Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 765
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY
FAR SOUTHEAST OHIO
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL 700
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH OF LONDON
KENTUCKY TO 75 MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON KENTUCKY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 763...WW 764...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF LOW-TOPPED TSTMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS
AND SMALL BOW ECHOES...WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING ENEWD ACROSS
WW THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. WIND DAMAGE IS MOST LIKELY SEVERE
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS...ALTHOUGH STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND
CONTINUED DESTABILIZATION WILL ALSO SUSTAIN A RISK OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 765 TORNADO KY OH WV 091920Z - 092300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35S LOZ/LONDON KY/ - 75NE JKL/JACKSON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /27S LOZ - 32SSW HNN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 36568506 38298341 38298138 36568308
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 765 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 765
VALID 092250Z - 092340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW LOZ
TO 25 SE LOZ TO 35 ESE LOZ TO 35 E JKL TO 35 SSE HTS TO 20 WNW
CRW.
..JEWELL..10/09/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 765
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-095-119-133-195-092340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL HARLAN KNOTT
LETCHER PIKE
$$
WVC043-045-059-092340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINCOLN LOGAN MINGO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 765
VALID 092030Z - 092140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2097
..GARNER..10/09/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 765
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-019-025-043-051-063-065-071-089-095-109-115-119-121-125-
127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-
231-235-237-092140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOYD BREATHITT
CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT
ESTILL FLOYD GREENUP
HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LAWRENCE LEE LESLIE
LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN
MARTIN MENIFEE MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
OHC087-092140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAWRENCE
$$
WVC011-043-045-059-099-092140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CABELL LINCOLN LOGAN
MINGO WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
