Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 775
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
715 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 715 PM UNTIL
100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
STEPHENVILLE TEXAS TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARDMORE OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING ALONG AND AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHERN OK AND NORTH CENTRAL TX.
RATHER COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL PROMOTE STRONG UPDRAFTS...WHILE SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS
PRESENT FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 775 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 260015Z - 260600Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SE SEP/STEPHENVILLE TX/ - 40NE ADM/ARDMORE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /24WNW ACT - 38WSW MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 31799915 34689801 34689502 31799625
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 775 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 775
VALID 260445Z - 260540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E BWD TO
15 ESE DUA TO 15 NNE PRX.
..KERR..10/26/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 775
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-085-093-113-119-139-147-193-213-217-221-223-231-251-257-
277-349-379-397-425-439-467-260540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
DALLAS DELTA ELLIS
FANNIN HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR NAVARRO RAINS
ROCKWALL SOMERVELL TARRANT
VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 775
VALID 260355Z - 260440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W BWD TO
15 SSW MLC.
..KERR..10/26/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 775
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-023-127-260440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC035-085-093-113-119-121-139-143-147-181-193-213-217-221-223-
231-251-257-277-349-367-379-397-425-439-467-260440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
ELLIS ERATH FANNIN
GRAYSON HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR NAVARRO PARKER
RAINS ROCKWALL SOMERVELL
TARRANT VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 775
VALID 260225Z - 260340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW BWD
TO 40 NE ADM.
..KERR..10/26/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 775
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-069-085-095-099-123-127-260340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL JOHNSTON
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC035-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-213-217-
221-223-231-237-251-257-277-337-349-363-367-379-397-425-439-467-
497-260340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MONTAGUE NAVARRO
PALO PINTO PARKER RAINS
ROCKWALL SOMERVELL TARRANT
VAN ZANDT WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 775
VALID 260130Z - 260240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..10/26/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 775
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-067-069-085-095-099-123-127-260240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LOVE MARSHALL
MURRAY PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC009-035-077-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-
213-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-337-349-363-367-379-397-425-
429-439-467-497-503-260240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BOSQUE CLAY
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FANNIN GRAYSON HAMILTON
HENDERSON HILL HOOD
HOPKINS HUNT JACK
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
VAN ZANDT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.