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Severe Thunderstorm Watch 911
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WW0911 Radar
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   SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 911
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   210 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
          WEST TEXAS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 900
   PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF MARFA TEXAS TO 75 MILES NORTHEAST OF BIG SPRING
   TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
   WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...A PRONOUNCED MID LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EWD INTO FAR W
   TX AND SE NM AS OF EARLY AFTERNOON.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
   INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS W
   CENTRAL TX AND SE NM IN ADVANCE OF THE TROUGH...WHERE SURFACE
   HEATING IN CLOUD BREAKS AND DEWPOINTS OF 56-60 F ARE CONTRIBUTING TO
   MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1000 J/KG.  VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
   A FEW SUPERCELLS WHICH WILL LOCALLY ENHANCE THE HAIL THREAT...WHILE
   CONVECTION SHOULD EVENTUALLY GROW UPSCALE INTO AN EXTENSIVE N-S BAND
   BY THIS EVENING WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE AT LEAST ISOLATED
   DAMAGING WINDS.  ANY TORNADO THREAT SHOULD REMAIN BRIEF/ISOLATED
   GIVEN ONLY MODEST INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON
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Page last modified: October 06, 2008
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