Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 750
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM MDT FRI JUL 25 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST COLORADO
NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL 900
PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF AKRON COLORADO TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF DOUGLAS
WYOMING. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 749...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING THIS
AFTERNOON WITHIN MOIST LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW /20-25 KT SELY WINDS
ON KFTG VAD PROFILE/ REGIME OVER NRN CO AND SERN WY. STEEP LAPSE
RATES COUPLED WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE 50S ARE CONTRIBUTING TO
MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG. ALTHOUGH WINDS WEAKEN IN THE 2-4 KM AGL
LAYER...STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND WINDS STRENGTHENING TO 30-40 KT
ABOVE 5-6 KM AGL ARE RESULTING IN DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY PROPAGATE WITH AN ELY COMPONENT INTO THE
INCREASING MOISTURE FIELD EAST OF THE FRONT RANGE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...WEISS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 750 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 252055Z - 260300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45WSW AKO/AKRON CO/ - 50ENE DGW/DOUGLAS WY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /31ENE DEN - 80E DDY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
LAT...LON 39910541 43000594 43000297 39910258
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 750 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 750
VALID 260135Z - 260240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..07/26/08
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 750
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC069-075-087-121-123-260240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LARIMER LOGAN MORGAN
WASHINGTON WELD
$$
NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-260240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES KIMBALL MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
$$
WYC001-009-015-021-027-031-260240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CONVERSE GOSHEN
LARAMIE NIOBRARA PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 750
VALID 260035Z - 260140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..07/26/08
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 750
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC069-075-087-121-123-260140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LARIMER LOGAN MORGAN
WASHINGTON WELD
$$
NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-260140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES KIMBALL MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
$$
WYC001-009-015-021-027-031-260140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CONVERSE GOSHEN
LARAMIE NIOBRARA PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 750
VALID 252335Z - 260040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..07/25/08
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 750
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC069-075-087-121-123-260040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LARIMER LOGAN MORGAN
WASHINGTON WELD
$$
NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-260040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES KIMBALL MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
$$
WYC001-009-015-021-027-031-260040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CONVERSE GOSHEN
LARAMIE NIOBRARA PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 750
VALID 252235Z - 252340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..07/25/08
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 750
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC069-075-087-121-123-252340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LARIMER LOGAN MORGAN
WASHINGTON WELD
$$
NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-252340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES KIMBALL MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
$$
WYC001-009-015-021-027-031-252340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CONVERSE GOSHEN
LARAMIE NIOBRARA PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.