEAD/WEISS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 735 SEVERE TSTM LA TX CW 261550Z - 262300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
30N LCH/LAKE CHARLES LA/ - 65WNW LBX/ANGLETON TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM EITHER SIDE /26NNW LCH - 44N PSX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 02030.
LAT...LON 29679287 28599612 30379681 31459358
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 735 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 735
VALID 262245Z - 262300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
WW 735 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 2300Z.
..GUYER..08/26/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 735
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-262300-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON
$$
TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-199-201-225-239-241-245-
291-313-321-339-351-361-373-407-455-457-471-473-477-481-
262300-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SAN JACINTO TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-430-432-450-262300-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 735
VALID 262130Z - 262240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CORFIDI..08/26/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 735
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-262240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON
$$
TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-199-201-225-239-241-245-
291-313-321-339-351-361-373-407-455-457-471-473-477-481-
262240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SAN JACINTO TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-430-432-450-262240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 735
VALID 262030Z - 262140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/26/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 735
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-262140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON
$$
TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-199-201-225-239-241-245-
291-313-321-339-351-361-373-407-455-457-471-473-477-481-
262140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SAN JACINTO TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-430-432-450-262140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 735
VALID 261830Z - 261940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/26/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 735
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-261940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON
$$
TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-199-201-225-239-241-245-
291-313-321-339-351-361-373-407-455-457-471-473-477-481-
261940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SAN JACINTO TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-430-432-450-261940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 735
VALID 261735Z - 261840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/26/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 735
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-261840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON
$$
TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-199-201-225-239-241-245-
291-313-321-339-351-361-373-407-455-457-471-473-477-481-
261840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SAN JACINTO TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-430-432-450-261840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 735
VALID 261630Z - 261740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..08/26/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 735
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-261740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON
$$
TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-199-201-225-239-241-245-
291-313-321-339-351-361-373-407-455-457-471-473-477-481-
261740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SAN JACINTO TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-430-432-450-261740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.