Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 865
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
WESTERN GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 140 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CRESTVIEW FLORIDA TO 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF MACON GEORGIA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SCTD SUSTAINED STORMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP/PERSIST ALONG NNE/SSW CONFLUENCE ZONE IN SE AL/WRN FL
ASSOCIATED WITH HYBRID TROPICAL CIRCULATION OF T.D. FAY. WEAK LOBE
OF ASCENT ROTATING AROUND SRN SIDE OF CIRCULATION AND CONTINUED
PRESENCE OF VERY RICH LOW LVL MOISTURE SUGGEST POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLD
TORNADOES DESPITE TIME OF DAY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...CORFIDI
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 865
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
WESTERN GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 140 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CRESTVIEW FLORIDA TO 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF MACON GEORGIA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SCTD SUSTAINED STORMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP/PERSIST ALONG NNE/SSW CONFLUENCE ZONE IN SE AL/WRN FL
ASSOCIATED WITH HYBRID TROPICAL CIRCULATION OF T.D. FAY. WEAK LOBE
OF ASCENT ROTATING AROUND SRN SIDE OF CIRCULATION AND CONTINUED
PRESENCE OF VERY RICH LOW LVL MOISTURE SUGGEST POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLD
TORNADOES DESPITE TIME OF DAY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 865 TORNADO AL FL GA 260640Z - 261400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55SE CEW/CRESTVIEW FL/ - 50NW MCN/MACON GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /56SE CEW - 27SSE ATL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
LAT...LON 30208687 33208530 33208322 30208486
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 865 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 865
VALID 261230Z - 261340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE PNS TO
25 NE LGC.
..KERR..08/26/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 865
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-261340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-039-045-059-063-077-131-133-261340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-021-023-037-053-061-079-081-087-093-095-099-131-145-149-
153-169-171-177-193-197-199-201-205-207-215-225-231-235-239-243-
249-253-259-261-263-269-273-285-287-289-293-307-315-321-
261340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BIBB BLECKLEY
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
CRAWFORD CRISP DECATUR
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY HARRIS HEARD
HOUSTON JONES LAMAR
LEE MACON MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MITCHELL
MONROE MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SEMINOLE
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TAYLOR TERRELL TROUP
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WEBSTER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 865
VALID 261135Z - 261240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE PNS TO
20 NE LGC.
..KERR..08/26/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 865
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-261240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-039-045-059-063-077-131-133-261240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-021-023-037-053-061-079-081-087-093-095-099-131-145-149-
153-169-171-177-193-197-199-201-205-207-215-225-231-235-239-243-
249-253-259-261-263-269-273-285-287-289-293-307-315-321-
261240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BIBB BLECKLEY
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
CRAWFORD CRISP DECATUR
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY HARRIS HEARD
HOUSTON JONES LAMAR
LEE MACON MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MITCHELL
MONROE MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SEMINOLE
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TAYLOR TERRELL TROUP
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WEBSTER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 865
VALID 261035Z - 261140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..08/26/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 865
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-017-031-045-061-067-069-081-087-109-111-113-261140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON LEE
MACON PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSSELL
$$
FLC005-013-039-045-059-063-077-131-133-261140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-021-023-037-053-061-079-081-087-093-095-099-131-145-149-
153-169-171-177-193-197-199-201-205-207-215-225-231-235-239-243-
249-253-259-261-263-269-273-285-287-289-293-307-315-321-
261140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BIBB BLECKLEY
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
CRAWFORD CRISP DECATUR
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY HARRIS HEARD
HOUSTON JONES LAMAR
LEE MACON MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MITCHELL
MONROE MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SEMINOLE
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TAYLOR TERRELL TROUP
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WEBSTER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 865
VALID 260950Z - 261040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..08/26/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 865
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-017-031-045-061-067-069-081-087-109-111-113-261040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON LEE
MACON PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSSELL
$$
FLC005-013-039-045-059-063-077-131-133-261040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-021-023-037-053-061-079-081-087-093-095-099-131-145-149-
153-169-171-177-193-197-199-201-205-207-215-225-231-235-239-243-
249-253-259-261-263-269-273-285-287-289-293-307-315-321-
261040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BIBB BLECKLEY
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
CRAWFORD CRISP DECATUR
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY HARRIS HEARD
HOUSTON JONES LAMAR
LEE MACON MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MITCHELL
MONROE MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SEMINOLE
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TAYLOR TERRELL TROUP
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WEBSTER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 865
VALID 260835Z - 260940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..08/26/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 865
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-017-031-045-061-067-069-081-087-109-111-113-260940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON LEE
MACON PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSSELL
$$
FLC005-013-039-045-059-063-077-091-131-133-260940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-021-023-037-053-061-079-081-087-093-095-099-131-145-149-
153-169-171-177-193-197-199-201-205-207-215-225-231-235-239-243-
249-253-259-261-263-269-273-285-287-289-293-307-315-321-
260940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BIBB BLECKLEY
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
CRAWFORD CRISP DECATUR
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY HARRIS HEARD
HOUSTON JONES LAMAR
LEE MACON MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MITCHELL
MONROE MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SEMINOLE
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TAYLOR TERRELL TROUP
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WEBSTER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 865
VALID 260745Z - 260840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..08/26/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 865
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-017-031-045-061-067-069-081-087-109-111-113-260840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON LEE
MACON PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSSELL
$$
FLC005-013-039-045-059-063-077-091-131-133-260840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-021-023-037-053-061-079-081-087-093-095-099-131-145-149-
153-169-171-177-193-197-199-201-205-207-215-225-231-235-239-243-
249-253-259-261-263-269-273-285-287-289-293-307-315-321-
260840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BIBB BLECKLEY
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
CRAWFORD CRISP DECATUR
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY HARRIS HEARD
HOUSTON JONES LAMAR
LEE MACON MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MITCHELL
MONROE MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SEMINOLE
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TAYLOR TERRELL TROUP
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WEBSTER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.