Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 739
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
325 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
MUCH OF MARYLAND
PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
PARTS OF WESTERN VIRGINIA
SMALL PART OF EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF BALTIMORE MARYLAND TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
CHARLOTTE NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 735...WW 736...WW
737...WW 738...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
NOW CROSSING APPALACHIANS. WITH CLOUDS CLEARING...AIR MASS ACROSS
WATCH AREA IS NOW BECOMING UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED. WITH STRONG
UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING FROM OH VALLEY...SHEAR AND LARGE SCALE
ASCENT SUPPORTS INCREASING WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL ALONG WITH
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AS STORMS SPREAD E OMTNS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 739 SEVERE TSTM DC MD NC VA WV CW 231925Z - 240300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NNW BWI/BALTIMORE MD/ - 15WSW CLT/CHARLOTTE NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /13N EMI - 14WSW CLT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 39707573 35138004 35138234 39707818
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 739 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 739
VALID 240135Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW CLT TO
25 ENE GSO TO 35 SSE CXY.
..HURLBUT..07/24/08
ATTN...WFO...LWX...GSP...RNK...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 739
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-240240-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC005-017-025-033-510-240240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CHARLES HARFORD
PRINCE GEORGES
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NCC001-007-025-037-063-069-077-105-123-125-135-145-151-153-167-
179-181-183-185-240240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON CABARRUS
CHATHAM DURHAM FRANKLIN
GRANVILLE LEE MONTGOMERY
MOORE ORANGE PERSON
RANDOLPH RICHMOND STANLY
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN
$$
VAC013-059-153-177-179-510-610-630-240240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARLINGTON FAIRFAX PRINCE WILLIAM
SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG
$$
ANZ530-535-240240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 739
VALID 240035Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE SPA TO
20 E HKY TO 40 SW GSO TO 40 NW AVC TO 15 S CHO TO 35 S CXY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1885
..SMITH..07/24/08
ATTN...WFO...LWX...GSP...RNK...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 739
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-240140-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC005-017-025-027-031-033-510-240140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CHARLES HARFORD
HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NCC001-007-025-033-037-057-063-069-071-077-081-119-123-135-145-
151-159-167-179-181-183-185-240140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON CABARRUS
CASWELL CHATHAM DAVIDSON
DURHAM FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY ORANGE PERSON
RANDOLPH ROWAN STANLY
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN
$$
VAC013-037-059-083-137-153-177-179-510-600-610-630-685-240140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARLINGTON CHARLOTTE FAIRFAX
HALIFAX ORANGE PRINCE WILLIAM
SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH
FREDERICKSBURG MANASSAS PARK
$$
ANZ530-535-240140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 739
VALID 232250Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW SPA
TO 25 SSW LYH TO 10 NNE CHO TO 10 W HGR.
..SMITH..07/23/08
ATTN...WFO...LWX...GSP...RNK...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 739
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-232340-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-013-017-021-025-027-031-033-037-043-510-232340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CARROLL CHARLES FREDERICK
HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY
PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NCC007-025-033-035-057-059-067-071-081-097-109-119-123-151-157-
159-167-179-197-232340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANSON CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA DAVIDSON DAVIE
FORSYTH GASTON GUILFORD
IREDELL LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY RANDOLPH ROCKINGHAM
ROWAN STANLY UNION
YADKIN
$$
VAC003-011-013-029-031-037-043-047-059-061-079-083-099-107-113-
137-143-153-157-177-179-187-510-540-590-600-610-630-683-685-
232340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CHARLOTTE
CLARKE CULPEPER FAIRFAX
FAUQUIER GREENE HALIFAX
KING GEORGE LOUDOUN MADISON
ORANGE PITTSYLVANIA PRINCE WILLIAM
RAPPAHANNOCK SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
WARREN
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA CHARLOTTESVILLE DANVILLE
FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG
MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
$$
WVC003-037-232340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKELEY JEFFERSON
$$
ANZ530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-232340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 739
VALID 232140Z - 232240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
WILL MONITOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS FOR ANOTHER HR OR TWO ALONG
SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT BEFORE CLEARING ANY COUNTIES ON THE WESTERN
SIDE OF THE WW.
..SMITH..07/23/08
ATTN...WFO...LWX...GSP...RNK...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 739
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-232240-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC001-003-005-009-013-017-021-025-027-031-033-037-043-510-
232240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE
CALVERT CARROLL CHARLES
FREDERICK HARFORD HOWARD
MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS
WASHINGTON
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NCC003-005-007-009-011-023-025-027-033-035-057-059-067-071-081-
097-109-119-123-151-157-159-167-169-171-179-189-193-197-
232240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ANSON
ASHE AVERY BURKE
CABARRUS CALDWELL CASWELL
CATAWBA DAVIDSON DAVIE
FORSYTH GASTON GUILFORD
IREDELL LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY RANDOLPH ROCKINGHAM
ROWAN STANLY STOKES
SURRY UNION WATAUGA
WILKES YADKIN
$$
VAC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-023-029-031-035-037-043-045-
047-059-061-063-067-069-077-079-083-089-091-099-107-113-121-125-
137-139-141-143-153-155-157-161-163-165-171-173-177-179-187-197-
510-515-530-540-580-590-600-610-630-640-660-678-680-683-685-690-
750-770-775-790-820-840-232240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMHERST
APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON AUGUSTA
BATH BEDFORD BOTETOURT
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CARROLL
CHARLOTTE CLARKE CRAIG
CULPEPER FAIRFAX FAUQUIER
FLOYD FRANKLIN FREDERICK
GRAYSON GREENE HALIFAX
HENRY HIGHLAND KING GEORGE
LOUDOUN MADISON MONTGOMERY
NELSON ORANGE PAGE
PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA PRINCE WILLIAM
PULASKI RAPPAHANNOCK ROANOKE
ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH
SMYTH SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
WARREN WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA BEDFORD BUENA VISTA
CHARLOTTESVILLE COVINGTON DANVILLE
FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG
GALAX HARRISONBURG LEXINGTON
LYNCHBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
MARTINSVILLE RADFORD ROANOKE
SALEM STAUNTON WAYNESBORO
WINCHESTER
$$
WVC003-023-027-031-037-057-065-071-232240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE
HARDY JEFFERSON MINERAL
MORGAN PENDLETON
$$
ANZ530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-232240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 739
VALID 232040Z - 232140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..07/23/08
ATTN...WFO...LWX...GSP...RNK...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 739
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-232140-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC001-003-005-009-013-017-021-025-027-031-033-037-043-510-
232140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE
CALVERT CARROLL CHARLES
FREDERICK HARFORD HOWARD
MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS
WASHINGTON
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NCC003-005-007-009-011-023-025-027-033-035-057-059-067-071-081-
097-109-119-123-151-157-159-167-169-171-179-189-193-197-
232140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ANSON
ASHE AVERY BURKE
CABARRUS CALDWELL CASWELL
CATAWBA DAVIDSON DAVIE
FORSYTH GASTON GUILFORD
IREDELL LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY RANDOLPH ROCKINGHAM
ROWAN STANLY STOKES
SURRY UNION WATAUGA
WILKES YADKIN
$$
VAC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-023-029-031-035-037-043-045-
047-059-061-063-067-069-077-079-083-089-091-099-107-113-121-125-
137-139-141-143-153-155-157-161-163-165-171-173-177-179-187-197-
510-515-530-540-580-590-600-610-630-640-660-678-680-683-685-690-
750-770-775-790-820-840-232140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMHERST
APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON AUGUSTA
BATH BEDFORD BOTETOURT
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CARROLL
CHARLOTTE CLARKE CRAIG
CULPEPER FAIRFAX FAUQUIER
FLOYD FRANKLIN FREDERICK
GRAYSON GREENE HALIFAX
HENRY HIGHLAND KING GEORGE
LOUDOUN MADISON MONTGOMERY
NELSON ORANGE PAGE
PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA PRINCE WILLIAM
PULASKI RAPPAHANNOCK ROANOKE
ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH
SMYTH SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
WARREN WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA BEDFORD BUENA VISTA
CHARLOTTESVILLE COVINGTON DANVILLE
FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG
GALAX HARRISONBURG LEXINGTON
LYNCHBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
MARTINSVILLE RADFORD ROANOKE
SALEM STAUNTON WAYNESBORO
WINCHESTER
$$
WVC003-023-027-031-037-057-065-071-232140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE
HARDY JEFFERSON MINERAL
MORGAN PENDLETON
$$
ANZ530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-232140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.