SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 754
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   235 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MONTANA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES EAST
   NORTHEAST OF HAVRE MONTANA TO 90 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
   LEWISTOWN MONTANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 753...
   
   DISCUSSION...SEVERE STORMS ARE NOW DEVELOPING SWD ALONG AN OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARY OVER NORTH CENTRAL MT EXTENDING ACROSS SRN HILL AND NRN
   CHOUTEAU CNTYS BORDER...WHILE NEW STORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER HIGHER
   TERRAIN NEAR LWT.  AIR MASS IS MOIST WITH DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER
   40S TO MID 50S...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES ARE RESULTING IN MODERATE
   INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG.  WESTERLY MID LEVEL WINDS
   OF 35-45 KT AND ASSOCIATED DEEP LAYER SHEAR AOA 40 KT WILL ENHANCE
   STORM ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY.  ALTHOUGH STORMS MAY REMAIN
   ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED IN COVERAGE...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A
   FEW LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
   THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 26030.
   
   
   ...WEISS

   SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 754
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   235 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MONTANA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES EAST
   NORTHEAST OF HAVRE MONTANA TO 90 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
   LEWISTOWN MONTANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 753...
   
   DISCUSSION...SEVERE STORMS ARE NOW DEVELOPING SWD ALONG AN OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARY OVER NORTH CENTRAL MT EXTENDING ACROSS SRN HILL AND NRN
   CHOUTEAU CNTYS BORDER...WHILE NEW STORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER HIGHER
   TERRAIN NEAR LWT.  AIR MASS IS MOIST WITH DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER
   40S TO MID 50S...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES ARE RESULTING IN MODERATE
   INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG.  WESTERLY MID LEVEL WINDS
   OF 35-45 KT AND ASSOCIATED DEEP LAYER SHEAR AOA 40 KT WILL ENHANCE
   STORM ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY.  ALTHOUGH STORMS MAY REMAIN
   ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED IN COVERAGE...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A
   FEW LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
   THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 26030.
   
   
   ...WEISS

   WOUS64 KWNS 262037
   WOU4
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 754
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   235 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 754 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MTC005-015-027-033-041-045-055-069-071-079-105-270400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0754.080726T2035Z-080727T0400Z/
   
   MT 
   .    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BLAINE               CHOUTEAU            FERGUS              
   GARFIELD             HILL                JUDITH BASIN        
   MCCONE               PETROLEUM           PHILLIPS            
   PRAIRIE              VALLEY              
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...
   
   
   

   SAW4 
   WW 754 SEVERE TSTM MT 262035Z - 270400Z
   AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   65ENE HVR/HAVRE MT/ - 90ESE LWT/LEWISTOWN MT/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /57ENE HVR - 58NE BIL/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
   
   LAT...LON 48880636 46520572 46520972 48881054
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU4.
   

Watch 754 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 754

VALID 270245Z - 270340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE BIL
TO 70 SSW GGW TO 25 SW OLF.

..GOSS..07/27/08

ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC033-055-079-270340-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GARFIELD	     MCCONE		 PRAIRIE	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 754

VALID 270135Z - 270240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N 3HT TO
65 SW GGW TO 50 NNW GGW.

..GOSS..07/27/08

ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC027-033-055-069-071-079-105-270240-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FERGUS		     GARFIELD		 MCCONE 	     
PETROLEUM	     PHILLIPS		 PRAIRIE	     
VALLEY		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 754

VALID 270040Z - 270140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N 3HT TO
45 NNE LWT TO 50 NNW GGW.

..GOSS..07/27/08

ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC027-033-055-069-071-079-105-270140-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FERGUS		     GARFIELD		 MCCONE 	     
PETROLEUM	     PHILLIPS		 PRAIRIE	     
VALLEY		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 754

VALID 262335Z - 270040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW HVR
TO 60 SE HVR TO 65 NW GGW.

..GOSS..07/26/08

ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC005-015-027-033-045-055-069-071-079-105-270040-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BLAINE		     CHOUTEAU		 FERGUS 	     
GARFIELD	     JUDITH BASIN	 MCCONE 	     
PETROLEUM	     PHILLIPS		 PRAIRIE	     
VALLEY		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 754

VALID 262255Z - 262340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW HVR TO
20 SSE HVR TO 60 ENE HVR.

..GOSS..07/26/08

ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC005-015-027-033-045-055-069-071-079-105-262340-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BLAINE		     CHOUTEAU		 FERGUS 	     
GARFIELD	     JUDITH BASIN	 MCCONE 	     
PETROLEUM	     PHILLIPS		 PRAIRIE	     
VALLEY		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 754

VALID 262145Z - 262240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GOSS..07/26/08

ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC005-015-027-033-041-045-055-069-071-079-105-262240-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BLAINE		     CHOUTEAU		 FERGUS 	     
GARFIELD	     HILL		 JUDITH BASIN	     
MCCONE		     PETROLEUM		 PHILLIPS	     
PRAIRIE 	     VALLEY		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.