Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 737
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM MDT TUE SEP 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST COLORADO
A SMALL PART OF WESTERN MINNESOTA
WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEBRASKA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST OF
IMPERIAL NEBRASKA TO 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF ORTONVILLE MINNESOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...SFC-BASED TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG SD/NEB COLD
FRONT IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. AT THE SAME TIME...MOUNTAIN-INITIATED
STORMS NOW IN SE WY/N CNTRL CO EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP NEWD AND
INTERACT WITH THE OVER SW NEB. STG LOW-LVL INSTABILITY AND
MODERATELY SHEARED WIND FIELD SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE
DEVELOPMENT INTO A LARGE E/SE MOVING CLUSTER OVER WRN NEB. EMBEDDED
STORMS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR SVR HAIL/WIND INTO TONIGHT. FARTHER
NE...STORMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS WITH SMALL SCALE BOWS EXPECTED TO
MOVE NEWD MORE OR LESS PARALLEL TO FRONT OVER SD. THESE MAY YIELD
SVR WIND/HAIL THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 737 SEVERE TSTM CO MN NE SD 081955Z - 090400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30W IML/IMPERIAL NE/ - 50NW VVV/ORTONVILLE MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /50SE SNY - 56ENE ABR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 40500343 45819850 45819580 40500094
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 737 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 737
VALID 090325Z - 090440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE ATY
TO 20 SSW ATY TO 35 WSW ATY TO 30 SSE ABR TO 15 SSE ABR TO 15 ENE
ABR TO 35 NE ABR TO 45 ENE ABR TO 50 NW VVV.
SVR POTENTIAL DINMINISHING CONSIDERABLY PER FCST TRENDS DISCUSSED
IN MCD 2002. REMANDER WW MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 4Z.
..EDWARDS..09/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...ABR...LBF...CYS...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 737
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC011-155-090440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE TRAVERSE
$$
SDC013-025-029-037-039-051-057-091-109-115-090440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLARK CODINGTON
DAY DEUEL GRANT
HAMLIN MARSHALL ROBERTS
SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 737
VALID 090230Z - 090340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W IML TO
20 SE MHN TO 10 NE ANW TO 15 S 9V9 TO 10 NNW HON TO 30 NW HON TO
40 NE PIR.
..EDWARDS..09/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...ABR...LBF...CYS...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 737
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC011-155-090340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE TRAVERSE
$$
NEC009-015-017-029-041-063-085-089-101-103-111-113-115-117-135-
149-171-090340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE BOYD BROWN
CHASE CUSTER FRONTIER
HAYES HOLT KEITH
KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON PERKINS
ROCK THOMAS
$$
SDC003-005-013-015-023-025-029-035-037-039-043-051-053-057-061-
073-077-091-097-109-111-115-090340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROWN
BRULE CHARLES MIX CLARK
CODINGTON DAVISON DAY
DEUEL DOUGLAS GRANT
GREGORY HAMLIN HANSON
JERAULD KINGSBURY MARSHALL
MINER ROBERTS SANBORN
SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 737
VALID 090130Z - 090240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE AKO TO
40 ENE SNY TO 20 SE AIA TO 40 ENE AIA TO 40 WSW VTN TO 25 ENE VTN
TO 25 N 9V9 TO 35 NE PIR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2002.
..EDWARDS..09/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...ABR...LBF...CYS...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 737
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC095-115-090240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
$$
MNC011-155-090240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE TRAVERSE
$$
NEC005-009-015-017-029-031-041-049-063-069-075-085-089-091-101-
103-111-113-115-117-135-149-161-171-090240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOYD
BROWN CHASE CHERRY
CUSTER DEUEL FRONTIER
GARDEN GRANT HAYES
HOLT HOOKER KEITH
KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON PERKINS
ROCK SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
SDC003-005-013-015-017-023-025-029-035-037-039-043-049-051-053-
057-059-061-069-073-077-085-091-097-109-111-115-090240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLARK CODINGTON DAVISON
DAY DEUEL DOUGLAS
FAULK GRANT GREGORY
HAMLIN HAND HANSON
HYDE JERAULD KINGSBURY
LYMAN MARSHALL MINER
ROBERTS SANBORN SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 737
VALID 090025Z - 090140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2002.
..EDWARDS..09/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...ABR...LBF...CYS...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 737
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-095-115-090140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
$$
MNC011-155-090140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE TRAVERSE
$$
NEC005-009-015-017-029-031-033-041-049-063-069-075-085-089-091-
101-103-111-113-115-117-123-135-149-161-171-090140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOYD
BROWN CHASE CHERRY
CHEYENNE CUSTER DEUEL
FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT
HAYES HOLT HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
MORRILL PERKINS ROCK
SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
SDC003-005-013-015-017-023-025-029-035-037-039-043-049-051-053-
057-059-061-065-069-073-075-077-085-091-097-109-111-115-
090140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLARK CODINGTON DAVISON
DAY DEUEL DOUGLAS
FAULK GRANT GREGORY
HAMLIN HAND HANSON
HUGHES HYDE JERAULD
JONES KINGSBURY LYMAN
MARSHALL MINER ROBERTS
SANBORN SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 737
VALID 082345Z - 090040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION FORTHCOMING./
..EDWARDS..09/08/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...ABR...LBF...CYS...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 737
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-095-115-090040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
$$
MNC011-155-090040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE TRAVERSE
$$
NEC005-009-015-017-029-031-033-041-049-063-069-075-085-089-091-
101-103-111-113-115-117-123-135-149-161-171-090040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOYD
BROWN CHASE CHERRY
CHEYENNE CUSTER DEUEL
FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT
HAYES HOLT HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
MORRILL PERKINS ROCK
SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
SDC003-005-013-015-017-023-025-029-035-037-039-043-049-051-053-
057-059-061-065-069-073-075-077-085-091-095-097-109-111-115-121-
123-090040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLARK CODINGTON DAVISON
DAY DEUEL DOUGLAS
FAULK GRANT GREGORY
HAMLIN HAND HANSON
HUGHES HYDE JERAULD
JONES KINGSBURY LYMAN
MARSHALL MELLETTE MINER
ROBERTS SANBORN SPINK
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 737
VALID 082245Z - 082340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..09/08/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...ABR...LBF...CYS...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 737
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-095-115-082340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
$$
MNC011-155-082340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE TRAVERSE
$$
NEC005-009-015-017-029-031-033-041-049-063-069-075-085-089-091-
101-103-111-113-115-117-123-135-149-161-171-082340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOYD
BROWN CHASE CHERRY
CHEYENNE CUSTER DEUEL
FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT
HAYES HOLT HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
MORRILL PERKINS ROCK
SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
SDC003-005-013-015-017-023-025-029-035-037-039-043-049-051-053-
057-059-061-065-069-073-075-077-085-091-095-097-109-111-115-121-
123-082340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLARK CODINGTON DAVISON
DAY DEUEL DOUGLAS
FAULK GRANT GREGORY
HAMLIN HAND HANSON
HUGHES HYDE JERAULD
JONES KINGSBURY LYMAN
MARSHALL MELLETTE MINER
ROBERTS SANBORN SPINK
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 737
VALID 082145Z - 082240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..09/08/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...ABR...LBF...CYS...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 737
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-095-115-082240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
$$
MNC011-155-082240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE TRAVERSE
$$
NEC005-009-015-017-029-031-033-041-049-063-069-075-085-089-091-
101-103-111-113-115-117-123-135-149-161-171-082240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOYD
BROWN CHASE CHERRY
CHEYENNE CUSTER DEUEL
FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT
HAYES HOLT HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
MORRILL PERKINS ROCK
SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
SDC003-005-013-015-017-023-025-029-035-037-039-043-049-051-053-
057-059-061-065-069-073-075-077-085-091-095-097-109-111-115-121-
123-082240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLARK CODINGTON DAVISON
DAY DEUEL DOUGLAS
FAULK GRANT GREGORY
HAMLIN HAND HANSON
HUGHES HYDE JERAULD
JONES KINGSBURY LYMAN
MARSHALL MELLETTE MINER
ROBERTS SANBORN SPINK
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.