Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 812
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EXTREME WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
FAR SRN MIDDLE AND ERN TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1030 AM UNTIL
500 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSON
SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STORMS MOVING ESEWD ACROSS SRN TN/FAR NWRN
AL ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE INTO A WARMING AND
DESTABILIZING AIR MASS. POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF A COLD POOL AND MID
LEVEL WLY WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT SUGGESTS THAT WIND DAMAGE WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. ALSO...OTHER STORMS WITH SEVERE HAIL/WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
SLOWLY SWD INTO THE REGION.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...IMY
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 812
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EXTREME WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
FAR SRN MIDDLE AND ERN TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1030 AM UNTIL
500 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSON
SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STORMS MOVING ESEWD ACROSS SRN TN/FAR NWRN
AL ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE INTO A WARMING AND
DESTABILIZING AIR MASS. POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF A COLD POOL AND MID
LEVEL WLY WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT SUGGESTS THAT WIND DAMAGE WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. ALSO...OTHER STORMS WITH SEVERE HAIL/WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
SLOWLY SWD INTO THE REGION.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...IMY
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 812 SEVERE TSTM AL GA NC SC TN 071530Z - 072200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50SW HSV/HUNTSVILLE AL/ - 10SSE AND/ANDERSON SC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /34S MSL - 38ESE ODF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 35008740 35228265 33508265 33278740
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 812 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 812
VALID 072140Z - 072200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW ANB TO
25 ESE ANB TO 20 SW ATL.
WW 812 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 072200Z.
..GRAMS..08/07/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 812
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC027-111-072200-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY RANDOLPH
$$
GAC077-149-072200-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COWETA HEARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 812
VALID 072030Z - 072140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E TCL TO
20 WSW GAD TO 15 NW ATL TO 20 W GSP.
..KERR..08/07/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 812
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC015-027-029-073-111-115-117-121-072140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLAY CLEBURNE
JEFFERSON RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TALLADEGA
$$
GAC011-013-045-059-063-077-089-097-105-113-119-121-133-135-143-
147-149-151-157-195-211-217-219-221-247-265-297-317-072140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW CARROLL
CLARKE CLAYTON COWETA
DEKALB DOUGLAS ELBERT
FAYETTE FRANKLIN FULTON
GREENE GWINNETT HARALSON
HART HEARD HENRY
JACKSON MADISON MORGAN
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
ROCKDALE TALIAFERRO WALTON
WILKES
$$
SCC001-007-072140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 812
VALID 071950Z - 072040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE MSL
TO 20 WSW RMG TO 25 W CHA.
..KERR..08/07/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 812
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-015-019-027-029-055-057-073-075-093-107-111-115-117-121-
125-127-133-072040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CLAY CLEBURNE ETOWAH
FAYETTE JEFFERSON LAMAR
MARION PICKENS RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SHELBY TALLADEGA
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-077-083-085-089-097-
105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-133-135-137-139-143-147-149-
151-157-187-195-211-213-217-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-265-
281-291-295-297-311-313-317-072040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HEARD HENRY JACKSON
LUMPKIN MADISON MORGAN
MURRAY NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
POLK RABUN ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TALIAFERRO TOWNS
UNION WALKER WALTON
WHITE WHITFIELD WILKES
$$
NCC039-043-099-113-175-072040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY JACKSON
MACON TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-072040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
TNC011-065-115-139-072040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY HAMILTON MARION
POLK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 812
VALID 071825Z - 071940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE MSL
TO 15 NNE GAD TO 45 W CHA.
..KERR..08/07/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 812
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-015-019-027-029-049-055-057-071-073-075-093-107-111-115-
117-121-125-127-133-071940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CLAY CLEBURNE DEKALB
ETOWAH FAYETTE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAMAR MARION
PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-077-083-085-089-097-
105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-133-135-137-139-143-147-149-
151-157-187-195-211-213-217-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-265-
281-291-295-297-311-313-317-071940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HEARD HENRY JACKSON
LUMPKIN MADISON MORGAN
MURRAY NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
POLK RABUN ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TALIAFERRO TOWNS
UNION WALKER WALTON
WHITE WHITFIELD WILKES
$$
NCC039-043-099-113-175-071940-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY JACKSON
MACON TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-071940-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
TNC011-065-115-139-071940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY HAMILTON MARION
POLK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 812
VALID 071755Z - 071840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..08/07/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 812
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-015-019-027-029-043-049-055-057-071-073-075-079-083-089-
093-095-103-107-111-115-117-121-125-127-133-071840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CLAY CLEBURNE CULLMAN
DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MORGAN
PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-077-083-085-089-097-
105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-133-135-137-139-143-147-149-
151-157-187-195-211-213-217-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-265-
281-291-295-297-311-313-317-071840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HEARD HENRY JACKSON
LUMPKIN MADISON MORGAN
MURRAY NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
POLK RABUN ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TALIAFERRO TOWNS
UNION WALKER WALTON
WHITE WHITFIELD WILKES
$$
NCC039-043-099-113-175-071840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY JACKSON
MACON TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-071840-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
TNC011-051-065-103-115-127-139-071840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY FRANKLIN HAMILTON
LINCOLN MARION MOORE
POLK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.