Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 870
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
915 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 915 AM UNTIL
500 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
ROANOKE RAPIDS NORTH CAROLINA TO 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
JACKSONVILLE NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 869. WATCH NUMBER 869 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
915 AM EDT.
DISCUSSION...TSTMS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS/SUSTAINED
STORMS...EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN ZONE OF ASCENT AND SFC HEATING
AHEAD OF VORT LOBE ASSOCIATED WITH T.D. FAY REMNANTS. RICH MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY AND MODERATE DEGREE OF LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 870 TORNADO NC CW 271315Z - 272100Z
AXIS..125 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25ENE RZZ/ROANOKE RAPIDS NC/ - 30SW OAJ/JACKSONVILLE NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 110NM E/W /55S RIC - 12NNW ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
REPLACES WW 869..NC SC
LAT...LON 36567504 34507580 34508019 36567955
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 870 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 870
VALID 272030Z - 272100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE RZZ TO
25 E RWI TO 30 WNW OAJ TO 35 ESE FAY TO 50 NNW FLO.
PART OF WW 870 WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED FOR A FEW HOURS BEYOND
THE SCHEDULED EXPIRATION OF 21Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2176.
..PETERS..08/27/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 870
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-037-051-057-063-065-067-069-077-081-083-085-093-101-
105-123-125-127-135-145-151-153-163-165-167-181-183-185-191-195-
272100-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON CHATHAM
CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DURHAM
EDGECOMBE FORSYTH FRANKLIN
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HOKE JOHNSTON
LEE MONTGOMERY MOORE
NASH ORANGE PERSON
RANDOLPH RICHMOND SAMPSON
SCOTLAND STANLY VANCE
WAKE WARREN WAYNE
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 870
VALID 271930Z - 272040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2175.
..PETERS..08/27/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 870
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-013-015-017-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061-
063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-
107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-151-153-
155-163-165-167-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-272040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT
BERTIE BLADEN CAMDEN
CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK
DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LEE LENOIR MARTIN
MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
TYRRELL VANCE WAKE
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ633-658-272040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 870
VALID 271835Z - 271940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2175.
..PETERS..08/27/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 870
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-013-015-017-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061-
063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-
107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-151-153-
155-163-165-167-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-271940-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT
BERTIE BLADEN CAMDEN
CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK
DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LEE LENOIR MARTIN
MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
TYRRELL VANCE WAKE
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ633-658-271940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 870
VALID 271725Z - 271840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..08/27/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 870
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-013-015-017-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061-
063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-
107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-151-153-
155-163-165-167-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-271840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT
BERTIE BLADEN CAMDEN
CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK
DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LEE LENOIR MARTIN
MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
TYRRELL VANCE WAKE
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ633-658-271840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 870
VALID 271630Z - 271740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2174.
..PETERS..08/27/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 870
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-013-015-017-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061-
063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-
107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-151-153-
155-163-165-167-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-271740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT
BERTIE BLADEN CAMDEN
CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK
DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LEE LENOIR MARTIN
MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
TYRRELL VANCE WAKE
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ633-658-271740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 870
VALID 271540Z - 271640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..08/27/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 870
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-013-015-017-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061-
063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-
107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-151-153-
155-163-165-167-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-271640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT
BERTIE BLADEN CAMDEN
CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK
DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LEE LENOIR MARTIN
MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
TYRRELL VANCE WAKE
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ633-658-271640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 870
VALID 271445Z - 271540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..08/27/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 870
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-013-015-017-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061-
063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-
107-117-123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-151-153-
155-163-165-167-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-271540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT
BERTIE BLADEN CAMDEN
CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK
DARE DAVIDSON DUPLIN
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LEE LENOIR MARTIN
MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
TYRRELL VANCE WAKE
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ633-658-271540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
