Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 759
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
440 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 440 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
ABILENE TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF POTEAU OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 758...
DISCUSSION...SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR ARE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH 40-50 KT LLJ. COUPLED WITH MLCAPES AOA 2500 J/KG AND
LOW LCL/S ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT DEVELOPS ALONG AND AHEAD OF SLOWLY
SEWD MOVING FRONTAL ZONE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 759 TORNADO OK TX 082140Z - 090500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55WNW ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 30NNE RKR/POTEAU OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /38WNW ABI - 8WNW FSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 33590055 36299441 34549441 31850055
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 759 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 759
VALID 090325Z - 090440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW ABI
TO 65 N ABI TO 5 WSW SPS TO 35 NE ADM TO 20 NNE MLC TO 20 NNW FYV.
..BROYLES..10/09/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 759
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-087-131-143-090440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN MADISON
SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-023-029-061-069-077-079-095-121-127-135-090440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHOCTAW COAL HASKELL
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
MARSHALL PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC059-097-121-151-181-207-237-253-337-353-363-417-429-441-447-
497-503-090440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COOKE DENTON
FISHER GRAYSON HASKELL
JACK JONES MONTAGUE
NOLAN PALO PINTO SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 759
VALID 090245Z - 090340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WNW ABI
TO 65 N ABI TO 35 S SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 35 NNE ADM TO 35 WSW MKO
TO 15 N MKO.
..BROYLES..10/09/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 759
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-087-131-143-090340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN MADISON
SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-061-063-069-077-079-085-095-099-
101-121-123-127-135-090340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
COAL HASKELL HUGHES
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
MUSKOGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC059-097-121-151-181-207-237-253-337-353-363-417-429-441-447-
497-503-090340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COOKE DENTON
FISHER GRAYSON HASKELL
JACK JONES MONTAGUE
NOLAN PALO PINTO SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 759
VALID 090105Z - 090240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..10/09/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 759
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-090240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-033-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-
085-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-127-133-135-137-090240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
COAL COTTON GARVIN
HASKELL HUGHES JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
LOVE MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH
STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-023-059-077-097-121-151-181-207-237-253-275-337-353-363-
417-429-433-441-447-485-487-497-503-090240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CLAY COOKE DENTON
FISHER GRAYSON HASKELL
JACK JONES KNOX
MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA
WILBARGER WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 759
VALID 082240Z - 082340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..10/08/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 759
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-033-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-
085-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-127-133-135-137-082340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
COAL COTTON GARVIN
HASKELL HUGHES JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
LOVE MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH
STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-023-059-077-097-121-151-181-207-237-253-275-337-353-363-
417-429-433-441-447-485-487-497-503-082340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CLAY COOKE DENTON
FISHER GRAYSON HASKELL
JACK JONES KNOX
MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA
WILBARGER WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.