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Severe Thunderstorm Watch 751
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WW0751 Radar
Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Low Very Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Moderate Low

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
   SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 751
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   115 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS
          PARTS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
          MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 115 PM UNTIL
   700 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH
   NORTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
   DURANT OKLAHOMA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND
   INTENSITY ALONG STRONG COLD FRONT NOW MOVING EWD ACROSS SERN KS/ERN
   OK.  WITH MLCAPES TO 2000 J/KG AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 40-50 KT
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE SQUALL LINE DEVELOPING
   ALONG THE COLD FRONT.  POTENTIAL FOR SHORT-LIVED SUPERCELLS WHICH
   WILL ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED BRIEF
   TORNADO...HOWEVER PRIMARY MODE EXPECTED TO BE LINEAR ALONG WITH
   DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24035.
   
   
   ...HALES
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